저자: CathieWood · 외국인
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캐시 우드는 테슬라 주가가 1분기 실적발표를 앞두고 이번 주 급등할 수 있다고 전망하며, 장기적으로 2025년까지 3000달러 목표를 유지한다. 우드의 투자 철학: 2020년 ARK 6개 ETF 모두 100% 이상 수익을 냈고, 혁신 기술(AI·DNA 시퀀싱·로봇·에너지 저장·블록체인)에 집중하며 투자 기간은 5년이다. 테슬라 상승 촉매: 독일 기가팩토리 가동으로 유럽 생산을 늘리고 상하이 수입 비용을 줄이며, 텍사스 기가팩토리 차량 출하가 이달 말 시작될 예정이다. 실적 기대: 2022년 3월 분기 실적이 4월 20일 장 마감 후 발표되며, 생산 차질에도 인도량이 소폭 증가했다는 점이 낙관 근거로 제시된다. 수치 근거: 2021년 2분기 매출은 약 120억 달러로 전년 대비 두 배 이상, 순이익은 11억 달러로 10배 증가했다. 2020년 1분기 인도량은 31만 대였다. 비용·가격 전망: 배터리팩 가격 하락으로 전기차 평균 가격이 1~2년 내 내연차 이하로 떨어지고 2025년에는 약 1만 8천 달러가 될 것으로 본다. 애널리스트 컨센서스: 30명 평균 목표가 약 935달러(범위 250~1580달러), 매수 15·보유 7·매도 8로 보유 의견이 우세하다. 모건스탠리는 매수·목표 1300달러, 파이퍼샌들러는 1350달러로 상향했다. 리스크: 상하이 공장 가동 중단(코로나 규제), 신공장 램프업 지연, 금리 인상 우려로 인한 성장주 약세, 2분기 초반 부진 가능성. 완전자율주행(FSD): 머스크는 2022년 말까지 FSD 달성에 대한 강한 확신을 밝혔다. 결론: 단기 급등 가능성을 언급하지만 이후 유지 여부는 불확실하다고 마무리한다.
다듬은 글
kathy wood the founder and chief executive officer and chief investment officer of arc invest just revealed that tesla stock would blow up this week with the first quarter earnings call coming up tesla investors and fans are enthusiastic about reports and experts like wood are bullish on tesla stock saying it may see an upward climb soon why does kathy wood believe tesla stock will blow up in the coming week what are the statistics and developments to back her claims keep watching to find out when all six arc etfs returned more than one hundred percent in 2020 while the s p 500 only gained 16 wood earned widespread acclaim as a famous investor the obliteration of market returns by six different funds validated wood's claim that innovation is the quickest way to grow the focus of woods investment strategy is to find high impact breakthroughs according to wood artificial intelligence dna sequencing robots energy storage and blockchain technology are the high level areas of concentration five platforms that will be major areas of growth and transformation for the global economy tesla certainly fits the bill woods investment horizon is five years which is noteworthy that time frame in her opinion maximizes investment returns for disruptive inventors these stocks might be worth a lot of money in less than five years tesla the electric car maker has wood support she predicted a price target of three thousand dollars within five years in 2021 after reaching a peak point of around 1 200 in november 2021 tesla is now trading around the thousands a swift rebound from its former lower levels following the opening of tesla's gigabill implant for business the company's stock has climbed to breach the one trillion dollar market cap once again being a tesla bull wood has previously stated that she believes tesla's stock will reach 3000 by 2025.
