저자: Moriguchi · 외국인
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SOX 반등과 나스닥 기술주 자율반등 가능성을 언급. 다우 제외 주요지수 반등했으나 S&P500·나스닥·러셀2000은 중간밴드 아래에 머물러 차트 개선은 미흡. 이란-이스라엘 긴장으로 유가 상승, 이번 주 미국 CPI·PPI와 일본 SQ를 주시해야 함. 닛케이 선물 1400~1500엔 반등 예상. 무라타·이오테크닉스 등 신용거래 부담 증가, 공매도 감소로 차익실현 매도 우려 언급.
다듬은 글
is Tuesday, June 9th, and here's the weather forecast. Socks show significant rebound. This is purely an act of independence and rebellion. So, let's get started . The socks provided a great rebound, as expected . The Nikkei average will probably rebound as well . However, since the materials haven't been fully utilized yet, I think this is within the range of a natural rebound.
Let's take a closer look at what's happening in this area . Therefore, this channel always updates with gentle and easy-to-understand approach . I will continue explaining using the simplest language possible, in a way that can be understood even by listening. Please subscribe to the " Everyday Chart Analysis Channel" (previous morning) .
Let's start by reviewing what happened yesterday. First, regarding the Nikkei Stock Average, it fell by 2,563 yen, a decrease of 3.85%. It's a significant loss, and 2,563 yen is probably the fifth largest price range in the market. However, 3.85% is n't that big. The price itself has become so large that, well, you get the feeling that it has dropped drastically in terms of the price range, but not in terms of the percentage drop .
Topics rose by 2.45%, and Growth rose by 2.27%. It's certainly not a small gain , but right now it looks like the market could rebound by about 1500 yen today . Looking at the top-ranking shells in Piodo, we see that things like " KDDI" are included in the top ranks, but when we look at the number of times, it's clear that there are a lot of things related to reaction bodies .
It's in the form of two widths, isn't it? Looking at the rankings by category, it's clear that metal and electrical equipment are at the top in terms of percentage decline . While the decline in the hand-related sector was significant, there were quite a few sectors that saw a considerable increase .
I'll be checking out US stocks . This is as of 4:14 AM. Only the Dow Jones Industrial Average is in the red, while other indices have rebounded . The situation is such that Rasta-style socks are strong . European stocks are a toss-up, with slightly more declines than gains. When we examine the heat maps by industry, we see that while there are more declining sectors in the S&P sector, there are more rising sectors in the NASA sector .
On the New York table, the red side has a higher proportion, and looking at the 100, the rebound related to handball is particularly noticeable. Nikkei 225 futures are rising by around 1500 yen, but the 160 yen level is not moving much . The Pix has settled down to 18.68 . Long-term interest rates are at 4.553, crude oil has risen slightly to 91.11, and gold is slightly in the negative.
Take-san's crypto assets are in the black. Let's take a look . Even with the rebound in Bekab, this is within the range of a self-sustaining rebound. I'd like to discuss the fact that some concerns still remain. First, as usual, let's check s . This buying is aimed at a rebound in high-tech stocks .
Well, the words were basically taken from here. Expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike had risen following the release of the employment statistics on Friday, which had led to a significant sell-off in the stock market . The rebound occurred precisely because the price had fallen so sharply .
So, among the Dow components, NVD is performing well, and it seems that the news about NVD has had a ripple effect on other stocks that have been experiencing a rebound . However, the uncertainty surrounding the situation in the Middle East is a burden on investment cities, and news of Israel and Iran attacking each other is quite a hot topic .
Although crude oil prices are rising, looking at WTI, it's up 1.17% with a bearish candlestick, so I thought it wasn't that much of a rise. As I searched through the news, I found out that it was due to Iran and Israel briefly hinting at a quick war . Well, I think this is also a factor contributing to the rise in stock prices .
