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and of course i'm out performing everybody i'm 95 years old and i friendly never have a transaction and the answer is i'm right and they're wrong and that's why it's worked for me and not for them and so i always knew from the very first i was a little boy that the opportunities that were important that were going to come to me were few and that the trick was to prepare myself for seizing the few that came this is not the attitude they have in a big investment counseling thing if they study a million things they can know a million things and that and of course the result is almost nobody can outperform an index whereas i sit here with my daily journal stock my berkshire hathaway stock my holdings of lilu's asian fund my costco stock and of course i'm outperforming everybody i'm 95 years old and i frankly never have a transaction and the answer is i'm right and they're wrong and that's why it's worked for me and not for them and now the question is do you want to be more like me or more like them the the idea of diversification makes sense to a point if you don't know what you're doing and you want the standard result and not be embarrassed well of course you can widely diversify now nobody's entitled a lot of money for recognizing that because it's a truism it's like knowing that two and two equals four and but the investment professionals think they're helping you by arranging a dir diversification an idiot could diversify a portfolio and or a computer for that matter and but the whole trick of the game is to have have a few times when you know that something is better than average and invest only where you have that extra knowledge and then if you get just a few opportunities that's enough and what tells you here you own three securities and jp morgan chase owns a hundred you know it's what's wrong with owning a few securities warren always says if you lived in a growing town and you owned stock and three of the best enterprises in the town isn't that diversified enough the answer is of course it is they're all wonderful places and that fortunes formula which got so famous which was a formula to tell people how much to bet on each transaction if you had an edge and of course the bigger your edge the more close the transaction was to a certain winner the more you should bet and of course there's mathematics behind it but of course it's true it's perfectly possible to buy by only one thing because the opportunity is so great and such a change or only two or three so the whole idea of diversification when you're looking for excellence is totally ridiculous it doesn't work it gives you an impossible task what fun is it to do an impossible task over and over again i find it agony i just who would want to do it and and i don't see why my father had a client he was a lawyer in omaha he had a client whose husband had a little soap company and the guy died and my father sold the soap company this woman was one of the richest people in town in the middle of the depression and what she had was a little soap company in a biggest mansion in omaha's best neighborhood they sold the soap company she had a mansion in the best neighborhood and three hundred thousand dollars but dollars in 1930 something was an incredible amount of money a little hamburger was a nickel a big hamburger was a dime and the all-you-can-eat cafe in omaha would feed you all you needed to stay alive for two bits a day i mean three hundred thousand well she didn't hire an investment counselor she didn't do anything she's a wonderful old woman and she just took that and she divided into five chunks and she bought five stocks i remember three of them because i probated her estate and it was one almost general electric one was dow one was dupont i forgot the other two and she never changed those stocks she never paid any advisor she never did anything and she bought some municipal bonds she never spent her income and she bought some minnesota bonds from time to time with the ending by the time she died in the 50s she had a million and a half dollars no costs no expenses and i said how did you decide to do that and she said well she said i thought electricity and chemistry were the coming things he just chunked it all in and sat on her ass i always liked that little lawn my kind of a girl and but it's rare you know but if you stop to think about think of all the expense and palabra that she didn't have to listen to and all the trouble she avoided and zero costs and of course what people don't realize because they're so mathematically illiterate is if you make five percent and pay two of it to your advisors you're not losing forty percent of your future you're losing ninety percent because over a long period of time that little difference causes a 90 disadvantage to you so it's hugely important for somebody who's a long-term holder not to be paying a big annual toll out of the performance and of course there are a few big time advisors now are using indexation very heavily and of course they're prospering mightily and of course every time they get somebody it's just agony for the rest of the investment counseling business and this is a very serious problem and i think these people were used to winning as old-time value investors who are now just quitting the profession that's a very understandable thing to do i i regard it as more noble than staying in with you know playing along with the denial
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