저자: YahooFinance출연자Brian · 외국인
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캐시 우드의 ARK 펀드가 테슬라 주식을 최근 대량 매도 중이라는 소식이 핵심이다. 매도 규모: 최근 약 8만1600주(약 6,200만 달러), 월초 이후 약 26.6만 달러어치(약 35만 주) 매도. 테슬라는 여전히 ARK 펀드의 주요 보유 종목이다. 우드의 기존 입장: 주식분할 기준 목표가 3,000달러(분할 전 기준 약 15,000달러)를 제시하며 테슬라에 여전히 긍정적이라고 밝혔다. 다만 차익실현은 수시로 하는 성향이라는 설명이 덧붙었다. 진행자 해석: 대규모 매도는 테슬라 강세론자에게 경고 신호(red flag)일 수 있으며, 부품 부족, 전기차 경쟁 심화(GM 투자자의 날, 리비안 IPO 가능성) 등이 우려 요인으로 거론됐다. 주가 흐름: 올해 들어 약 7% 상승, 5월 중순 이후 약 34% 상승. 2020년 대비 조정세를 보였다. 밸류에이션 리스크: 선행 PER 약 100배, 후행 매출 대비 주가 약 21배, PBR 약 31배로 고평가 부담이 있으며, 연준의 긴축(테이퍼링)이 고밸류 성장주에 부담이 될 수 있다는 지적이 나왔다. 출연자 전망: 테슬라에 대한 구체적 단기 방향 예측은 명시되지 않았고, 우드의 3,000달러 장기 목표가가 가장 뚜렷한 견해다.
다듬은 글
welcome back to Yahoo finance live it's time now for our sauzy take and Brian will walk you through what he's watching in markets today and Brian this morning you're taking a look at the latest on Kathy Woods Arc funds and it looks like the major arc ETFs are unloading more shares of Tesla what's the latest on that yeah Kathy Wood I think quietly making some news uh on one of her favorite companies and that is in fact Tesla stock in a company that essentially made her name in 2020 nonetheless Kathy Wood uh her Exchange Trade of funds are selling more of that Tesla stake recently uh just sold 81 600 shares as of Wednesday that's about 62 million dollars worth of shares now month to date uh wood has sold about 266 million dollars worth of Tesla shares that's about 350 000 shares uh in total now Tesla is overall it's still one of wood's largest Holdings in her very various ETFs she continues to like the company in fact I just talked to her about this a week and a half ago take a listen our new number our base case for for Tesla with this on the split stock is three thousand uh the stock right now is a little over uh 700.
on the old basis that would be 15 000. so what that tells you uh is uh our estimate for Tesla's uh going down from 2000 year-end 2017 to today has actually gone up fairly dramatically around the world so it is a little surprising to me Emily to see would selling or really just lightning load here on Tesla so aggressively and I would say it's somewhat aggressive here anytime you dump 300 million dollars worth of stock uh that is not chump change uh as they would say here despite wood looking or or she sees fair value to three thousand dollars a share now by the same token I will mention what has not hidden the fact that she likes to trim positions you know she's not going to hold on to these stocks for uh 20 years and not take any profits she will take profits uh when she sees fit and allocate that cash into other places but overall I would say Emily it is a little bit of a red flag to those Tesla Bulls to see Kathy Wood selling here that's one of the that's one of the red flags here and you have Tesla you have her selling these stocks you have to wonder if you're a bull uh here Emily what does Kathy would see that you don't is she concerned about component shortages this is something that Elon Musk warned about recently on Twitter how that might impact Tesla's sales and profits for the balance of this year number two you know there is a lot of EV competition we've been saying this for two to three years but this is now starting to finally come to fruition I'm getting ready to go out to Michigan uh in early October spend a day with the General Motors team uh for their investor day they're likely to talk up the barrage of electric cars they have coming out over the next few years and then last but not least Emily bring on that rivian IPO uh it is likely that rivian IPOs at some point this year and now you have Tesla potentially competing for investors that love the electric vehicle story right and I think you you make a lot of good points Brian and I think as you mentioned one of the big things that investors should keep in context with this headline news of Kathy Wood uh unloading more Tesla shares is the fact that again Tesla still does Remain the largest holding in many of these major arc funds but I think as we take a look uh from an investment perspective here for Tesla really has had quite a bit of a moderation in terms of its stock price this year compared to that 743 runoff that we saw so far in 20 or really last year in 2020 and you know year to date we have Tesla shares up just seven percent so far this year over a little bit of a shorter Horizon it has fared a bit better up about 34 since mid-may but again I think these concerns about competition are something that investors are really keeping an eye on here and the fact that uh of course one of the uh bull cases that so many analysts have been focusing on for Tesla is about Automation and is the fact that it does have this lead over other competitors when it comes to uh just the data that it has on its users in terms of being able to deploy software to its Fleet its existing customer base and of course just last year the Myriad uh really Catalyst that we had for Tesla that a lot of other automakers didn't we had Tesla being included in the S P 500 posting consecutive quarters of profitability uh posting record deliveries when we saw the rest of the Legacy Auto industry really getting hit by the pandemic and I think when you try to follow a year like that it does make it difficult for a stock to really maintain that type of growth so perhaps no surprise that we are seeing a little bit of profit taking here now you're on the mark there Emily and lastly I will just add two at its core what is Tesla it is a high multiple uh growth stock I'm looking at some data here now on the platform our platform forward priced earnings multiple a hundred times uh price to sales trailing 12 months 21 times you have a price to book trailing 12 months I hope I'm not putting anybody to sleep with this stuff but it is actually important 31 times and I think if we've learned anything the past decade since the the great financial crisis ended any time the FED pulls back on liquidity as they're they are likely to do over the next 12 months with their tapering program that has brought more challenges for high multiple stocks so potentially wood is trying to get out in front of that here absolutely and again Brian we just flashed that five-year chart for Tesla and really staggering seeing that growth in uh the share price over the past couple of years
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