저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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엔비디아 Blackwell 출하 지연 우려에도 수요 자체는 견조하다며 엔비디아가 12% 하락 시 매수를 권함. 엔비디아 펀더멘털은 탄탄하고 밸류에이션도 버블 수준이 아니며, 최근 급락은 중간 사이클 조정일 뿐이라고 봄. 아마존 매수도 언급. 인텔 하락은 파운드리 투자와 AI 기회 놓침 때문이라고 설명. 애플 하락 요인으로 버핏의 지분 매각을 지목.
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take another look Nvidia informed me that Blackwell would be sampling and that they would ship in bulk during the second half receive a 50% reduction on every item in the shop only the first 50 music buyers will be eligible for this deal it slipped according to the information and it won't be shipping volume perhaps until the second half now some people were arguing that it wouldn't be ready in 2025 because of this I don't get that would I pay 12% less for Nvidia yes I believe you should get Nvidia when it drops by 12% if it rises to 86 you should purchase more what am I going to tell you really buying is not that risky regardless of whether they are delayed or not it's a supply issue rather than a demand issue and Supply is usually less important to investors the problem arises if you tell me there is no demand however according to my sources Zuckerberg would accept each and every Blackwell the client are present people were dismayed I Believe by the Amazon conference call because they said look we have to buy and Google said we have to buy although Amazon produces certain chips Blackwell is superior Nvidia has been too heated though I didn't like it when their products were being used to mine cryptocurrency and this is a major adjustment for NVIDIA however should I exclude Nvidia no would I like to purchase Amazon right now yes so sort of David Amazon is currently at 154 down from 200 assume for the moment that I would like to own 100 shares of Amazon I purchase 25 and I purchase an additional 25 if the price drops by an additional $3 the degree of fear at the moment is not in line with the facts so I'm attempting to be a little objective I apologize to Warren Buffet once more to put it simply Tim Cook and Warren Buffet did not sit down for the go in or the go out you have to decide for yourself in my opinion and aside from meta I felt that apple had the finest quarter out of all these large corporations additionally I don't want to sell all of these equities due to Japanese related issues yes look at the losers arm is one of them about arm I'm a little concerned although it had a good quarter soft Bank owns a significant amount which worries me describe the issue yes arm is fully under soft bank's control after all the float is still minuscule compared to the whole proportion we don't know what soft bank has been up to but the stock opened at 50 and was at $58 we don't know if they made the trade either in terms of the Yen or in terms of you see we know they can return but we don't know much so what that they may need to sell some of their arms I'm concerned about it now Nvidia may I simply state that there will be a consideration that the the information tale is incorrect and that they must postpone the Blackwell because once more if the business tells me that look nothing's really changed since August you might say that they made vague statements between July and August well you know what they're trying to say during the quiet period is that we're fine you could say when a corporation is quiet and unable to defend itself like a defenseless giant it's a fantastic moment to hit them over the weekend in a truly awful Market you you know what I say as I sit here I should merely work at another employment if I wish to respond to the informational narrative I should just start watching peacock all the time I'm not sure you want to be cautious fair and thoughtful there ought to be greater consideration how about the historic Russell exchange if all you want to do is join the rep how is that going it appears that you were unable to escape since they wouldn't prohibit you from going out and the buyin was entirely with the futures it was a roach motel trade they tell me that not just listen we'll take you out down 3% they wouldn't Brokers wouldn't do it the Russell then is a fantastic trade wonderful what appealed to me about it it was small cap I see now it was nice small cap you must be an expert in your field that ought to be a requirement Chris Caso a senior Analyst at Wolf research is here since Intel is a stock that is is being impacted this morning you might want to talk to the person who knows everything however last week wow did it get hit yes it did as you may know Intel experienced a rather unique development it has to do with the money they have been spending to fix their production and the fact that I has being overlooked therefore it's somewhat inconsistent with you know why receive a 50% reduction on every item in the shop only the first 50 music buyers will be eligible for this deal clearly one of the things driving the market has been vid strength however it's not really different because Intel's current predicament is partly due to their failure to capitalize on I it doesn't however address the current state of affairs at Nvidia which is still demonstrating significant strength the point is do you think you know we were talking about sort of Warren Buffet sale on Isle 5 when you see the stock at this price on a morning like this do you think it's amazing or do you believe that this is a knife that is dropping and that there is still much more to fall yes and I always respect the markets when they act in a way similar to what they did on Friday and today the foundations of Nvidia are still very solid in my opinion it never reached a bubble-like valuation so it isn't as of right present nidia's earnings for the year are $4 it's going higher than that I believe it is roughly a multiple of 25 for what is undoubtedly one of the most significant stocks on the market it is a great bargain because I is the other aspect of this just think about it for a moment when you're thinking about let's think even more widely now and this morning we're examining Apple D it's a sign of the bigger problem even though I know it's not a stock you cover specifically we witnessed Warren Buffett sell his shares in that business in addition to everything else that's happening I believe that's probably Weighing on Apple however do you think I will trigger a kind of enormous super cycle if you will in terms of all Hardware improvements over the course of the next year or two or do You observe that a large number of chips are being sold to fuel cloud eye actually you may divide it into three categories the first is AI for NVIDIA which Powers the models themselves as you may know you need it first and that should be your primary priority and it won't go away that will not go away the second section then discusses smartphones followed by PCS because of what Apple done which states that you must have an iPhone 15 Pro or higher to run Apple I whether you need it or not we are much more optimistic about I on smartphones and the reason for that is that Apple controls the ecosystem from the PC perspective we're less optimistic about that all right this is because for example neither Microsoft nor Intel can or it is not in Microsoft's best interest to pressure you into purchasing a new pc it will open today at 96 because Nvidia was at 141 that's exactly 32% it was more than $3 trillion you know in theory it might eventually be less than $2 trillion indeed Nvidia has dominated the market and clearly outperformed all other competitors however we do not anticipate a 32% decline in the NASDAQ only 10% has been lost as previously said the Dow and S&P are down 4% and 6% respectively Nvidia has experienced a 32% decline who gets caught up to whom well and keep in mind that nvidia's growth match the increase in profits they're profitable you know when it comes down to it what is the mol doing now it has dropped 32% and I suppose that during the past week we have talked to investors and part of that was to see what might be going on in the Market this Retreat is being sniffed out the stock that they made the most money on was Nvidia that's where you make money it was a great year for me now is not the time to ruin the year let's remove some Financial uncertainty people phone you and ask whether you tell them to go buy buy buy buy since everything is so cheap today or do you tell them to hold their fire we're still there listen since we haven't noticed it in the fundamentals I believe this to be a bit of a midcycle correction for instance I would be concerned if we saw a Slowdown in the use of AI for instance the hyperscalers have told us so far this quarter that Capital expenditures are rather high at the moment
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