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AMC·게임스탑 등 숏 포지션 청산이 헤지펀드 시스템 전반에 치명적일 수 있다는 주장과, 그에 따른 AMC·게임스탑 단기 가격 전망을 다룬 영상. [헤지펀드 청산 주장] 크레딧스위스, 블랙스톤 펀드 청산, Melvin Capital, Jim Chanos 펀드 등 다수 헤지펀드가 숏 포지션 손실로 폐쇄됐다고 언급. 숏 청산 시 대량 매수가 필요해 가격이 급등할 수 있어 AMC·게임스탑이 억눌려 있다고 주장. [Ken Griffin 경고] 다수 펀드가 같은 트레이드에 몰리는 'crowded trade'가 동시 청산되면 대규모 손실 가능. 시타델 변동성 상승 언급. [AMC] 단기 목표가 $8(약 1주 내, 12월 5~6일), 하락 시 $4. $8 돌파 종가 확인 시 상승 시나리오. 대차 가능 주식 380만 주, 콜/풋 비율 등 옵션 수급 언급. [게임스탑] 1월 9일까지 $11~11.80 목표. 대차 가능 6만 주, 숏 잔고 높음 언급. DTC·Computer Share 관련 음모론적 주장 포함. [S&P500·테슬라·비트코인] S&P500 RSI 70 이상 연속 기록으로 단기 급락 가능성 언급. 테슬라 단기 조정 가능성 있으나 상승 추세 유지 판단. 비트코인 $40,000 돌파 후 강세장 시작 가능성, 42k 저항 주의. SEC 현물 비트코인 ETF 승인 창 2024년 1월 5~10일 언급. [기타] Fidelity 장애, 시장 관련 뉴스 및 커뮤니티/증권 앱 홍보 포함.
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shorts can't close their positions without causing skyrocketing price action closing would mean buying hundreds of millions and probably billions of shares and even Ken Griffin is a little worried at this point as citadel's annualized volatility spiked in 2021 but first let's cover what hedge funds close down and how catastrophic AMC and GameStop will actually be overall guys we got a lot of stuff to cover in today's video make sure to watch until the end and if you enjoy watching or find Value out of the video hit the like button subscribe to the channel have post notifications on let's get into it also guys quick thing I was in Boston last night for a Bruin's game came back that's why this video is going up a little bit later so my apologies for the delay on the video but we are still trying to get one up for you anyway let's jump into what's happening with hedge funds Banks and how catastrophic amcn GameStop will be credit Swiss didn't report any positions from February 2015 through April 2022 so more than 7 years now UBS is stuck with the Legacy cost from both credit s and Aros Blackstone is closing a fund that offers investors exposure to a range of hedge funds including Citadel after the fund's assets fell nearly 90% in the last four years what else do we have tiger Capital going in solvent Melvin capitals G Plotkin admitting to losing their trade in the mem stock position for a loss and forced to close down and become a lowly family office which yes has less regulation Jim chanos hedge fund is about to shut down after shorting AMC and Tesla OD day Asset Management closing down BHS advisers HF shutters Brahman Capital closes after three decades former 72 employees closing hedge fund after nearly 6 years the list goes on and on Citron Candlestick D1 Capital Maple Lane Light Street all insolvent or shuttered due to their shorts on amcn GameStop so you get the idea closing shorts would be catastrophic for the entire system they are stuck on the hamster wheel this is why AMC and GameStop are the most suppress stocks in the entire market and that's why we see it time and time again now what are some things that we have today Fidelity Investments going down again for about the fourth or fifth time in the last couple of months tweeting we are aware that customers are experiencing issues with fidelity.com activet Trader Pro and our mobile app so Fidelity down once again let me know if that worries you guys in the comments down below like this comment says It's Only Money right no rush finally we touched on that big deal with 999 trillion e or 1.5% of that right expiring on quad witching day and according to chat gbt it says it would be an astronomical event now that is for the 999 trillion but guess what the same exact response for 9.9 trillion which is that 1.5% we will see what happens on December 15th again probably nothing they'll probably kick the can down the road and we found something actually crazy with the computer share correlation to GameStop right DRS and your shares we're going to talk a little bit about that in a little bit as well as Citadel after we cover AMC's chart couple good things with AMC crossed $8 billion in the box office so fundamental solid and also another order imbalance but this was actually on the sell side on AMC so they couldn't match the buyers I don't know why they couldn't match the buyers probably because they're routing all the buyers to alternate trading systems alternate exchanges right dark pools 119,000 shares on the sell side adding more selling pressure to the stock AMC is up 2.78% on the day where are we going to go this is what we're tracking right and sell off flush hit the low and then the climb about 8 days right 7 Days 16 hours right here before we hit that