저자: Eddie · 한국인
요약 보기
S&P500·나스닥 신고가 속에서 팔란티어가 9% 하락한 이유를 분석. 팔란티어는 2025년 들어 약 92%, 1년간 약 500% 상승해 차익실현 매물이 나왔다고 설명. OpenAI의 미국 국방 계약(2억 달러) 등 경쟁 심화, 중동 전쟁 종료에 따른 방산 기대감 약화가 주요 원인으로 제시. 다만 NATO 국방비 증액(GDP 5%)과 미국 방산 제품 구매 가능성은 긍정 요인으로 언급. 단기적으로 다음 주 초 2~3% 반등 가능성을 제시.
다듬은 글
Well, the S&P hit an all-time high today . Yesterday the Nasdaq hit a new high and today the SP 500 hit a new high, but Pelantir fell by 9% . So, I made this video to answer your questions about why Pelantier was eliminated today. First of all, it would be helpful to know how much Pelantir has risen compared to other stocks and what the current situation is .
Palantir rose 92% in 2025 . Over the course of a year, it has risen by nearly 500%. So it rose by almost six times. On the other hand, the Nasdaq rose 7.42% this year and only 13.8% over the course of a year . I compared the NASDAQ, Tesla, and Nvidia, and Hellantir rose 73%. Tesla has fallen 20% this year .
The Nasdaq rose 7%, and Nvidia rose 17%. So, Pelantir had really overwhelmingly good returns. If you look at the weekly chart for Pelantir, it is really soaring. First of all, a potential negative development for Pelantir is that on June 16th last week, OpenAI secured a $200 million U.S. defense contract.
It was announced that a $ 200 million one-year contract was signed for the use of artificial intelligence models, and that an advanced AI system for national security missions is being built in collaboration with the defense technology startup Anduril. If you look at the Open AI website, there is also a separate Open AI website for the government .
So, a competitor to Pelantir has emerged. Pelantir played a major role in the Iran-Israel war, but now that competitors have emerged, both Tesla and Nvidia were the overwhelming number one in the electric vehicle and GPU sectors . The same goes for Felantio . However, as competition begins to emerge, margins may shrink, and those who have been dominating a large market may have to share the market.
So, as OpenAI won the government contract last week, there may be concerns that there will be more mild cases . And President Trump stated that the Middle East war has ended for now as the United States mediated the war between Israel and Iran . Demand for this defense industry may be decreasing as geopolitical issues diminish with the atmosphere of the war coming to an end .
President Trump hinted that there is a possibility of a peace agreement with the Gaza Strip next week . Although Russia and Ukraine are still at war, we must watch how the Russia-Ukraine war unfolds, as President Trump continues to work to secure a peace award. However, it is not all bad news for Pelantier .
NATO has set a new goal for member states to spend 5% of their GDP on defense and security by 2035 . Among the things being discussed, President Trump mentioned that NATO member countries could purchase U.S. defense technology. If that happens, it could be good news for several defense stocks, including Pelantir.
In fact, the stock prices of defense companies like Exyn are currently hitting all-time highs. The ticker symbol is AXon, a company that develops and manufactures defense technology and weapon products for the military. This RTX company is also currently hitting a new high, and similarly, as NATO member states spend more on defense, U.S.
defense stocks are all renewing their all-time highs due to the expectation that they will now use U.S. products. So, Pelantier's report also came up close. So, although the theme is good, it rose by 60% to 90% in just six months this year and nearly 500% over the past year, so it can be seen that profit-taking occurred before today's close.
And next week will be a short week because it includes U.S. Independence Day . They might have gone on vacation, or there is a possibility that they made a transaction in advance. The market closes early next Thursday. We will end early at 2 AM Korean time. And it is closed on Friday for Independence Day.
So, the market will be open for 3.5 days next week. So, there is also the realization of the profit in advance . And if you look at the chart, looking at the daily candle, there was a time in June when it hit the 2-day moving average and rose. If you look at June, it hit the 2-day moving average on the 20th and went up exactly.
This time too, it pushed exactly to the 20-day moving average . And the market is rising by about 3%, and it looks likely that it will start with a gain of about 2 to 3% when the market opens next Monday . So, if you look at the Pelantir short volume again, the proportion of short selling is really decreasing.
It was still in the 1% range until 2025, but it has decreased by almost half to 0.5% and even down to 5% . Therefore, it is difficult to view this as short selling; it can simply be seen as net selling . So, to summarize the reason why Palantir fell, first, it recently surged significantly. There is a saying that if Jim Cramer, who is very famous in the U.S., predicts a stock will go up, it often falls.
Yesterday, Cramer predicted that Palantir would rise to $200 . And the very next day, it dropped by nearly 10%. It is a company that has high expectations for investors. It is a stock that is very popular among individual investors, and as a result, expectations are building up significantly, which is being reflected in the stock price.
It rose by nearly 500% over the past year, but dropped a bit today. Secondly, as OpenAI has won a contract with the Department of Defense, competition for Pelantir is also emerging . And as geopolitical issues eased and the Middle East war came to a close, it can be seen that expectations for defense stocks took a slight hit.
So , today we covered why Pelantier was eliminated. I hope this video has resolved your curiosity about why Pelantier was eliminated. If this was helpful, please like and subscribe. If you have any other stocks you are curious about, please leave a comment and I will review and cover them for you . Well then, have a great weekend and I'll see you in the next video.
Comments 0