저자: Mr.FIREDUpWealth · 외국인
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팔란티어 1분기 실적 호조(EPS 0.05 vs 0.04 예상, 매출 5.25억달러 vs 5.06억 예상, 18% 성장)와 연내 분기별 흑자 전망으로 시간외 급등. 미국 상업 고객수 103→155개(50% 증가)와 AIP 플랫폼이 핵심 성장 동력으로 제시됨. 연간 가이던스 21.9~22.4억달러. 발언자는 장기 보유(2030년 이후)를 권하나 9.5달러 추격 매수는 비추천, 눌림목 대기 권고.
다듬은 글
nice little short squeeze here on Palance here after hours it was up actually over 28 at one point right now it's at about 9.55 up 23.39 now this stock year to date is up about 21 over the last year it's up about 3.75 on a Max chart this came public this is a direct listing not an IPO came public back in October of 2020 at nine dollars and twenty cents a share so if you bought it on IPO debt 9.20 two and a half years ago whatever you'd be up finally hopefully you were accumulating this stock when it was in the sixes and the sevens we're going to show you a chart here later in the video and hopefully you didn't buy it at the top January 29 2021 at 35.18 a share so the headline palantir stores 28 on earnings beat and prediction of full year profitability CEO Alex carp said the company expects to remain profitable each quarter through the end of the year so here are the numbers EPS five cents adjusted versus four cents expected Revenue 525 million versus 506 million dollars expected I'm going to show you all these numbers but some quick highlights so revenue for the quarter increase 18 year over year U.S commercial Revenue grew by 26 more importantly I think U.S commercial customer count increased 50 percent year over year growing from 103 customers to 155.
so of course you remember we did a video in this last time they reported last earnings last quarter and they were profitable for the first time so this is the second quarter in a row and they're telling us they're going to be profitable the rest of this year palantir expects a report between 528 million and 532 million in Revenue in the second quarter and between 2.19 and 2.24 billion for the full year guidance this is big and part of the reason the stock popped AI it's being used another thing about palantir we've been following the channel I've been telling you pounds here is a top AI stock for long-term investors so this is a legitimate company when you think of AI and companies that will benefit from artificial intelligence long term but carp the CEO said demand for palantir's new artificial intelligence platform AIP is without precedent the company's AIP allows commercial and government sectors to use large language models based on their own private data sets so we're seeing more and more companies do this we talked about Amazon Bedrock doing something very similar and I'll talk here in a little bit about pounds here in their partnership with Microsoft Azure which could be huge for the company long term as well another quote from carp we have already had hundreds of conversations with potential customers about deploying the software and they're currently negotiating terms and pricing for access to the components of the platform I'd expect the stock to have some volatility it popped and I told the Discord Community I expect that to fade a little bit but we will look at a chart here as well in a couple minutes so stay tuned now I saw different numbers across the internet on Twitter and elsewhere that were incorrect here are the accurate numbers from palantir's investor relations page so total revenue grew by 18 18 year over year that 525 million and U.S Revenue grew 23 year over year to 337 million you can see government revenue grew by 20 U.S government by 22 percent and Commercial is really where you're going to see a lot of that growth now commercial revenue is 15 year over year I'd like to see that higher the U.S commercial Revenue was up 23 a little bit better but I think the more important number to focus on especially for long-term investors again is this U.S commercial customer count increase 50 percent year over year from 103 to 155 and that's going to take some time but longer term I think you're going to see more results from that adjusted income from operations of 125 million that's a margin of 24 cash from operations of 187 million representing 36 percent margin and you can read through this on your own pause the screen if you need to here's a quick Financial summary snapshot again pause the screen if you need to I wanted to get this video to you right away but I was waiting for this slide deck because I always think it's really good to have this when we present this is from of course Palance here on ir and you can see some of the highlights here we went through a lot of these already one that we didn't cover yet adjusted free cash flow of 189 million dollars 36 margin pretty solid numbers there now this next slide is interesting this is the Forester wave for AI and machine learning platforms has pallets here up here as a leader it also has c3ai so you let me know in the comments below if you agree with that or not this is a great quote palantir Technologies Forge is a resilient platform for complex critical AI use cases an attractive platform for Enterprises that wish to implement AI quickly so introducing AIP artificial intelligence platform empowers organizations to activate large language models safely and securely so you've got Foundry and Gotham on that left hand side AIP in the middle and then your existing palantir integrated data store in that top right and then third-party llms on the bottom as well as more so artificial intelligence platform for defense and artificial intelligence platform for business so again focusing on government but also trying to grow more in business and Commercial achieves Gap net income profitability for the second consecutive quarter so you can see they went from negative nine cents to negative six cents positive one cent twice in a row and that is up six cents a year of a year so Gap operating profitability for the first time in company history generating Gap income from operations of four million dollars you can see the U.S Revenue growth this is 23 percent year over year so on the left this is U.S specifically commercial Revenue growth twenty six percent government revenue growth for U.S 22 percent the total growth not just U.S government 20 commercial 15 total revenue growth is 18 average TTM Revenue per top 20 customer up 14 and this one's big commercial customer count so if you look at our total customer account group 41 year over year in q1 2023.
