저자: Josh · 외국인
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시장은 상승과 하락 우려가 혼재한 변동성 장세로 봄. 소수 대형주가 지수를 끌어올려 시장 폭이 좁아 경고 신호로 봄. 팔란티어는 보유 권고, 엔비디아는 단기적으로 140~145 저항 테스트를 예상하며 120 이하를 매수 구간으로 제시하고 장기 목표 180~200 제시. 우버는 매수 신호 발생 후 상승 추세로 판단하며 목표 약 77.5 제시. 인플레이션, 소비심리, 고용 우려를 하락 리스크로 언급.
다듬은 글
there's a ton of volatility in the market today because we're up towards the highs on some things and the Market's trying to decide whether it's time to get out lock in some gains because they're asking the question is this Market bearish or bullish I talked a lot about this from December to January that we were going to see a period of evaluation re-evaluation but the market hasn't fallen apart and we're not in a bare Market at all right now there are companies hitting their all-time highs right now we have been talking about some of them palente teers doing extremely well but the breadth of the market which is the number of companies the scale of companies getting to their all-time high that's actually quite low and so it's a handful of companies that's actually pushing the market higher and that is definitely an early warning sign of more trouble ahead and so I've been talking about not getting too bullish on some big tech companies that are at their all-time highs and everyone's investment journey is going to be different I've talked about the fact that there are some companies that are not investable right now and yet I've talked about the fact that there are some companies like paler where it's not sellable right now you want to hold your winner because it's winning you know it's like if you were betting on a horse to win I'm not a gambler but you know I guess maybe is gambling a good analogy for investment I don't know it's all speculation but if you're gambling on a horse to win and it's beating everybody else and it's a few feet away from the end zone you don't take the BET off right then so Palante teer I talked when it hit $102 I said don't sell it pump the breakes it's not going lower it's going higher and today it hit $112 so when it was 102 I said don't sell this thing it's 112 right now when a lot of other things were falling but you're like Josh I've heard about paler and I didn't sell and I'm up more thank you for that what do you got for me today I do have something for you today we're going to talk about the fact that another company we're going to cover we got to talk about Nvidia which is another one that I was saying bye bye bye on the dip dip dip dip and it's not dipping anymore why isn't it dipping anymore is deep seek no longer a problem well I don't think deep seek was ever a problem I think it was a gift given to us by the AI overlords a buying opportunity and uh so what happened there is Big tech companies coming out and saying we're not decreasing our capex spending we're increasing our capex spending because that's at the moment it's that's what the market wants to see because the AI story is hot it's not going anywhere and only those who are properly positioned in the years ahead are going to be the long-term winners one of the big problems we're dealing with Google is that there is the problem that they have been built their success and their massive moat around their 90 plus percent search engine market share dominance business and AD business that model has changed people are looking at Tick Tock and open Ai and chat GPT they're looking at these things to search up topics they're no longer going to Google so Google's got to continue to spend Amazon they're in the same boat as Google massive market share who can compete against Amazon that dude is so deep in the pockets of our politicians smoothing out his future uh market dominance uh that nobody's really been able to compete against Amazon at the scale of business they have but they will lose that scale if they don't continue to ramp up their AI investment it's going to be a double-edged sword it's going to be a point where they need to invest but then the Market's going to be looking for that Roi and so all of this is setting up for some big opportunities uh and I'm going to cover one stock that I like a lot and I alerted it just two days ago in in the stocks with Josh Discord and said guys we've got a clearly defined Buy Signal on this bad boy and I'm going to give you the spot on this stock that you may want to consider looking at very closely if you had caught my trade setup on this one from two days ago you would be up massively today on this bad boy but I think that the Run isn't uh ending on this particular play it's just beginning so give me a few minutes and I'm going to go into that but before I do it's Friday we had we did it again another great trading week this is the stocks with Josh show appreciate each and every one of you I think the other day I had like four to five hours of being Live on YouTube and there's some folks that were with me the entire journey I appreciate you thank you very much we did live shows on my page live shows on other Traders other YouTubers page and I had a live trade session that never ended for three hours thank you thank you thank you for all of your participation thank you for joining me today hit this subscribe consider joining my prot trading Community stocks with Josh chart goat University we've had nothing but killer trade setups there this week now I'm going to go over three of them very quickly all three that I gave today were winners Tesla apple and Eli Lily and Eli Lily again for the massive win these are trade setups that I give every single morning before the Market opens and if you need a little guidance and you're thinking where do I start what do I look at well you can join the stocks with Josh or Discord and you can get two to three thought out trade setups that have been analyzed by me and all you have to do is take the trade if the price crosses a trend line to the upside or to the downside that I give you uh come check it out out okay what is the market struggling with I think there are three problems in this market and it is the fear of inflation inflation hasn't gone away inflation is ticking up it just ticked up inflation is a problem and if we have increasing inflation we're not getting Easy Money number two we have an issue with consumer sentiment and Consumer Debt Consumer Credit these are dangerously tipping the sentiment behind this Market which is ultimately the sentiment of buying and spending and consuming could be losing Steam and if you lose the consumer then you lose the Bull Run you lose the market and so this is something that analysts are looking at between Rising inflation and a concerned consumer right they're getting very close to to getting out of stocks the third problem is jobs now Jobs is actually been holding up pretty well however people are afraid of what Donald Trump is doing between Doge right and immigration so ice and Doge Doge ice is the concern and no that's not the next new hot meme coin that is the Department of governmental efficiency which is where elon's been going across the board and firing people that are not doing uh What uh they should be doing or spending money your money in a way that they shouldn't be spending it he's attempting to clean house right but this ultimately is going to affect the job numbers and it's going to affect consuming in the US and then the concern is if he takes out too