why does she believe tesla stock will blow up this week when you look at recent tesla activities in news it's easy to see why there's been a storm of bullish catalysts for one with the inauguration of the gigafactory in germany tesla will be able to dramatically increase production in europe while simultaneously cutting costs of importing cars from its shanghai factory tesla will begin shipping vehicles from its gigafactory in texas later this month the company's fremont factory in california which has a capacity of 500 000 electric vehicles per year produces all tesla automobiles sold in the united states gigafactory texas is expected to be more than triple its output once fully operational although that will be a few years away lastly tesla is expected to release profits for its fiscal quarter ending in march 2022 after the market closes on april 20th this month investors are eager to see the figures after rumors of higher deliveries and profits spread widely it's true that the last earnings call did nothing to improve the stock but there were bigger powers at play then experts expected the stock to soar in value after the astonishing fourth quarter report of 2021 but it instead fell much lower investors began selling their equities in anticipation of the federal reserve's scheduled rate hike which they worried would drive the stock's value down even further to be honest it's been a bumpy year so far for all equities especially growth stocks and most estimates were wobbly at best so what are the chances that wood's forecast will come true we believe that when people see how well tesla fared despite supply issues market sentiment will shift toward the positive according to polls almost every other brand saw double-digit sales decrease due to supply issues rather than insufficient demand heightening tesla's superiority some say this was due to tesla's application of investable innovation a key trait would emphasized in the past woods technique is based on two essential elements the first is that not all opportunities are created through innovation investable innovation according to wood reduces costs crosses industries and geographies and encourages additional innovation sound familiar the second point is that determining optimal investments involves both broad and detailed investigation on further research tesla's numbers support her claims in the second quarter of 2021 tesla set a new sales record of about 12 billion dollars more than double what it had done a year before the second quarter's net income was 1.1 billion dollars which was 10 times more than the same period the previous year and it's been an upward slope from there while some experts say the company is expensive because of its high price to earnings ratio others believe it has a good growth in earnings prospects according to a study by investment bank jefferies tesla has been able to pass on greater raw material costs to customers boosting vehicle prices while maintaining sales and market share tesla's stock price is expected to be affected by the revenue statistics that will be released on april 20th however it's important to note that despite a downtime in its shanghai facility supply chain challenges and rising material costs deliveries increased slightly to 310 000 units in the first quarter of 2020.
due to this tesla has already set expectations high and how investors will react to the numbers remains to be seen regardless of short-term catalysts kathy wood is in it for the long run when asked why she thinks tesla would go very far in the coming years woods cited price cuts in battery pack systems as well as some of the advantages of electric vehicles these include saving money on gas paying 10 cents per kilowatt hour is the equivalent of driving on less than one dollar per gallon of gasoline the fact that because of the efficient electric motor there is less maintenance better performance and so on as the world gets more concerned about climate change tesla can only get more popular as a result of these premises she expects the average price of an electric vehicle will fall below that of a gas-powered vehicle in the next year or two this trend is predicted to continue until 2025 when the average electric vehicle will cost eighteen thousand dollars versus twenty five to twenty six thousand dollars for traditional gasoline vehicles what do the most recent tesla stock forecasts for 2022 mean for investors according to marketbeat the average tesla stock projection from 30 analysts is 935.47 per share with a wide variation between the low estimate of two hundred and fifty dollars and the high estimate of one thousand five hundred and eighty dollars analysts have widely divergent options on the stocks fair value based on fundamentals versus the appeal among investors there were 15 buy ratings 7 hold ratings and 8 cell ratings resulting in a consensus of hold recommendation morgan stanley analysts confirmed their buy recommendation on march 18th with a 1 300 tesla stock estimate for 2022.
on february 14th piper sandler a u.s investment firm boosted its price objective from 1300 to 1350 with an overweight rating these predictions are all subject to change and are highly dependent on tesla's performance in the months to come several analysts think that the sequential growth will accelerate even further later this year notably in the second half of 2022 production has already commenced at the company's german facility tesla's new texas factory could start producing cars in a matter of months however because the second quarter is off to a shaky start things may become worse before they get better for example tesla's manufacturing in china has been put on hold due to covet 19 rules furthermore bringing new factories up to speed takes time as a result any impact from tesla's berlin production in the second quarter is likely to be minimal some believe there will be a direct impact on profitability because tesla has had a difficult year like the other original equipment manufacturers despite all of this tesla is still aiming for a 50 increase in vehicle deliveries tesla's delivery figures by 2022 according to jean munster managing partner at loop ventures are impressive given the challenges and we agree tesla he noted will continue to outperform other automakers in terms of sales growth tesla remains the most well-known electric vehicle company tesla is currently the world's leading manufacturer of electric vehicles volkswagen and general motors come in second and third respectively with a 15 market share in terms of what is to come full self-driving technology is still in the works musk has underlined his confidence in his 2022 projection saying he will be shocked if tesla does not accomplish full self-driving before the end of the year based on the promise of full self-driving technology finally being delivered in 2022 on the heels of a positive earnings call report we believe that wood might be right tesla's stock price might surge in the coming week will the stock price maintain those high levels in the coming months that remains to be seen do you agree with kathy wood what revenue numbers do you predict for the upcoming earnings call comment down below
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