저자: ETFSTUDIO진행자 · 한국인
요약 보기
진행자는 SOXL 대량 매도(80% 매도, 잔여 20%)를 권고하며 평단 관리와 분할매수(약 20회/년) 원칙을 강조한다. 엔비디아 중국 칩 판매 이슈와 5/20 실적을 앞두고 반도체 비중을 축소하고, 광통신·로봇(휴머노이드) 섹터와 노키아, 레인보우로보틱스, 두산로보틱스 등으로 관심을 옮긴다고 밝힌다. TMF·QLD·TQQQ 보유 원칙도 유지하겠다고 말한다.
다듬은 글
hello. This is an analysis of institutional stocks. I wouldn't exactly call it a life-changing moment since I met the Soksul ETF, but it seems like it was a really helpful ETF during every tough time. Now, I will be holding a selling press conference and discussing various matters today, so I hope this will be helpful to you in making your investment decisions .
I went through a really tough time after getting fixated on standard deviation starting in '22, but I remember exactly when things started going well and I was working with you all; it was from $36. Also, it started off badly, going down to $7, and of course the closing price was $8, and it hit $180 .
Okay, I am going to talk a little about the inside of EJ today, and I have already given a sell recommendation to the membership. It 's $187, and since it's today, it probably hasn't dropped much. Well, I sold it for $187, but I'm going to sell it at a reasonable price . Since it's impossible to predict the exact lows and highs, you need to make your own judgment.
There are two options. If you stay in this market, you will eventually lose money. As you saw earlier, it can really be cut in half in the blink of an eye . That is why I think you need to exit at the right time. A prime example was when it was at $70, and then I re-entered at $55 and it came up to $180.
Then, as you can see from the standard deviation later, it has been concluded seven times in the past month or two. Well, it might vary depending on the timing, but roughly speaking, after restarting about 10 times, the maximum execution would have been around 10 times. As I always emphasize, since there are about 20 buying opportunities a year, I advised you to divide your capital into 20 purchases .
So, the first strategy is to sell and then manage it separately [snor]. You can either buy the ETF I will tell you about later or switch to dividend stocks. As I mentioned, there are ten left. If you invest half of that money now, you can do it about 20 more times . It reduces that seed a lot . The second reason for selling 80% is that if you sell strategically, you will hold onto it at a lower average price anyway, so you might feel it is a bit of a waste to sell .
Then, please operate this separately as well. The average unit price is low, isn't it, with 20% left over? Also, regarding the points that are participated in for 2 to 1 minute, since there are points that do not raise the average unit price that much, I think there will be people who prefer this. After giving it a lot of thought, I have presented these two methods.
I will explain later why I am selling this, but please take a look at the technical aspects. For those who plan to continue participating, I hope you will take an interest. Also, I had a really hard time starting from $55. I got hooked again as soon as I started, and there were times when I saw 40 of them.
That was really the hardest time. I went back in, and it was a bit tough for those who were newly expecting something, but from then on, I did n't give them a single chance and kept going up . I think a variety of thoughts are probably crossing your mind. The standard deviation has dropped significantly now.
It is 4.83. However, speed skating is not a sport to be taken lightly, so I have provided a lot of support over the years, and ultimately, it comes down to a mental battle. What I learned during my 13 years at the securities firm was that you make money by not selling. And if you blindly don't sell, leverage causes problems, so among various strategies, it is the standard deviation.
While you should diversify your investments, having principles and standards—specifically, the criteria for how much a decline should occur before buying—is truly important. Because depending on how much it has dropped, it could be a big drop for some people and a small drop for others. Some might even sell a well-performing ETF and go all-in at once, so it really gets volatile.
Now, I've been continuously helping you stay mentally grounded regarding those things, and I've also really kept my own mental state in check while broadcasting. So, starting from about a year ago, I really did hold back. I kind of... how should I put it ? It feels like sending something, something like that.
You still gave me a lot of love in November. This was also a binge-watch, and it was an hour long. Since the state of affairs was bad at that time, I ended up doing the Maru in dollars 7 months ago. I think I did a lot, three times faster. I am not currently doing TQQ separately, but I will continue to do it for you .
