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【20240602】下げたら買いたいTECL

おっさんのNISA · 2024-06-02 · 유튜브 시청 46 · Board Views 5 · International

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저자: 출연자미상 · 외국인

요약 보기

2020년부터 나스닥 레버리지 중심으로 미국주식 투자 중인 직장인 투자자의 월간 근황 영상. 금리 인상 우려로 주초 하락 후 PCE 발표로 반등. 주간 수익 약 21만엔 가량, 누적 평가액 언급. 6~7월 계절성상 개선 기대, 나스닥100 정기 적립 유지, 레버리지 ETF(TECL 등) 비중을 점진적으로 확대하려는 계획. TMF 추가 매수 의사 표명, 금리 하락 가능성에 베팅. 하락 시에도 매도하지 않겠다는 원칙 강조.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. Hello, I'm a salaryman who has been investing in US stocks through a NISA course since 2020. In this video, I will introduce my investment situation and future investment plans. Thank you for watching. This week, US stocks were 210,000 yen. My US stock investments, which I started with 2 million yen in 2020, have now grown to a total of 675 yen.

02. In the first half of the week, there was a statement from a government official that US interest rate hikes are still possible, and interest rates rose. As a result, the stock market was down on Tuesday and Wednesday. Then, on Friday, the PCE indicator was released, and stock prices recovered, ending the week.

03. This is the result of the PCE announced on Friday. The market responded that inflation is under control. My portfolio is mostly made up of leveraged stocks, circled in red. My assets fluctuate greatly with the price movements of KCL. This week, TCL's stock price fell by 7%, but I would like to buy more if it falls a little further.

04. This is the weekly percentage change of the Nasdaq 100. In May, I finished with 3 wins and 1 loss. From here on, June and July tend to see an improvement in performance. This is the result extracted only for the year of the presidential election, shown in yellow. Compared to averaging all years, the results for July and August tend to be much better when only considering the year of the presidential election.

05. This suggests that we can expect an increase similar to the strong performance in January and February of this year. As shown in the previous table, when we separate the data by year, we can see trends in the ups and downs from month to month, but in the long term, US stocks continue to rise as shown in the graph.

06. I believe it is important to hold on and not sell even if there is a small dip. This is my plan. I will be regularly investing in the Nasdaq 100. Some people say that it is better to do it all at once at the beginning of the year, but I would be in trouble if my life became difficult, and I would regret it if there was a crash in April or May, so I am thinking of doing it at a steady pace.

07. Next, I am thinking of gradually switching to leveraged products such as KECL and SPXL. When I originally started investing in US stocks, I bought a lot of high-dividend ETFs, but Nasdaq I saw that it rose more than high-dividend ETFs, and even more so that leveraged funds rose more than the Nasdaq, so I decided to invest in leveraged products.

08. It's good when the market is rising steadily, but in a market that keeps going up and down, the stock price decreases, so I'm trying to reduce the proportion to something like a satellite position. After all, it's easier on the mind to have stability. Next, I'm going to buy more TMF, a leveraged product, although you might say that contradicts what I just said.

09. Buying bonds when it's clear that interest rates will fall in the future seems like a rigged game in terms of value, but maybe that's not the case? Finally, whether stock prices go up or down, I'm going to stick to my plan and not make reflexive buy or sell decisions. When I hear bad news, I get anxious, but in those cases I just ignore it.

10. I've made reflexive buy and sell decisions in the past, and it really never ends well. Lastly, if you found this video interesting and would like to watch more, please subscribe to the channel.

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