저자: Nathan · 외국인
요약 보기
SPY가 주간 지지선(510) 근처까지 하락했으나 아직 반등 신호 없음. 엔비디아는 지지선 붕괴로 90달러가 다음 지지, 테슬라는 하락 피벗으로 218달러 목표, AMD는 주간 지지 이탈로 강한 약세, 팔란티어는 72달러 추세선 재테스트 중이나 확인 전까지 매수 불가, 마이크로스트래티지는 21일 EMA 돌파 여부 확인 필요. 손절 중요성 강조 및 유료 커뮤니티 홍보 포함.
다듬은 글
In today's video, we'll see what can actually be done from here. Because yes, everyone knows that the market is collapsing. But how to proceed from here is a great question which I will try to answer in this video. This is the Finance Hydra channel where we always have a practical focus and we design intelligent strategies that aim to help you navigate the market wisely without stress, fear or anxiety, mitigating risks and losses and maximizing profits as much as possible.
We always base ourselves on technical evidence, facts, and data. My name is Nathan. Welcome to another daily analysis video. And yes, we see the SPY ETF collapsing nearly 6% today. Okay, 6% today. However, it is amazing how technical analysis works even even in a stressful crazy moment like this because as far as far as I know we are retesting a support area observed on the weekly chart which we have been watching we have been talking about this key point for many many weeks now here on this channel since we materialized this double top chart pattern over here right we are just $5 below the 510 support level, which is a weekly support level, a long-term support level that could hold spice price.
Now, you may ask, okay, Nathan, we are near a support level. Is there any bullish reaction? Is there any technical evidence suggesting that this the spy could recover from here and make a bottom signal? The answer is no. All right, I know we are around a support area. Okay, great. That's very interesting.
But there is no technical evidence suggesting a bullish reaction yet. Maybe we will see a bullish reaction next week if this happens. Okay, maybe we're going to see bottom signal above this support level. But again, if all right, if the future does not exist yet, real trading is reactive. It is not predictive.
We use technical analysis as a tool to help us understand the psychology behind the market's movements. And of course, the most important thing of all to manage risk properly. Okay, that's why we use technical analysis. If you use technical analysis trying to predict the future, I'm sorry, but uh your fake guru is lying to you.
Okay? Because there is not a single tool in this world capable of predicting the future. Fundamental analysis, tape reading, algo trading, right? These things cannot help you predicting the future. Nothing can. So we use technical analysis to understand how to assess risk. Okay? how to use these lines in our favor to in order to design a strategy that allows us to mitigate losses and maximize profits.
That's how we do. All right? And it is not even about avoiding losses. Okay? Because guys, losses are part of the game. All right? We guys, professionals do not try to avoid losses. Amateurs, newbies, they try to avoid losses. Okay? They are afraid of losing money. Professionals embrace losses. They know that losses are part of the game and that they know how to design a strategy that allows them to lose little.
Okay? Always mitigate your losses. All right? And always try to maximize your profits. What guys, what I see around is that most people do the inverse. Okay? They book profits very quickly and uh they hold their losers their losing positions as much as they can and this is because the stock market is a very treacherous environment.
Okay, because technically you're not losing until you sell. Okay, so so it is very easy for you to hold a losing position over here and uh it is very easy to book profits very quickly. All right. So guys, here we try to to teach you how to do the inverse, okay? Cut losses quickly and maximize profits as much as you can.
That's one of the secrets for long-term consistency in this market. Okay, that's how we do in this game. All right, and so to summarize, SPY is in a support level. Great. However, no bullish reaction. The CQ near a support level as well, right? 442, a previous support level from August 2024. The technical target of this double top chart pattern as well, right?
Very nice. But uh in the absence of a technical evidence suggesting a bottom signal, there is no way there is no way we can justify a buy in this context. We are still collapsing. We are still crashing. Maybe next Monday we're going to see another black Monday, right? I don't know. Nobody guys, we don't know what can happen during this weekend.
So, so far so good. Indices are just collapsing. No buy signal yet. And we see Nvidia over here collapsing as well, right? Do not making any meaningful bullish reaction, losing support levels. And to be completely honest with you guys, transparent with you guys, we had a long position on Nvidia over here, right?
And uh guys, it was a shame that we lost this support level, but this is another example of how important it is for us to set stop losses. I see a I see so many people over here trading without stop-loss, right? This is crazy. Okay, this is just crazy. Especially in a moment like this with the volatility so high and our stop loss was around the 104.