Many people ask about TMF as well, but ultimately, the reason Soksseul was able to endure it was because he did it with Teamf. Of course, the current situation is that TIMF is falling further as expectations for interest rate hikes have been pushed back due to the high CPI this time. However, since there have been cases where synergy was created by pooling opposing assets together, I believe this has served as an opportunity for you to consider criteria, standard deviations, or pooling opposing assets together for your future investments—even if it is not necessarily a case of "sobbing"—in order to invest more healthily.
I think you would have made a lot of progress just by not blindly buying and selling because someone told you to. I tried adjusting the standard deviation a bit, and it's a huge relief that the results were good in the middle. Looking back now, I think I marked that this period as being a bit difficult .
There were tough times in the middle, and most people sold a lot here. But this is only natural. If it breaks through and goes up but then gets corrected two or three times, people's psychology tends to collapse again. But, just like I heard from AS last time, the semiconductor market was really good.
So, in the end, we had almost reached the peak, and yesterday it dropped another 20%, so there were many people who had a hard time. I took some medicine and went to sleep. But I saw that you went ahead and bought this standard horseshoe on your own, so today I am going to send [a scoff] . Look at the reason.
It's news that just came out. The fact that the U.S. has authorized the sale of chips to China's Nvidia but the deal isn't going through continues to be a major issue . It's been quite a while since sales were approved . But now this is becoming an issue again. Delivery rights. Originally, Jensen Wang had decided not to go with them .
We were originally supposed to go with only Elon Musk, but then Trump suddenly asked to go together, so we went. hmm. But if you look at it now, they say this is an issue [snorting]. If you look a little closer at the details, they said they are suddenly attempting a breakthrough, and reports came out that not a single delivery took place .
The content is like this, and as I mentioned last time, Nvidia originally exported to China. But back then, it accounted for a very significant portion of sales, about 13%, but Nvidia's stock price dropped quite a bit due to Trump's export ban on China . But if you look at it, this is September 2025.
China had already preemptively stated that it did not need Nvidia . It's a really old story coming up again right now, but I don't know. I don't know what process took place in between, but it is okay even without MBD. And in fact, Nvidia also said that it was fine even without China, and that they were both okay.
So, what I said on the last broadcast is this. I am going this time, and there will be issues regarding Nvidia chips; initially, Jensen Wang said he would sell. Trump, don't sell it. China said no, but China begged them to please sell it, so Trump waited a while and let them sell it, but the fact that China just wouldn't buy it was something that had already been said .
So, judging by things like this, I think it is not a major issue in the market right now . And the earnings results are coming out on May 20th. But the point is that I will organize things before this . Because I don't know how this might become an issue again. Of course it will turn out well. But there haven't been many instances where stock prices jumped after the results of the MB administration were released .
So, taking those things into account, I decided to sell before that issue came out . However, the intention is to participate by significantly reducing the weighting, but the aspect is that it is somewhat burdensome to continue maintaining this high valuation. And another comment I would like to make is that the stock price of Samsung Electronics' subsidiary, Fines, showed some unusual signs again today .
And uh, dividend stocks and defensive stocks went up a bit; notably, Vault Towers rose 2.43 today . You guys are feeling really uneasy about the Vault Tower, are n't you? I'm not anxious. You have to buy it when it drops. You should buy when it's cheap, but you should n't end up not buying when the price drops and not buying when it goes up because you think it's too expensive.
If you look here, there are REITs somewhere, and they have gone up a bit too. It went up about 0.9%, and it's on the menu here . Hmm, hmm, there's no way a dividend stock would go up . With the market currently doing very well and the KOSPI approaching 8,000 again, seeing profit-taking occurring in the stocks that have been leading the market made me think, "Ah, I feel a bit uneasy." And with optical communication continuing to rise and the sector shifting toward robotics, I thought it would be a bit burdensome to keep holding semiconductors.
In particular, things like optical communications are also worth keeping an eye on, but I'm not sure if you remember, but I'm going to move on to other sectors now. As you can see from my last broadcast, I said I would buy a Tesla, and it has gone up a lot . Fortunately, I also have a friend in the industry who is good at the stock market, though I don't know if you remember Nokia .
She was a friend I used to talk to a lot, but she moved to another company, and I quit my job, and that is how things turned out . Nokia went up about 10% yesterday . It went up a lot at night. I saw a comment saying that some people followed along, but anyway, Nokia also uses optical communication.
