저자: 미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
팔란티어 2분기 실적이 EPS 0.41달러(예상 0.35), 매출 19.4억달러로 컨센서스를 상회했고, 연간 매출 가이던스를 8.15~8.16억 수준으로 상향했다. 시간외 약 8% 상승. 온세미는 조정 EPS 0.74달러(예상 0.71~0.72), 매출 16억달러로 소폭 상회했으나 3분기 가이던스는 예상 중간값 이하이며, 파워솔루션 부문 성장이 실적을 견인했다고 평가. 자막상 '온세미'는 ON 종목을 가리킴.
다듬은 글
So, Palantir's earnings reports are out now. So I'll start, and we'll dive right into these numbers . Earnings per share were higher than expected and amounted to 41 cents. Analysts had forecast around 35 cents. Revenue for the second quarter was 1.94 billion. This is better than the consensus forecast the market was expecting.
I also want to emphasize that the market was expecting growth of about 81%, which would mean a slowdown. It needed to exceed 1.85 to match the acceleration of the previous quarter. We significantly exceeded this figure with a figure of $1.94 billion. Their EBITDA for the second quarter was 1.2 billion.
Expectations were at around 1.09. Looking at the current quarter, the expected revenue for the third quarter will be around 2.16 billion. Well, that's their full range, 2.16 billion. The score was two, so the result is better than predicted. They are now forecasting revenue for the fiscal year at 8.15–8.16.
Previously, they predicted 7.65–7.66. So, this is a significant increase in the forecast range. Their adjusted operating profit for the fiscal year is now expected to be in the range of 4.89 billion to 4.9 billion. The grades were around four and a half. So, quite significant changes. If you look at the current quarter, revenue from the commercial sector in the US was $764 million.
The estimate was only 716 million. In terms of annual revenue from the commercial sector, they expect around $3.42 billion. Alex, we talked earlier about their “ rule of 40” and how Palantir likes to use it. It rose to 155%. So, Alex, it's time to bring you into this conversation. Look at this upward movement, which is already over 8%.
While we are making sense of these numbers. Yes, we were talking about the fact that if they had just lived up to expectations, the "rule of 40" wouldn't have accelerated. But they didn't just live up to expectations. They surpassed them again. They did it by a pretty big margin, and you see acceleration virtually every quarter for the company's entire existence on this "rule of 40" metric.
Therefore, it is very important to me. This is the " rule of 40", which has risen to 155%. The reason it's called the "rule of 40" is because 40 is considered good, and , you know, the higher it is, the more impressive it is. So, overall, I see a very strong report. The big question about this company is always what is enough.
And so far, the increase is about $10 in after-market trading , which is about 8% , which is a positive reaction for now. We know they have a dynamic leader who has a habit of making headlines when he speaks, similar to Elon Musk. So it's too early to say that this is a positive reaction, but so far so good.
This action. It will be much easier when they eventually fail to make a profit, because I don't think it will have a positive reaction if it does at all , but in this highly demanding market environment, perhaps Palantir has fallen enough in value over the past year to surprise with growth again. And, Sam, we have constant discussions about when "good" becomes " good enough," and "great " didn't even seem great enough.
So, ahead of this earnings report and during my conversation with Alex today about Palantir, I highlighted all the numbers they needed to achieve to at least meet expectations or repeat the previous quarter's results. One of the important points that caused concern was the annual revenue forecast. They needed to reach around 2.106 billion on average to meet their annual revenue forecast.
They have now revised it upwards to 2.16. So, they exceed the required figure by a hundred million dollars, if we look at the average value. You know, we're seeing a nice jump up. What would it be, you know, that could potentially be said on this call that could derail this movement? Yes, you want, Mali.
I think you hit the mark. I mean, from my research before this, this is exactly the metric the market really wanted to see—the revenue forecast for 2026. That was the main question: would he be promoted? It's been very interesting to watch this company, especially over the last few quarters, as it has shown good earnings.
But the market reaction after that was not always positive. And so one of the themes before this report was the gap between fairly good fundamentals and a troubled stock. So, obviously, there has been a compression of the value estimate. We've seen this across the software sector, but some still argue that it's trading at a premium.
So this reporting season was very critical to justify it now. Simply hitting the bar here wouldn't be enough, but given the reaction we're seeing now and this jump we're witnessing on screen, Marley, investors seem to have been looking for a flawless execution and a forecast increase to justify it all , and it looks like they got what they wanted.
And a great quote from Alex Karp, the CEO, who described US sales as "otherworldly." And he says that the demand for sovereignty in the field of artificial intelligence has been, quote, " unlocked." So, Palantir's strong results early on , of course, the conference call has n't happened yet, but the stock is up almost 8% right now.
I want to move on to On Semi , as those numbers are also in for the second quarter, and there's also a significant beat here: 56 cents compared to expectations. And earnings per share...Oh, they have two of them. They have adjusted earnings per share of 74 cents compared to the expected 71-72 cents.
And on an unadjusted basis, it is 56 cents, but we will focus on a figure of 74 cents. This is what most consensus forecasts for adjusted earnings per share for the second quarter agreed upon. Revenue is 1.6 billion, slightly exceeding expectations of around 1.59 billion. Nevertheless, we still see growth of over 6%.
Let's take a look at their forecast. Their forecast for the current quarter, which will be their third quarter: adjusted earnings per share of 81 to 93 cents. The expected figure was 84 cents, so it's within range but below average . They forecast revenue for the current quarter to be between $1.65 billion and $1.75 billion.
Expectations were 1.67 billion, so again within the range, but below the midpoint. If you look at the results, they were higher than the average forecast, so we can say that there is reason to talk about some growth in demand. The operating expense forecast of 303–318 million fell short of the 296.4 million expected by analysts .
Gross profit for the current quarter is forecast at 40% to 42%. The estimate was about 40.3%. So the report is not as unequivocally strong as Palantir, Alex, but we still see 5% growth. What is so attractive about these numbers ? Well, I think one thing we should realize about On Semi is that the company has n't been showing particularly positive fundamental performance for a long time .
I mean, until last quarter, the company had at least six consecutive quarters of declining revenue and profits year-over-year. So we are witnessing a transformational period in a company that is trying to hit rock bottom and get back on its feet a little. However, you have a pretty significant EPS acceleration, I would say almost 40% year-over-year growth .
The revenue was about 9%. And if you look at the areas of their business that are most important and perhaps most related to AI, it can be argued that the power solutions group is the most important. It increased by 18.7%. This is also the only segment that exceeded expectations. The second most important group is the analog and mixed signal group.
It was a little more stable, which is an improvement compared to the previous period. Nevertheless, the numbers there are not very inspiring, but the group of power solutions compensates for the lag of the other two. Well, it looks like Onsemi's cyclical recovery is gaining momentum here. So far, Wall Street is happy with the numbers.
We're up a little over 4%, but we'll see what happens after their report in about 45 minutes. Alex, thanks for joining us to dig deeper into this. Let's quickly check the situation with Palantir. Stocks are still up about 6.5%, it was Alex Caffey , co-host of Next Gen Investing, who helped us figure it out.
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