Great News for Taiwan Semiconductor Stock Investors | TSM Stock Analysis

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미국 상무부가 TSMC 애리조나 공장에 66억 달러 보조금을 확정했다. TSMC는 해외 생산 확대로 지정학적 리스크를 줄이고 있으며, 해외 생산 원가 상승으로 마진 압박 가능성이 있다. 주가는 PER 21배로 저평가 상태이고 지정학 리스크가 이미 반영되어 있다. 연내 보조금 발표에도 시장 하락으로 주가 반응은 제한적이었다. 발표자는 여전히 매수 의견을 유지하며 새 행정부의 관세 정책으로 단기 변동성이 커질 수 있다고 본다.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. nvestors got some great news as the US Commerce Department said Friday that it has finalized a $6.6 billion subsidy for TSM Manufacturing in Phoenix Arizona so in this video I'll go through the details of this announcement right so the US government said Friday that Taiwan semiconductor will get $6.6 billion in Awards and this isn't the only company that's getting Awards under the US Commerce Department decisions in recent months remember the US government passed a $50 billion incentive plan to get semiconductor manufacturing companies back to the United States or to try and increase the presence of manufacturing of semiconductor chip just one of many companies that are benefiting from those subsidies Taiwan semiconductors management team has said that they are increasing manufacturing outside of Taiwan to diversify their supply chain and diversify away from the huge risk right which are China's threats on the country and so diversifying away from Taiwan also reduces tsm's risks and so it's a win-win for TSM on the one hand it's getting a several billion dollar subsidy and on the other hand it's also reducing its risk however management has also said that the costs of production outside of Taiwan are higher so the profit margins could be impacted as a result of Shifting production outside of Taiwan but I think it's a worthwhile shift because the risks are so high of its concentrated manufacturing position especially with the incoming Administration being more Vigilant about the com about the country country's risks of Supply chains being so heavily weighted outside of its borders I think this is a worthwhile Endeavor for Taiwan semiconductor manufacturing and I think they anticipated this and that's why several several years ago they started developing these ideas to diversify some of their manufacturing outside of Taiwan in April TSM agreed to expand its planned investment by $25 billion in Ariz Arizona it's now up to $65 billion and a third Arizona Fab by the year 2030 the Taiwanese company will produce the world's most advanced 2 nanometer technology at the Arizona Fab expected to begin production in 2028 so the most advanced chips will be able to be produced in Arizona in by 2028 now there was a lot of question whether TSM would be able to bring its most Advanced chips to the Arizona Fab there was some question on technical expertise on the availability of skilled workers to be able to achieve that level of precision manufacturing outside of its established base but it looks like it will be able to do so and that will be great news for TSM the company's valuation is muted trading at a forward price to earnings of 21 given the 's growth and its profit margins remember Taiwan semiconductor has some of the best profit margins of any business in the world let alone a manufacturing company they are a best-in-class business in an industry that's growing rapidly with no signs of slowing down and so if Taiwan semiconductor was a US company the valuation would be significantly higher anywhere between 25 to 50% higher than where it is today so the stock price is getting penalized for those geopolitical risks those are already incorporated into the valuation so any of these incremental diversification actions that Taiwan semiconductor is taking is incrementally reducing risks which has a positive impact on the company's valuation which should have a positive impact on the company's valuation now n 202 24 the results of the election in the United States did increase risks for Taiwan semiconductor stock but the valuation also decreased as well and now with these latest developments the company getting this award for several billion dollars for the manufacturing is another incremental positive step for Taiwan semiconductor so I'll update my recommendation here and remind everyone that I still think Taiwan semiconductor stock is a buy and if you're wondering how you can get access to this stock recommendation list you can get it through a membership to my channel in the investor tier category and I update this multiple times daily I have over a 100 companies listed here and ratings on over a 100 companies so on the back of this news Taiwan semiconductor stock is not getting an uplift and the broader Market is down today Friday November 15 the stock market overall is down and so this impact is positive for the company to be sure but the broader Market declining is having an out overpowering effect on the stock price more so than the news of the several billion dollar Grant near-term Taiwan semiconductor investors should embrace themselves for volatility as the incoming Administration starts to make moves starts to announce tariffs and starts to announce its plans for how it's going to adjust to the geopolitical tensions in the region so expect volatility it will not slow down I think it might actually increase over the next few weeks and month