Peak that was up 24% and if we take a look at AMC this is my target I'm not going to spend a lot of time on this in seven days right December 6th or December 5th right December 5th to the 6th AMC will be up at $8 this is my shortterm Outlook if this is accurate okay if we're playing through another bearish cycle which could be the possibility $4 so by the end of the year you're looking at $4 or $8 and it's going to tell you bullish or bearish okay that is my Outlook on AMC if you see a break back above s and a full candle close expect that $8 to be the Target that is hit which would be a 24% gain from the relative low or from where we're at now would be a little bit less right probably about a 20% gain from here AMC 3.8 million shares available to borrow call to put ratio 3,000 calls compared to 12,000 calls expiring in the money and a lot of calls 999,000 expiring out of money as well but it is a Friday AMC will probably flush by the end of the day and even still 4X the puts are expiring in the money so the gamma is building to the downside they drop a ton of short exempts on it even when we have a little bit of green so no it's not ready to go just yet GameStop trading at $548 got this momentum got this scale down and based off of the previous cycle I have the same thing drawn out for AMC that way we don't have to spend a lot of time it's up 6% on the day trading at $154 expect GameStop by the time we hit J January 9th okay this is my target January 9th GameStop at $11 okay right around $11 $11.80 that's the range I expect for early January for GameStop GameStop 60,000 shares ailable to borrow free flat locked 48% but we're going to talk about why that may not even matter call to put ratio 18,000 calls compared to basically 4,000 puts expiring in the money gamma ramp to the upside still on this big run we had this week and a lot more calls being bet that are out of money a lot of Premium went to market makers and that is exactly what they wanted to do pump the stock dump short exempts after retail purchases calls right wasting your money on that premium look how high the short exempts are on GameStop never this High Ever you go down the line never this High okay extremely high they are dumping this thing now this DD has a legit SEC file but you see the transfer agent is Computer Share and it doesn't matter because the DTC has the full custody but it goes way deeper and more Sinister than that what is Computer Share holding if the DTC has full custody they're holding an IOU on behalf of your ownership the DTC or dtcc is a Black Vault and obligation Warehouse you can see right here DTC remains with custody and control of the shares so does it really matter when the free float is locked it may not even matter you know the DTC is the same party that bailed out Robin Hood as well during that squeeze with about N9 I believe 9.8 billion or somewhat now after talking about the hedge funds that have closed down and what's happening with AMC and GameStop and how it'll correlate let's talk about how even can Griffin is a little bit worried there are these so-called pod shops a strategy that divies up money across dozens or even hundreds of teams that operate somewhat independently across a range of markets and strategies these pod shops a term often used interchangeably with multi strategy funds or autonomous Risk Takers is something that Ken Griffin previously commented on now before we get into his comment as of mid year there were 55 pod shops multi strats and single strategy overseeing 368 billion with about half that amount controlled by the five biggest firms now what did Ken Griffin comment he says in quotes crowded trades could lead to widespread losses if all of them head for the exits at once and we see that the SEC officials as well as the treasury Department have warned that the firm's favored basis trade could destabilize treasury markets adding that one large bank is approaching the limit of how much it's willing to lend to them some investors are growing more weary so overcrowding concerns about the amount of Leverage at individual firms collectively everyone is worried about a potential Snowball Effect and it appears that despite citadel's claim of tight risk controls and being well capitalized CEO Ken Griffin appears to be exercising some caution in the face of declining investor interest in pod shops and fears about taking painful hits to equity so it's not all sunshine and rainbows as Bloomberg writes about how Citadel and multi manager funds dominate the fund industry and how it has led to Industry Giants