total contract value up 60 Billings up 25 64 deals of at least one million dollars 22 of which were at least 5 million dollars and eight of which were at least 10 million dollars here's their adjusted gross margin you can see it's pretty stable between 80 and 82 percent palancer ended q1 2023 with 2.9 billion dollars in cash and cash equivalents that's a huge number we are committed to profitable growth and will continue to focus on investing in areas critical to our business and then a quick snapshot of the guidance so here is the letter to shareholders from CEO Alexander Clark and we covered a lot of these numbers already you can see this chart here for total revenue growth nice Trend upwards this next part here is important and on the last palantir video we talked about this as well but the arrival of the latest large language models which have provided the world with the first real hints of artificial intelligence which transform Enterprise software talks about how they're fortunate they've been building this for years it has now become increasingly apparent that a platform that combines capabilities of foundational software architecture with those of the latest large language models is essential in order for the models to evolve into something of transformational value for large organizations this is what we're living through right now and it talks about that new platform artificial intelligence platform AIP and enables Enterprises across commercial and government sectors to Leverage The Power of large language models on their own privately held data sets this is big the machine must remain subordinate to its creator we understood from the start protection of privacy was essential to our success as a result the systems we have constructed including AIP incorporate protections at their core we've talked about this on the channel as well our momentum and growth the United States continues and reflects the spread with which American institutions are capable of embracing new technology so here he talks about the U.S annual revenue growth and he ends this letter saying and we anticipate that the development of AIP will mark Market even more significant moment in our Advance now this is something that could be huge for palantir's future growth so palantir has been partnering with Microsoft we've known about this for a little while organizations around the world will be able to make their data more actionable by using palantir's platform for data-driven operations and decision making powered by Microsoft Azure Cloud scale analytics and comprehensive AI services so collaborating for Speed and scale solving industry challenges and more now just recently we heard more news about this so we knew that palantir already announced availability for Foundry on Microsoft Azure but recently here this is from April 5th so about a month ago palantir and Microsoft expand Cloud partnership to public sector and this is big so you've probably seen this news already but I think it's important just to cover really quickly here palantir Technologies announced palantir Federal cloud services also called pfcs achieved fedramp authorization an accreditation to support workloads at U.S Department of Defense DOD basically working with Microsoft Azure here gives them additional clearances and I think there's a lot of collaboration and growth that could happen from this longer term so what the successful completion of these accreditations here's what it says here palantir and Microsoft are prepared to bring best of breed solutions to the federal government and I like this because I've been bullish on palantir thinking about the commercial growth but I like that they're finding new ways to grow even within government which has been more established and longer so next let's look at a chart of palantir and see where it could go before I do that I need to announce real quick this video waool.com forward slash fired up wealth you can also join our private Community our patreon Discord by joining patreon.com forward slash fired up wealth and if you're new to the Channel please do me a favor and click that subscribe button now and click that Bell for notifications I'm trying to get this channel to 40 000 subscribers in 2023 and you can help me out by subscribing today and if this video is helpful make sure you drop a like and a comment let's look at a chart so this has faded a little bit it was up about 28 now it's up around 23 but this is a massive pop we did chart day recently we kind of Drew this up these are fibonaccis you can see it bounce really off the support to this S2 and it's really sitting right now around this R3 this resistance three so just a couple of days ago this stock was down here around seven dollars and 20 cents and now it's sit at 9.51 post Market do I like palantir stock long term the answer is yes fire department was actually the first channel to bring Palance here to YouTube we've been bullishing the stock especially nine dollars or less and we tried to accumulate last year when it was down you can see here really like this below six dollars on both case maybe 815 you can see it popped all the way to 10.
we said under six dollars is a long-term opportunity under six pound the table and it got the 5.92 cents a lot of the Discord Community were you know buying this around five six and seven dollars so I like palantir and I think that it can go higher just be careful of the hype you're gonna see a lot of YouTube videos out there you know next trillion dollar company and all that it's a good company it's been around for a long time though this isn't a brand new company it's not a startup in fact palantir was founded May 6 2003.
so this company just celebrated its 20-year anniversary now with that said I think this stock can do well a longer term do I want to buy it at 9.50 after it popped over 20 I personally don't you had lots of time to accumulate this stock lower will it be worth more in five years I think the answer is yes so if there's a pullback here that's where you probably want to add I think you missed some of the best opportunity but with this Market who knows who knows what could happen next we did a video recently on Amazon and it was up after hours and it basically faded the next day so hopefully it's nice to see this pop on palantir stock hopefully it holds up and gets some momentum and gets back over ten dollars I'm bullish on palantir stock and I'm holding it to 2030 or longer and it's great to see profitability for sure so this isn't a hyper growth type company at this point but I think it can grow and it's nice to see that profitability my recommendation here and I'm not a financial advisor it's a hold at these levels I would wait for a pullback and that might not happen but I wouldn't be buying it after this strong run you have to be patient be careful chasing I hope this video is helpful guys make sure you subscribe to the channel click the like button drop a comment have a great rest of your day take care
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