Let's take a look at the economic indicators. There are no economic indicators to be released in the United States tonight . In Japan, attention was focused on the revised GDP figures and economic surveys. In particular, the economic survey was very bad last time, and a score below 50 indicates a bad economy.
The forecast was also quite low, but it has slightly exceeded the forecast, so I do n't think we can relax just yet. Since there were no economic indicators released in the United States, I don't think there were any particularly sharp fluctuations during trading hours . Let's take a look at the Bye Bye ranking.
Mike, Marvel, and Inle are definitely showing significant increases in popularity. Stocks related to reactionary forces, which had been bought up until then, plummeted on Friday, but are now rebounding. Let's check out the chart for the most popular microphone . I'm in this position right now. It has gained significant momentum and has broken new highs.
However, it has dropped significantly, falling to around the mid-band . However, it rebounded briefly before ending with a bearish candlestick . If we translate that into the Socks Index , well, I think it follows roughly the same pattern . It was above +2σ. But it had dropped to around the mid-band .
It's a bit of a crack, but it has managed to rebound . However, the upper and lower whiskers are long and look like they might just touch . Please see the ranking of major trading amounts in Japan . The top performers were SoftBank Group and Murata, and well, they all went down, but I think the declines in these three stocks were particularly noticeable , and I think they were definitely something that people were paying attention to.
While SoftBank Group is also a point of interest , today I'd like to analyze the supply and demand of the memory provider and Murata, as well as Byba, and then consider the direction of the Nikkei average . First, regarding memory and field data , yesterday there was an 8.01% decline. However, we've drawn a line at the bottom, where it seems like some people went in and did some shopping, and we're still at 25% of the 25-player battle .
I'd like to use the Matsui Hatsumin app to check how the benefit recipients' situations unfolded . Yes, I have displayed the screen for the Matsui Hatsumi app. Matsui: The first-time user app is convenient because it allows you to measure where you're receiving and buying/selling benefits, so please check it out if you're interested.
The URL is in the description box . Yesterday, the result was an 8% decrease, but credit manipulation increased and short selling decreased. In terms of the amount of credit manipulation, it appears to have increased slightly compared to the latest data available, which is from the week of May 29th .
So, credit recalculations are currently in the negative, but I think they'll be considerably less than this week . Therefore, the amount of credit manipulation is at a high level compared to the past, and in addition, there is almost no short selling, so even if the price is rising, it is more likely to be profit-taking selling than short covering.
In contrast, the increase in credit fraud may have made it more difficult to qualify for benefits . Since the price is still quite high, there's a possibility that sellers might start selling, so please keep an eye on that. I also want to check on Murata Seisakusho, but yesterday's decline of 10% was quite large, even among stocks related to this kind of reaction .
And even so, there's information that it's at 16.95% of the 25-day moving average, so it just goes to show just how overheated it was . Some people believe he simply wanted an opportunity to lock in his profits . I would like to examine how the benefit eligibility criteria have changed . Let's start using the Matsui app .
Okay, I'll now display the screen from Murata Manufacturing. By clicking on "Trading Analysis," you can see how daily supply and demand, trading activity, etc., are measured in this format . Yesterday, Murata Manufacturing also saw an increase in credit manipulation, while short selling decreased. Looking at the amount of stock manipulation, it has reached 4.98 million shares, which is an increase from May 29th, and the amount of stock manipulation has been increasing at an incredible rate recently .
And, well, the short selling figures are slightly lower than the week of May 29th . Considering that, the amount of credit manipulation has made things heavier, and the credit ratio has also increased, so it's highly likely that the burden on recipients has become considerably heavier. But, uh, as for Murata Masasakusho, the price was 8711 yen, and the after-hours trading price was 9480 yen compared to yesterday's closing price.
Given that we've set this value and started from this point, how things unfold today will be extremely important. Both Murata and Kiokusha are showing signs of a rebound, and it seems that those who bought into the credit manipulation scheme will be rewarded, but we'll have to see how it moves in today's trading session.