It ’s not that old failing cell phone company; I think I even showed you a cell phone in the last broadcast, but that’s not it. They say they are now doing fiber optic communication. Nokia is undervalued. It is a Finnish company that is listed in the U.S. as an ADR . You can look at DRs in the form of Depositary Receipts, so when I explain the US AI Guangdongxin Network, Lumentum is crazy right now, another one is crazy in the city, Coilent is crazy, and if you look here, there is Nokia.
You can invest in Nokia separately, and although optical communications has risen by about 50%, I would still recommend investing through an ETF like this for now. Humanoid has also quietly hit a new high. It's okay, right? So, it's not Korea, but the US Human Nonoid, and it involves Nvidia and Tesla .
At the same time, Qualcomm's stock price is quite volatile, but the US humanoid is part of the related value chain . But even though they are called humanoids, the concept of the US humanoid Codex is actually focused on big tech companies [snorting], and robots in the domestic market are also very hot.
Companies like Doosan Robotics are also the best in the world in terms of technological capability. Handcar Atlas is currently capturing the key point of Trump's plan to shift towards a manufacturing-centered approach in the U.S., where mass production using robots runs 24 hours a day. Robotics is continuing to rise at Rainbow Robotics .
Oh, I'm sorry, I'm at the center of Hyundai. Now, Ace K Humanoid... oh wait, I have n't mentioned my category yet. This is Ace Shuke Humanoid and Tiger Korea Human Nonoid. This is the Korean market. Just like Ace and this guy, Rainbow Robotics is at the center of both of them. Josan Robotics is one of the stocks I originally liked a long time ago, and it is here, along with the rest like Hyundai and others .
I'm not sure about the rest, but anyway, looking at it from a central perspective, it's centered on the rainbow. It is worth keeping the Humanoid as well . As for the next second wave, in my view, the US aerospace and optical communications sectors don't seem likely to die down in the short term. As for robots, well, drones, and flying taxis like Joby and Archer, sectors have been a bit quiet lately.
well. I am keeping an eye on it. Since optical communications is so hot right now, and considering the Tesla-related issues, I think we should also keep an eye on robots in the future . Please look at it that way. Overall, you are selling SSLs and aggressively entering ETFs for long-term investment, or regarding the next broadcast, there is a covered coin currently hitting a new high.
So, it means that it follows well when the market rises . Of course, there are stable, payout- focused covered calls, and suede- based covered calls, but is n't this the kind of concept you all prefer? It seems that when the market rises, they do n't just stay put, but rise along with it, and both of them increased their dividends a bit as well.
I will explain it like this next week—no, in the next broadcast . yes. I will continue the membership . And I plan to share this with you all as well. Anyway, just as I mentioned at the beginning, I think I have successfully upheld the principle of ensuring that not a single person suffers a loss. You can graduate as well .
hmm. Also, those who want to start fresh are welcome to come, but for those of you who want to follow the rules yourselves, the principles you have to adhere to are now difficult to follow. It is difficult to turn your life around . I have also changed my car and saved a lot of money, but coming in now and investing aggressively feels too burdensome.
The price per week is also a burden. So, remember compound interest, and you must divide it using the Martingale strategy. You need to diversify, and if you do that, you can just invest 2 million won at a time. Since it comes about 20 times a year, you can roughly distribute it, and ultimately, the surplus comes from the CD .
For those of you who are impatient and acting impulsively, if your goal is 20 million won, you should just leave the 20 million won as a deposit. Please do n't put TLT in things like that SCOV SGV or whatever just to run it. Even if you just leave it as cash, your life won't change much . And you are buying 12 at a time, and you must strictly enforce the principle .
As for TMF, I maintain it. And for those accumulating QLD, there are two methods: accumulating QLD every day for one or two weeks, or accumulating standard deviations. I tried doing that for a week or two and found it to be effective. We are also doing TQ, but TQ is just an option. Well, if you want, we will continue to provide them through the membership, so anyway, for those of you who want to continue with Sok, TMF, QLD, and TQQQ, I would appreciate it if you could come along.
Yes, yes. Well, that investment decision is up to you . And I really have no interest in politics. I'm just sorry to those who were inconvenienced, but I do n't really care. As for politics. I am serious about that investment; as for politics, I just think that powerful people should be careful with their remarks.
Uh, if you keep trying to distort the market, it's a bit difficult to make normal investment decisions, isn't it? That is the point I was making. I apologize for any rude remarks, and I will see you again in the next broadcast with wholesome content.
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