many participants in the labor force if ice removes too many people then it's going to be a problem because we don't have the participation in the labor force we have job numbers continuing to come down now that is the fear that is the fud the uncertainty and the doubt however cutting spending and redeploying that spending into better areas like infrastructure and other areas that are going to grow the economy could have the opposite effect and getting rid of criminals not labor not people that are contributing that can actually have a positive impact too but the problem is between inflation sentiment and labor concerns the do I factor the Market's scared and it's can turn on a dime and go down because of that we're being very cautious and we're looking at companies that are already down on their lows because that's where people will begin to take risk so they'll pull money out of stocks that are at their highs and they'll look at companies that have already come down and you'll begin to see some early risk taking on them because a lot of the concern on those has already been priced in companies like Intel and AMD and in recent days Invidia had been one of them the Nvidia chart looks glamorous beautiful and it's climbing higher and I'm going to quickly take you into it and then I'm going to take you into my into a stock that I telling you guys you don't want to be sleeping on because it's looking pretty bullish I'm going to give you a buy price for that stock here in just a minute but let's go into the chart and look at Nvidia you know that I've been telling you that this was the buy Zone this chart hasn't changed and look at that big green candle barely dipped into our buy Zone we wish it dipped more we wish we bought more I our biggest problem was not taking more risk okay and then here is what we've got today guys what is this giant green God candle I like to call them that's an engulfing candle it's engulfed and dwarfed the previous red down move okay and all we got to do is open a candle above 12938 which has been marked on my uh screen here for days and weeks now this 12938 has been marked on here guys all we have to do is open up a open up above that on Monday morning and it is my hard prediction that we are going back to test this range we're going to go back and test this descending line of resistance okay this is where we're heading and largely that price point is between 140 and 145 okay we could literally be here at the end of next week we could be at 14425 hitting right beneath this descending line of resistance I'm bullish there's nothing in this chart that's causing me to panic I wish I bought more when it was down here I talked about it every single day I did buy this I just you know and I were I cautioned about getting greedy hoping to get this 108 um and if I had gotten that 108 I would have doubled everything if not tripled it but unfortunately uh we're up here now at 1 12938 and our window my predictive window for next week the potential is between 1 145 and 130 and we're heading towards earnings so earnings is February 24th and so I think the biggest problem we're going to have is whether or not this gets rejected at 145 but I can tell you and I don't know if you guys have remembered some of my other videos but I said that if we get as high as 150 the odds are that we're only going to come back and back test this area and go higher however if we don't ever break Above This descending line of resistance then we could still be in a a bare scenario and ultimately continue trending down uh to a lower low and that wouldn't change my view that in the long run Nvidia is a buy a buy underneath these levels of 120 anytime it's beneath 120 I'm going to buy this thing anytime it's down here I'm going to buy it right so I I only see Nvidia as having uh opportunity to be a $180 to $200 stock in 20125 and 2026 so that's the Nvidia plan now the next one that I want to cover that I think is doing something pretty incredible but a lot of um a lot of people have been selling this stock and that's Uber we got to take a minute and look at the Uber stock because it's doing very well and it printed a Buy Signal on a higher time frame and if this move is going to continue I'm going to show you the spot in which it could back test and potentially bounce and look at that move we had a huge move here in the last two days this move from the bottom of that red Wick to the top is 177% in 3 days and uh let's go through this pretty carefully right because I brought this to the attention of the stocks with Josh Discord just the other day when this candle was red so when this candle was red right here the other day I said guys we actually this is pointing down but it just printed a Buy Signal down here on the macd okay and I said we're going to get a little Trend down but as soon as the price gets back Above This this level 6850 this thing's going to take off as a rocket so here and now somebody's going to say okay Josh but the you just did 20% in 3 days the move's over we missed it no no no no let's take a moment and zoom out of this and look at a big picture view this has come down a lot and so we are off our lows we had this massive dip beneath the 200 day uh moving average right here massive dip the entire time time that it had dipped underneath the 200 was a buying opportunity and so we're going to go through this here we are now back above the 200 and we are moving towards this trend line right which I think right now this existing move up could be as high as this $77 so I'm just giving you guys notice that Uber has some resistance at 75 but it wouldn't shock me if we overshot that resistance and we got up to this 7 7 but at the moment this thing is climbing higher the existing Target is around 7750 and I think that at that point we may only come back to consolidate between 73 and 75 so right now the stock is moving higher right now okay and it's had a clear Buy Signal and there's still room to get a piece of this higher in the course of time you want to be keeping this on your chart because if after the next 30 days we get a dip back back to that 68 to70 range I think that will be the new pivot low for the next leg moving higher the trend on Uber is bullish it's only been consolidating and so this is one you want to be keeping your eyes on that's the one I wanted to share with you guys today thank you for joining me have a wonderful and restful weekend and come head over to this stocks with Josh Discord so you can get the trade setups that I'm going to be dropping Monday morning these have been printing Eli Lily man the last two days I saw people sharing wins of 400% on the Eli Lily trade setup nothing but opportunity guys come over and check it out for yourselves it's a great positive education community and it's not just me I've got Crown traders that honestly if I wasn't even in the Discord these Collective guys are some of the best of the best and they're constantly feeding the family and helping folks make money so it's not just one person to come over there and connect with depending on what you're doing whether it's cryptos penny stocks long-term investing or swing trading it's there so come check it out guys it's a great fam appreciate each and every one of you guys and I'll see you this weekend talk to you later bye bye
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