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This is an analysis. Now, it appears to be a time of great deliberation regarding whether to sell or make additional purchases. I imagine many of you investors have a lot on your minds, so I will just cover the key points . Now, in the case of the Nasdaq, the 5-day moving average has broken through the 200-day moving average, showing that strong short-term energy is coming in.
The important thing is that, in that case, you must pay attention to the existence of the 20-day moving average, where the investment sentiment accumulated over the past month is concentrated . As you can see, since there is a certain distance between short-term and mid-to-long-term sentiment, it is a flow where a short correction like this is inevitable as it deviates from the short-term average .
Therefore, rather than unconditionally thinking of selling just because the price has broken below the 5-day moving average, the sentiment of recent investors is based on a higher average purchase price than that of existing holders who entered above the 20-11 day moving average. Thus, while a temporary break below this level could lead to increased selling pressure, the key point is that the sentiment of those who entered quite aggressively from low positions recently and can be considered brave in investing is slowly rising.
Therefore, it seems more important to focus on whether this level can be maintained. In other words, even if it breaks below the 5-day moving average, as long as it creates support in the upper zone where the 200-day and 20-day moving averages exist, it is not difficult to create a second upward movement .
Why? Since it is firmly holding its ground at the bottom, a secondary rise is possible if additional buying pressure comes in . Therefore, investors should focus on the fact that you should not simply concentrate on the candles moving at the top. For instance, yesterday saw the candles drop to the lower half of the 5-day moving average before rising again.
If you react too aggressively to such movements, it will be difficult to make long-term, steady investments. The key point is simply to focus on whether the price holds the psychological strength of the solid support zone rising from the bottom or breaks through it . In the case of the Nasdaq, since the divergence is wide, there may be a sell-off in the short term.
However, if you label this as a crash and liquidate all your positions, it will become difficult to enter the market if the price turns into support and rebounds. The semiconductor sector is in a similar situation. What is more important than hitting the 200-day moving average resistance at the top is whether we can maintain and hold onto the sentiment that is following up from the bottom.
Because the 200-day moving average represents a fairly old supply zone, the energy for holding is not that strong. So, it means that the volatility is not high . If someone who has held the stock for a year has managed to hold onto it even when there is a breakout or buying pressure here, it is highly likely that there will be no significant fluctuation.
Therefore, what is actually important right now is to focus on the mid-to-short-term energy points rather than the 5-day moving average that is pushing it up . Why? Since this energy has entered after significant fluctuations, these sentiments have a considerable impact on the market's direction. Considering this, even if the market breaks below the short-term average now, it can rebound as long as it holds the 20-day moving average rising from below; however, if it breaks below this level, it could lead to a sharp decline.
So, rather than me deciding the latter point at this position, it is correct to observe the market further and confirm whether the 20-day moving average line rising from the bottom actually breaks through the 200-day moving average above to transition into an uptrend or breaks below it, and then determine the direction of the market at that time.
So, that means you can time your buy and sell at the same time . If the price follows the 20-day moving average upward and acts as a reversal signal and support zone, this presents an opportunity for additional buying; however, if it breaks below this level, it is an unconditional selling point. Why?
The mid-to-short-term sentiment that has recently entered is a highly volatile energy, so the fact that it has broken out of this range indicates that it is powerful capital associated with short selling, for example, downsides . I am explaining this in advance because there is a high possibility that the market will definitely plummet to the bottom once this breakout occurs .
Therefore, for those formulating investment strategies right now, rather than hastily deciding on your position, it seems necessary to observe whether the price steps on a support zone and heads upward, rather than closing your position based solely on a short-term breakout, as the mid-to-long-term trend is slowly pushing the price up alongside the initial strong rise .
So, even looking at the futures market right now, the short-term average is still being maintained. Even if it breaks out of this level, it does not necessarily lead to an unconditional crash; it is not a situation where there are absolutely no lines. Therefore, I think it is necessary for us to monitor the market for now and decide on additional buying or selling based on the subsequent direction .
First, regarding domestic stocks, the KOSPI has experienced a short-term breakout, but there is still room for support at the bottom . Therefore, rather than viewing it as a 100% decline, I think it is necessary to monitor the market situation. As for the KOSDAQ, since it has broken away from the sentiment it had recently established, I personally believe that even if it rises today, selling pressure should prevail .
So, in the case of individual stocks like Tesla, since they are still holding their short-term average and the support line from below is rising, I believe it is too early to decide to sell at this point . It is advisable to hold the position for now, as the price may continue to push upward along with the short-term moving average lines.
Just as previous trends showed significant gains following the mid-to-long-term trend despite breakouts, this appears to be just the beginning stage. Therefore, rather than making a hasty decision, it seems more advantageous to continue investing until a trend breakout is confirmed . Now, if we talk about IQ or Palantir, IQ is holding its short-term line well, and above all, the 20-day moving average is also following up nicely.
But the important point is that the distance between these two short terms is not that far . In other words, the supply zone itself is heavily concentrated at this price level, and since even a small drop can disrupt market sentiment, it means that the market could suddenly shift to a downturn. So, regarding aspects like IQ, it would be good to keep in mind that you need to keep an eye on market conditions and monitor them, and the situation is similar for Palantir.
As you can see, since the distance is n't that far, the psychological resistance level itself is quite concentrated around this $120 line . If it breaks out of this level, it will require a significant amount of energy to shift your mindset. Therefore, rather than buying at the current position, I believe that those holding positions should psychologically prepare in advance to carefully realize profits at the breakout line.
Just as it collapsed once before but eventually rode back up along the medium-to-long-term average, it is important to hold this level to rise again or maintain the upward trend. If a breakout occurs, it would mean the major support level of $120 is being breached, so it would be important to cut your losses at that point .
In other words, since the gap between the 5-day and 20-day moving averages varies from stock to stock, it would be helpful to keep in mind that the timing of your response may differ between stocks with a wide gap and those with a somewhat narrowed gap . Now, in the case of Sl, which is Sebe's berygin, as you can see, the divergence is quite wide, so it can eventually ride up in this way.
Therefore, while it is necessary to observe the trend further, considering the characteristics of triple leverage, I personally believe that it is correct to sell when it breaks below the short-term moving average line. This is because once it breaks below the $18 line, too much profit will have already been lost by the time you decide to buy or sell at the lower line .
Therefore, I would like to conclude by explaining that in the case of triple leverage, it is much safer and a better way to protect your profits to hold the position only when it maintains the short-term trend, and to simply sell or take profits when it breaks out of that range . Okay, for now, I will end the explanation here for today's video .
Since the recent investment trend is not bad, I think it would be good for those who need individual assistance to utilize the membership. For now, I will wrap up today's video here . thank you
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