저자: LotteryStocks · 외국인
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마이클 버리가 GME 전량 매도(2020년 Q4, 이후 2021 게임스톱 급등 놓침)를 밝혔고, 이번에도 라이언 코헨의 기술 전환 실행 리스크를 이유로 들었다고 해석. 라이언 코헨이 버리 팔로우를 취소한 점, 로어링 키티 연관설 등 추측 제시. AMC는 실적 발표를 앞두고 희석 물량 대부분 소화됨을 근거로 콜 진입 의사 표명(개인 고위험 감수). 일본 국채금리 급등·USD/JPY 급락 후 캐리트레이드 압박 언급, 전환가 저항 등 차트 해석. AMD 실적 플레이 예고. 투자 조언 아님 고지.
다듬은 글
It looks like we got some paper hands in the house again, Michael Burry. Michael Burry came out and posted on his Substack that this is the first sale since he began his Substack of any stock and it is GameStop. Michael Burry just sold his entire GameStop position and I quote, "I sold my entire GME position." He's saying basically any way he puts it, something looks wrong with the company and the style that they are trying to go about doing.
Now, I don't know if this is necessarily a bad thing. The last time Michael Burry sold out of GameStop was right before the 2021 short squeeze. If we look at what I have pulled up from Gemini right here or my tweet, Michael Burry sold and completely exited his GameStop position in the fourth quarter of 2020.
He sold his remaining 1.7 million shares between October 1st and December 31st and ultimately was entirely out of the stock by December 31st, meaning he missed the historic, quote unquote, gamma squeeze that occurred in January 2021 where the price peaked at over $480. Now, this is where it gets even more interesting.
The reason for the exit, [snorts] Burry later attributed his early this early exit to skepticism regarding the tech forward shift proposed by activist investor Ryan Cohen in November of 2020, which Burry viewed as having high execution risk at the time. This almost seems like we are in a time loop. This is damn near identical to what is going on.
Michael Burry is claiming that the same exact reason for his exit in GameStop, again, is high execution risk and skepticism regarding the exact shift that Ryan Cohen is trying to do. Now, I also find that interesting that Michael Burry he's like he's like a shot in the dark. He comes in he buys GameStop, people start paying attention to him.
All of a sudden he's out again. It's an interesting message to say the least, no matter what way you take it. This is when Michael Burry sold December 31st of 2020, so about right here, right after we had this little top and then we knifed down. Interestingly enough, coincidentally enough, right after he missed this entire move that Google calls a gamma squeeze.
So, if this is if this is a gamma squeeze, then I'm very excited to see what the next quote unquote gamma squeeze is going to look like um and what an actual short squeeze would look like, right? Let's talk about some things before we jump in a couple other charts. Ryan Cohen also unfollowed Michael Burry on X right after Burry's latest Substack post confirming that he sold his entire GameStop stake.
So, people are theorizing that Roaring Kitty unfollowed Ryan Cohen because Ryan Cohen sold out. Again, this is all just a theory, it's not provable necessarily unless I mean unless someone has very good evidence to this, I would be intrigued to listen, but Ryan Cohen unfollowed Burry because he sold out.
Why did Roaring Kitty unfollow Ryan Cohen is a piece of the puzzle we still never necessarily put together. Now, another piece people are trying to tie in is that Roaring Kitty is about to Kansas City shuffle his way over over to AMC instead. I don't know if that's going to be the case. We do have some stuff to talk about with AMC though, as they report earnings tonight.
Now, today 2:00 p.m. Ryan Cohen will appear again on what I would argue is the best interview show that he usually goes on, which is with Charles Payne. Charles Payne has been around for a while and he is not like these other news companies. So again, he will be with Charles Payne today on Making Money at 2:00 p.m.
I think this is definitely something to tune into as this guy asks questions that we want to hear most of the time. Um not stupid paid media agendas um that he has to ask. Now, not only does AMC report earnings tonight, but AMC Entertainment saw 4.4 million movie goers at its theaters this weekend, which is pretty bullish.
Um However, a lot of these news outlets putting out bullish narratives before earnings makes you have to be very skeptical. AMC dropped an 8K filing today. Now, this is important. Remember I told you um that the dilution from February, the $150 million dilution, once that is complete, that can act as a catalyst.
Well, this is now basically completed. It is almost completed. There's about 13 million left. This is what was dropped. Um a lot of share dilution happened. It's already baked in. The fact that it's done is good. AMC for the time being is up about 4% on the day. Now, the White House posted this. I mean, I just don't understand I don't understand how crazy things can get with these posts at this point.
The White House posted Trump holding all the cards saying I have all the cards and it being the wild cards 2 days ago [snorts] right amidst while all of this is happening. I mean, you can't make it up, right? And I'm correlating this to uh Roaring Kitty, by the way, and the wild card move. Now, Japan government bonds 10-year yield had a spike and peak April 30th.
Okay? What happened to USD JPY as well that I said to watch? Massive drop April 30th. Both max pressure, carry trade pressure. What happened right after? Well, we had this move all the way up to above 30. And this is another thing I want to talk about, but not on TradingView, right? So, if I show you the 15-minute, we actually rejected perfectly at what I said before in my other video at the conversion prices.
This is important, guys. Yes, your broker might display something different, but a lot of these brokers use payment for order flow, and they have different executions for retail. I don't necessarily know if the discrepancy is something that would force bondholders to cover, but I don't think so. I doubt it.
I like to use TradingView. It's accurate. And right now what I'm seeing is that we still got a massive rejection at the conversion zone. You can see 2891 was a conversion price. We got rejected at 2890. You can't make that up. And what happened? We had an absolute knife down, a stab down that we saw back here, back here, back here, right?
Every time GameStop tries to make a move, it gets knifed lower. Um we are holding the wedge. We broke back into the wedge and are perfectly holding the bottom of it. All right? If you bought every single time we were at the bottom of this wedge, obviously it would have been a good playbook. We can't assume that that is going to be the case this time.
Again, nothing I say is financial advice. I'm not a financial advisor. This also, I will reiterate, ends Roaring Kitty's birthday, Monday, June 8th. And I think that some things could possibly line up with that date. Um that could also line up with the gift that he posted. Now, AMC is reporting earnings tonight.
It is up 4.14% trading at a dollar and 50 cents. Most of Most of the dilution is completed. I will be entering calls just to be transparent. I'm willing to take the risk. I'm pretty excited about this earnings seeing that AMC climbed above this parallel channel, built a base, and now we have earnings at what I would argue is one of the perfect times uh to report.
So, again, very excited to see what happens tonight. I would love to hear your thoughts in the comments down below. And like I said, that dilution can act as a catalyst only because of what history showed us, which is that it acted as a catalyst right back here. Um, during that same period, we did have a rally and a cool off right into, you know, that catalyst being um announced, right?
Dilution being completed. Now, we do have some other earnings tonight that I will be playing like AMD. I will not be playing SMCI. I will be playing AMD. I will be playing AMC. MicroStrategy, um I will not be playing. And Tempest, I will not be playing. But I will be watching all of these. Overall, guys, that is what I got for you for today's video.
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It is pattern detection and forecasting and you can mess around with the indicator. Overall, guys, that is basically what I got for today's video. Go get 50% off your prop firm trading account right here. I love you all. God bless. Lottery Stocks out.
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