Well, this week's key factors are the CPI in the US on Wednesday night, the PPI on Thursday night, and the major SQ in Japan on Friday , so even though there has been a rebound today, I feel it's still too early to let our guard down . So, here's a summary of today's video. US stocks are on hold, but I felt there was a high possibility of a self-sustaining rebound in tech stocks.
Socks are up more than 5%, but the situation remains high despite the initial surge in Iran and Israel. The situation remains one where inflation is a cause for concern, and attention is still focused on this week's CPI and PPI figures . It seems like Socks is rebounding at a good point , but the S&P 500, which is the collection index, is below the moving average.
Nikkei 225 futures are likely to rebound strongly, around 1500 yen, but it remains to be seen whether they can recover more than half of yesterday's losses . According to Mr. Murata, the credit manipulation agency is on the rise, and I think there is a very strong desire to buy on dips . Given the heavy burden on the market, how we proceed this week, including today's trading session, will be extremely important.
The subsequent trends in supply and demand and the position on the chart are very important, so I would like to continue the analysis . Now, let's try analyzing the index using daily Bollinger Bands + RSI. Now let's check the closing value. While only the "use only" index is in the negative, the S&P 500 and NAST have been able to rebound .
Socks also performed well at 5.61%, and Nikkei 225 futures are likely to rise by around 1400 yen, just under 1500 yen . Let's start by examining the chart for the Nikkei Stock Average . Yesterday, the price dropped by 2500 yen, falling below the mid-band, but it hasn't broken below the 25-day moving average, so I think it should be fine as long as it can rebound from here.
For now, we anticipate an upward movement up to around this white line, the horizontal line. However , we will be keeping a close eye on whether the price will break below this major moving horizon and whether it can surpass the upper limit of the channel . Let's take a look at the topics. This is the important part.
The question is whether it can show enough strength to break above the mid-band , and whether it can even avoid falling below 50. Today's fluctuations will likely be centered on high-tech stocks, but how far the TOPIX can recover will be quite important in predicting the future of Japanese stocks . Growth 250.
Yesterday's 2.27% drop didn't seem to indicate that the downward trend had stopped . I think today will be a crucial moment to see if we can rebound . Let's take a look at the New York Dow Jones Industrial Average . The price continued to fall, forming a bearish candlestick , and I feel there's a high probability that the band walk has completely ended .
Uh, it's Sand P500. The 0.3% increase did not result in a recovery that would allow the metropolitan road network to surpass the mid-band. The intraday candlestick was also bearish, and although the RSI exceeded 50, I don't feel like the chart has changed for the better . Let's take a look at Nastack .
This one also formed a bearish candlestick, and the RSI below the midband is below 50, so the chart can't be said to have improved . Well, the moving average is also trending downwards, so I think we should remain cautious. Let's take a look at Russell 2,000. This is also below the midband. The fact that it ended up with a bearish candlestick, failing to fully rebound, is similar to other indices.
However, the Socks Index rose 5.61%, rebounding from a point where it had slightly fallen below the bitband. The chart suggests that the price could continue to rise and reach new highs . I think how and where you go will be a very important point where you'll have to rely on fate, so I hope you'll pay close attention to that.
Yes , so today, well, the Dow went down, but the major US indices basically rebounded. However, looking at the charts and organizing the information, I think it's still within the range of a self-sustaining rebound . So, I think the situation remains the same: we need to carefully check the chart's position after looking at the CPI, PPI, and major SQ this week.
Therefore, I think it would be wise to continue to maintain a degree of caution. Now, let me share some information with you today . A magazine that analyzes individual stocks. We upload analysis reports every Friday . If you're interested, please check out the URL of the notes. By the way, we're offering a membership feature where the first month is free, so please take a look .
So, that's how we'll wrap things up "good" button. I will also be updating my water rituals in this format, aiming for 7 AM each day. If you'd like to listen in the mornings as well, he technical analysis. Goodbye.
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