저자: MarkMobius · 외국인
요약 보기
Mark Mobius는 현재 5% 수준의 미국채 금리가 주식시장에서 자금을 빨아들이는 요인이므로 조정에 대비해야 한다고 본다. 그럼에도 향후 5년 내 센섹스가 100,000까지 오를 것이라며 인도 시장에 대한 강세 입장을 유지한다. 미국 부채 증가에 대해서는 정부가 돈을 찍어 갚을 수 있어 크게 우려하지 않으며, 그 결과 인플레이션이 지속되므로 주식 투자가 중요하다고 본다. 연방기금금리 4.75%는 2007~2008년 수준과 같은 상황이 반복되기 어렵다고 판단한다. 중동 전쟁, 우크라이나 전쟁, 아시아 긴장으로 유가가 오르는 등 요인이 복합적이기 때문이다. 지정학적 갈등은 승자와 패자를 나누며, 군수·방산 관련주는 상승하고 유가 상승 등으로 다른 종목은 하락할 수 있다고 본다. 따라서 개별 기업 단위로 영향을 분석해야 한다고 강조한다. 인도 투자 논리에는 변화가 없다고 밝히며, 하드웨어 기업 투자는 아직 시장에 나온 종목이 없어 대기 중이라고 말한다. 다가오는 주 주 선거와 내년 총선에서는 BJP(인도인민당)가 승리할 가능성이 크다고 보고, 모디 정부의 현대화 노력을 높이 평가한다. 다만 여러 주를 통합하고 이끄는 것은 매우 어려운 과제라고 말한다. 마지막으로 시계 두 개를 비교하며 가벼운 대화로 마무리한다.
다듬은 글
when you think of Global Investors one of the top names that comes to our mind is Mark Mobius and I'm joined by him today thank you so much so for joining us I'd like to start by asking we recently saw us bond yield hit 5% what are your thoughts on that should we adjust to the idea of 5% year yeah you've got to adjust to that is it do you expect it to remain this way well you know as long as these bonds at 5% uh there's going to be a great sucking sound away from the stock market so people have got to be ready for a correction along the way because a lot of people will look at the market say hey why should I go into stocks when I can get 5% for my money uh however uh I still believe that in the next 5 years the sensex will go up to 100,00 uh 100,000 right when do you expect that to happen within the within the next five years next five years right um there's also increasing chatter about us debt levels that are rising and ultimately um have become unsustainable is that something that concerns a global investor like you uh not really because uh the debt as we all know is payable by by printing more money right US government has the capability of printing now what does that mean it means inflation and we've already seen the effects of the coid money printing press going overtime and uh that resulted in high inflation then now of course the central banks try to control it by raising interest rates but the reality is that inflation is with us and will continue to be with us which is why it's so important to be invested in equities right um the you the FED fund rates recently hit 475 BPF the last time we saw something close to it was 425 during 20072 2008 uh do you think there's going to be a repeat of that phenomenon or will we passed through it uh well you know it's now a little more complicated because you have so many other factors at work uh the Middle East War uh the war in Ukraine tension in Asia all of this creates uh activity economic activity um higher oil prices so all the combination of these factors means that you cannot see a repeat of what we saw before right speaking about these conflicts in the Middle East you also spoke about Asia tension um do they concern you as a global investor again how does it how does it influence your decisions of course it influences us and we concerned about it but uh you know any kind of situation uh you have winners and losers uh for example uh now you have the Israeli more some uh will not benefit but others will for example if you look the stocks of military uh armaments manufacturing they're going up they're benefiting from this war other stocks will go down maybe because of higher oil prices or other reasons so uh in each situation you got to look at what the impact will be on individual companies right um you've always been very optimistic about Indian markets and India largely and sort of even overweight has there been any change also if you could take us through your India thesis had no change I'm so I'm still very bull last time when you were on CNBC you said that you're looking to invest in Hardware companies has there been any progress on that front uh there haven't any been any coming to the market yet so we're waiting okay um we're also getting into State elections next week and general election next year what are your thoughts on that that's going to be really interesting because I think the BJP probably is going to be the winner in this again uh because uh BJP and Modi have done a trivic job in modernizing do they doing their best to modernize you know uh in some ways I admire Modi in it's they're taking a a tiger by the tail because you have these different states in India trying to unify and keeping them together and keeping them moving forward is very very difficult not easy true also if I could put you on spot and ask about your two wrist watches well this one I could wear around the clth because it's self-winding this one I have to charge so I this is more accurate but this is more All Around the Clock so you can rely more on this one well thank you so much for speaking with CNBC TV8 and we'd love to have you again thank you so much
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