저자: John · 외국인
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한 줄 결론: 이 영상은 2016년 5월 12일 선물·옵션 실거래 결과를 공유하며 선물 거래가 올해 방향성 매매에서 옵션보다 낫다고 주장하고, 선물 라이브 교육을 홍보하는 내용이다. [시장 흐름 및 선물 매매] 이날 시장은 애플 중심으로 움직였고, 주요 지수 하락 후 매수 프로그램 유입으로 바닥 신호가 나타났다고 설명했다. S&P500 선물 매수 거래로 약 11만 4천 달러의 수익을 냈고, 상승 중 손절을 올려가며(트레일링 스톱) 청산했다. 선물은 움직임이 빠를 때 옵션 스프레드 진입이 어려운 점에서 유리하다고 언급했다. [원유 거래] 512틱 차트에서 바닥 후 상승하는 흐름을 잡아 약 4,600달러 수익을 얻었다고 밝혔다. 원유 관련 상품으로 UCO 같은 레버리지 ETF를 언급했으나 직접 추천은 아니다. [옵션 거래 - 엔비디아 실적] 엔비디아 실적 발표를 앞두고 내재변동성이 약 150%로 높았으며, 차트상 강한 상승 흐름으로 보고 3550 풋을 매도했다. 10계약 나키드 풋 매도를 두 차례 하고, 초보자용으로 352/32 풋 스프레드도 제시했다. 만기일 무가치 소멸을 기대하는 전략이다. [옵션 거래 - Shake Shack 실적] 주가 약 34달러 부근에서 ATM 스트래들을 3.10달러에 매도했다. 예상 변동폭은 약 3달러로, 손익분기점 내에서 움직이면 수익이 나는 구조라고 설명했다. 시간 외 주가가 36달러 수준이었으나 아직 결과는 미정이다. [향후 전망 및 리스크] 향후 1주 내 원유, 대두, 채권이 큰 움직임을 보일 것으로 예상했다. 주식 지수 등 다른 시장도 언급했다. 옵션 전략은 예상 변동폭 대비 실제 움직임과 시간가치 소멸 여부가 핵심 리스크다. 선물은 레버리지가 크다는 점이 리스크로 작용할 수 있으나 영상에서는 구체적으로 다루지 않았다. [출연자 및 홍보] 토요일 및 다음 주 라이브 선물 트레이딩 강의를 홍보했다. 기본반(Saturday class), 중급 셋업 강의, 보너스 자료, 오스틴 라이브 이벤트를 포함한 엘리트 패키지를 안내했다. 출연자는 선물과 옵션 매매 모두 올해 좋은 성과를 냈다고 평가했다.
다듬은 글
hey everybody this is John welcome to the free video so what was going on today today was all about Apple and uh wow lots of Destruction so we started off with some strength and it was just apple apple apple apple apple and you can see here we got a little bit of a head and shoulders bottom but honestly this was scary to to even think about buying and on something like this you're looking for some inflection cuz there's a lot of support here at the 2055 level as I'm watching here you can see all the ticks on all the indexes just getting hammered but then at some point you start seeing some evidence of buying here okay and that's on something like this when you've got all of the indexes uh these kind of buy programs here a lot of times that's an indication it's like look this thing is at least bottomed so this was a great little trade we did that on the snps uh and the spiders on the snps it was good it was a good move this was at one point it was up a little more we were trailing up a stop but it was good for just over $114,000 on that and that's one of the things that's nice in this case about the Futures is that when it's moving that fast sometimes it's hard to get into an options trade if the you know if there's if the if you're trying to get into a spread or something like that and so this is just one of those you know buy the market you're in and just Trail up a stop okay and other news in terms of earnings plays today we had Nvidia had a fantastic implied volatility um 150% and when I looked at the chart on Nidia to me it was just super bullish so we just sold puts so we closed at 3550 and essentially what we did was just sell the 3550 puts now I don't mind doing a little bit of that naked so we did uh some let's see 10 naked at 150 another 10 naked at 150 and then the one I just recommended for newer folks was the spread 352 32 at a buck 17 at this point if we can open up um you know 37 bucks and this is the day of expiration then those should be close to worthless so that one's that was a good one and we also did Shake Shack for Shake Shack I did an iron I didn't uh I sold the um at the money St I'm losing my mind it's Thursday uh I'm so they at the money straddle okay so when you sell a straddle essentially what you're doing is making a bet that it's going to be less than the expected move and you can see up here after hours we closed at 3426 after hours were're at $36 so what was the expected move the expected move at this point was $3 so that would mean $372 so at this point we're looking good obviously a lot can happen uh by tomorrow but we sold the 34 straddle for $310 if we open up a buck 50 that's great we'll make some cash on it um I obviously the closer to 34 the better but at this point when you sell it for three bucks and it moves up two bucks there's a lot of room left over for some profit and we'll see where we are tomorrow on that one and then last but not least we did have a nice little trade in crude oil today uh we had a squeeze here on the 512 tick chart a little bit of a bottom and then just kind of rode this up and trailed at the stop and that uh just a nice a clean little trade you got to love trades like that that just don't give you any heat and that was good for $4,600 so we found actually in this market a lot of Fairly clean trades even though the markets have been kind of crazy there's a lot of clean trades in the Futures markets and whether or not you trade Futures because you could do this via uh also an instrument like UTI I don't know if you've ever traded that but this is like a leveraged ETF that follows oil so you could just you know do this stock or you could do options on another ETF that actually has uh that's trading options but either way you get the signal though off that underlying Futures Contract and so and then of course you can just trade the Futures themselves and keep in mind we're going to be rocket and rolling this Saturday and next week with our live Futures Trading class uh to do the three days of live trading it's this middle option here this is what most people end up doing this includes all the strategies and things like that that you learn on the Saturday class now the Saturday class ISS basic but essentially we're going to dive right into intermediate based uh type setups internals different things like that if you're new to Futures don't worry it includes a bonus of essentially everything You' ever want to know about futures um that you'll get that before the class starts and then of course if you're interested in the elite package which takes you to a live event with us in Austin and it includes everything else but look at this point to me Futures Trading options trading has been great Futures Trading has been greater so far this year in terms of directional trading and there's a lot of big moves setting up and this is what what's nice about something like this especially in a live environment you can just watch it unfold some of the moves that I'm anticipating to trade next week are going to be oil soybeans are going nuts bonds are setting up and of course looking at the stock indexes and other markets and it's just walking through it Soup To Nuts and this is how you do it and you can just follow along and it'll be a lot of fun all right you guys have a good one and we'll see you at the next update
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