저자: Nathan · 외국인
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S&P500(SPY)과 나스닥(QQQ), 엔비디아가 주요 지지선을 잃으며 단기·중기 약세 흐름이라고 진단. SPY는 44.96 지지선, QQQ는 447(61.8% 되돌림) 하락 가능성 제시. 테슬라는 228 돌파 시 반등 전환 기대. AMD는 61.8% 되돌림 위에서 안정 중이나 확정 바닥신호는 아님. 마이크론과 슈퍼마이크로는 추가 확인 전까지 관망. 아ームは 도지 캔들 형태로 잠재적 바닥신호 가능성 언급.
다듬은 글
all right so apparently the stock market can't react it doesn't have the strength to react and what we are seeing here today is yet another sign of confirmation of a bearish case that could persist in the medium term which will drastically affect the stocks that are on our radar yes we have many stocks trading around very important support zones which if lost could completely ruin any any bullish case over here for a moment of course because nothing is forever so let's take a look at what's going on over here if you don't know me my name is Nathan I'm a Trader and I like to share my ideas here on my YouTube channel so welcome or welcome back to the finance Hydra Channel where you will receive daily unbiased analysis on stocks always focusing on technical analysis price action facts charts statistics no guess work no assumptions no gut feelings over here we always always focus on technical evidence so welcome to the finance Hydra Channel now as we can see here spy is making a very very weak reaction we are losing the 21 Day EMA the exponation moving on average we are leaving a huge Shadow above the candlestick's body over here clearly losing momentum on the bright side on the bright side we have yet to lose yesterday's low all right so apparently we are just stabilizing around this area but uh we lost many important support levels there is not a single bottom signal we are still looking very weak and in this scenario spy is supposed to retest its next support level which is this Gap over here gaps work as magnets for the price $44.96 that's Spy Next technical support level and and as long as we don't see any technical evidence suggesting a bottom suggesting a bullish reversal this is what's going to happen next on spy all right now the CQ is also losing very important support levels it lost the 21-day EMA it lost the $565 over here right now apparently we are just dropping and there is not a single meaningful support level for us now if we use Fibonacci over here uh by using Fibonacci we see that Kiku lost the first retracement over here the 38.2% right now apparently we are heading towards the 50% retracement over here in the worst case scenario this correction could take us back to the 61.8% around $447 over here and this is it all right in the lack of any meaningful bullish chart structure suggest testing a bullish reversal or a bottom signal this is the most likely scenario for the QQ this is it there is nothing more to say about it now Nvidia Nvidia is extremely is in an extremely problematic situation because look at the size of this Shadow over here above the daily candlestick's body over here all right it is huge it is problematic because it tells us that Nvidia is very very weak we failed miserably in making a bottom signal in making a very nice bullish reaction over here and right now we see a very small very small Candlestick closing below yesterday's low therefore we don't see any any meaningful bottom signal there is not any this slightest bullish reaction over here in spite of the bullish Candlestick over here there is not a single meaningful bullish reaction right now when we take a look at the 1H hour chart over here we see nothing but lower highs lower lows trading below the 21 EMA on the 1hour chart therefore shortterm speaking bearish medium-term speaking we are also bearish long-term speaking we are still bullish and the its next major support level as we can see here is the $974 as long as we don't see any meaningful bullish reaction on the daily chart the $97 is going to be our next technical Target for NVIDIA all right which is a very important support level over here now you may ask Nathan what if Nvidia loses the $97 area then we're going to confirm a bearish pivot point on the weekly chart and this is going to bring a long-term reversal on Nvidia and in this scenario our next technical support level is going to be $756 all right but so far as long as we stay above this support level the long-term Trend will remain bullish however the medium-term trend is still bearish so we got to see how Nvidia is going to react around the $97 over here in the next few days of course if we get there if we see a bullish signal materialized above the support level then okay great maybe Nvidia is going to react maybe Nvidia will find a support level above above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement which is the last retracement to work with that's a realistic scenario but uh we got to wait for technical evidence as long as we don't see one Nvidia will remain bearish all right now Tesla going up more than 4% that's a very impressive performance Tesla unlike spy unlike QQ unlike Nvidia is making a meaningful bullish reaction it is its price is above very important support levels over here so Tesla is looking quite strong right now which is quite surprising because Tesla is always looking so weak all right right now it is looking very strong it feels like Tesla is behaving like a a low bitt stock right with a defensive uh style but so far we see a bullish reaction if we break the $228 over here we're going to trigger a bullish Pivot Point make a bullish Trend official over here we're going to trigger a classic bullish reversal chart structure and in this scenario we could easily easily retest higher levels like the $245 Clos in this Gap or maybe even the 265 again so let's pay attention on how Tesla is going to behave over here because the $28 is our next major Turning Point by breaking this key point Tesla will turn very bullish again on the daily chart possibly reversing the trend on the weekly chart as well all right because since the 265 Tesla found a very important resistance level around this area and we have yet to make a decent recover over here by triggering this pivot point on the daily chart Tesla will finally finally fly again so we got to pay attention on these chart structures over here and for you who want to learn how how to identify the best reversal patterns and learn how to trade them correctly I offer you a complete ebook on technical analysis where I teach you my personal trading methodology for free more than that I teach you how to trade stocks in real time using the knowledge I teach you for free find out more on our website link in this video's description all right just take a look over there now Tesla is on the verge of reversing we just have to break $228 meanwhile we see AMD stabilizing its price above the 61.8% fibonacci's retracement which is a very good sign because unlike Nvidia which is not reacting at all we see AMD stabilizing Above This meaningful support level now is this a crystal clear amazing fantastic bottom signal not yet but it could be if we see this bottom signal getting triggered again if you want to learn more about patterns just take a look at our ebook it is free it is on our website link in the video's description but right now we don't see any meaningful bottom signal getting triggered over here in this area meanwhile we see microme Micron is just like Nvidia it is dropping it is losing every single one of its support levels and uh in this case over here in this case Micron already lost the 61.8% Fibonacci is retracement therefore what is micron's next support level is this key point over here 84.9 all right because we already lost many support levels this is the only support level here for us which is waiting for micron to retest and then and only then we may see a meaningful bottom signal over here all right we did trade micro over here at this bottom signal just after closing this open Gap over here right we did nail the bottom signal on Micron on our community but uh right now I'm going to be honest with you guys I don't see any meaningful impressive fantastic opportunity over here right here right now super microcomputer is also trying to stabilize over here in a no man's land but uh its next technical support level is around $357 which as we can see here on the weekly chart was a previous top level just like Nvidia right Nvidia has a previous top level over here around the $97 which is acting as a support level for us right now and this is how I see super microcomputer behaving next all right if we see any any bottom signal around this support level great a fantastic bottom signal it's going to be a fantastic buy but so far we don't see any minul bullish chart structure super microcomputer is still in a bare Trend we are consistently trading below the 21-day EMA so there is nothing over here to pay attention all right we don't see any meaningful bullish reaction now arm Holdings is looking quite interesting we see what seems to be a dragonfly Candlestick pattern a dragonfly dog Candlestick pattern right here right now right above it's fibonacci's retracement over here all right the 50% retracement this could be a bottom signal there is no confirmation yet we are still below the 21 Day EMA on the daily chart so we have yet a few resistance levels to break but uh it could be a promising signal we just need to see for more confirmation of course I'm going to be here every single day to keep you guys updated on these stocks and more so remember subscribe to this channel if you want to keep in touch and click the like button to support me please all right I'm asking politely please click the like button to support me thank you very much for audience my dear friends stay safe see you guys tomorrow
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