that pile into to many of the same trades now this is a problem because if they're counteracting jumping into the same trades this is where Ken Griffin's comment comes in and says crowded trades could lead to widespread losses if all of them head for the exit at the same time so if all these funds all these institutions jump in the same trade for example bringing up AMC and GameStop for the case all of these funds jump into the short trade and then at the same time head for the exits this could cause a serious serious problem and Ken Griffin is now saying now I'm getting a little worried and you can see that in their volatility now before we get into extra stuff to close out the video Spy Tesla Bitcoin and some additional information guys join the Discord the link is right under the video we're getting new members I welcome you guys with open arms whether you're a beginner or Advanced Trader this is a place to go the best Vibes you can talk with me you can request videos post games post losses overall it's just a place to be and all it is is one coffee a month or you can pay for the year there is a deal on that as well get in the Discord the link is right under the video and if you want to know more watch the trailer the link will take you to the trailer also if you guys want up to 15 free stocks you valued up to 2 Grand per stock and 5.1% apy on your uninvested cash use my link sign up for Mumu and make a deposit you guys will not regret it get those free stocks it takes 2 minutes out of your day one click of a button on the mumu link both under the video and pin in the top of comments are the Discord link and the mumu link now the S&P 500 has now traded with a daily RSI above 70 since November 20th and you can see that right here this is the longest daily streak of the 70 plus RSI which means the Spy is in a very very scary area and you could expect a flash down now fed Powell today said that rate cut talks are premature and the S&P 500 jumped to a 5mon high now this is old news because it jumped higher than a 5- Monon High the Spy actually hit an all-time high today the Spy recently hit 45955 for its all-time high and we broke it by 10 cents trading at 4965 today making a new high for the spy and now is the decision time take a look at last time we hit this a hard flush down to that rela to level right around 451 I assume you may see the same move down to 452 by the end of the day it is a Friday maybe we get a catalyst once we see a catalyst expect that flush down especially since we hit that all-time high we said once we hit this High we either need to see a Candlestick close above 460 volume pick up and a lot of strength in the market or you're going to see that very very hard retracement so watch for that Tesla 23935 down.
3% on the day where is this trade going I should have taken profits on my calls but I held through and now I'm red and I am honestly not worried Tesla is still looking solid getting a slight retracement broke back into the macro trend line which I don't like however it bounced off of the 382 fib and it held that support pretty solid there are some Gap fills on The Daily to the downside right around the 220 area if those do play out we could see a week or two of straight red on Tesla before getting that second climb however I wouldn't worry too much about it we are still in the blue range and we hit the top of the blue range which would have been a good spot to take profits we also hit the top of this trend line watch for a third test on it to get an early breakout if we do get that overall the Tesla trade looking solid if you guys are still in it with me let me know in the comments down below and the Tesla cybertruck pricing now is a single motor for about 60k dual motor 80k and a tri motor 100k so their margins are a lot higher they are a little bit more expensive if you're getting a cybertruck let me know Bitcoin broke 38,000 almost breaking up to that $40,000 level once we break above that you're getting into a new range and that bull market is starting watch 42k for a rejection on bitcoin SEC spot Bitcoin ETF potential approval window is between January 5th and January 10th of 2024 so very very soon finally Argentina declines invitation to join bricks overall guys that is what I got for you for today's video hopefully you enjoyed watching or found value out of the video make sure to check the links get in the Discord the most important thing download momu get your free stocks have post notifications on I love you all lottery socks out
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