Okay, fantastic. Right, fantastic. Cut your loss very quickly. A small loss. That's all right. Okay, that's okay. As far as I know from a trader perspective, this is even a how do you guys like to say in English? Tax credit, right? Because we can use our losses for tax credit in this market. So there is not a problem to lose money eventually as long as it is a small loss.
All right. And right now we see Nvidia collapsing more 7% today. Okay. If we had no stop and loss, we would be losing way more than what's acceptable in this context. All right. Now, if you ask me, if Nvidia materialize a bottom signal over here around the 90s, okay, maybe we can see a bounce. And for swinging trading purposes, we can use a bounce over here.
Okay. But uh Nvidia is not going to turn bullish as long as we see Nvidia doing two things. All right? Higher highs, higher lows because so far we only see lower highs, lower lows, right? and trading above the 21day EMA, the explanation moving average on the daily chart over here, which is a crystal clear resistance level for Nvidia medium-term wise.
So, as long as we see Nvidia doing these things, we are not going to turn bullish uh anytime soon. All right, we are still very bearish on the weekly chart. We see Nvidia losing its support levels, materializing a lower high, lower low. So yes, the $90 is our next support level. What's below this key point?
$75. Oh, and by the way, regarding SPY, one of you guys asked, Nathan, what if we lose the 510 area for real? What if we fail to react in this support level? Well, well, $493 is going to be our next support level regarding the QQQ. our next support level in this case is is a little bit more mysterious.
But uh I do see the 387 as our next support level because it was a previous top level. Now it could be our next support level following the principle of polarity in technical analysis previous resistance level acting as future support level. Okay, that's totally realistic. Now regarding Tesla, since Tesla is another high beating stock.
Okay, Nathan, what is a high beating stock? Is a stock that has higher correlation to the indices, it is more vulnerable, more sensitive to the broad markets sentiment and it also has higher volatility as well. Okay, so this is a high beta stock since Nvidia, Tesla, AMD, Palunteer etc. these are all high beating stocks.
they will collapse along with the market. Okay. So guys, Tesla collapsing leaving a huge shadow above the weekly candles body. Okay, so it is not reacting right now. We are making a bearish pivot point over here. Lower high, lower low. That's a very dangerous thing for Tesla. As far as I know, our next technical support level is 218.
Okay. And then we'll see if we see a buy signal around the 218. Great. Fantastic. Tesla will look very good. But for now, Tesla is not a buy. Is Tesla a good sell? Well, not for me at least because uh we are just breaking this support level around 249. And uh honestly, the stop loss would be very risky because any stop loss would be above today's high.
And it is quite risky to set such a tight stop loss uh for a short position just when we are breaking this res this support level. So it is a little bit riskier to me. Okay, if it's okay for you, go for it. Okay, fantastic. I wish you all the best. But uh it is not for me, but I do understand that makes technical sense to some people selling shorting Tesla in this context.
All right, that either way the target is around 218. All right, and guys again remember Tesla is a low is a high BT stock. Okay, so it is going to be very vulnerable to the market right now. And guys, on the weekly chart, we don't see any meaningful bullish reaction. On the daily chart, there is no meaningful bullish reaction.
But uh I do see plenty of interesting opportunities in this market. In fact guys, I teach you guys how to protect your money and I share many interesting opportunities on our Telegram channel. Okay, we saw many stocks hitting their targets this week. Okay, some stocks hit their targets yesterday while the entire market was collapsing because we know how to control the volatility of our portfolio, how to control the beat of our portfolio and uh how to pick the right stocks at the right time.
So, if you want to learn how to protect your capital and trade wisely using risk management and uh knowing which stocks to buy at the right time, just join the 5% project. Our group of traders has access to various trading strategies and signals. Only there we trade together in practice, okay? In real time.
Even at a time like this, you won't be alone in this storm. Okay, our community is skin in the game. Every single Monday, we do exclusive lives for our members. Only our members have access. So, we can chat uh you can answer qu you can ask me some questions, right? We can talk about strategies, etc.
So, it is amazing. Okay, I always love talking to you guys, talking to you guys, uh trying to share possibilities in this weird context. All right, and that you can test our service for free, okay? And stay with us all week to learn how our method works. And of course, again, it is totally free to try, okay?
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The link is in this video's description. Okay, we navigate this market without stress, without anxiety. It is liberating to trade without feeling emotions. Okay. So guys, if you need help, just join the 5% project. All right. And regarding AMD, this one collapsing, losing support level. Okay. Losing support level on the weekly chart over here.
There is no meaningful reaction yet. Maybe we will see something interesting. But so far guys, AMD would have to break and close above $93 again in order to materialize a meaningful interesting bullish reaction. So far, there is not a single bullish reaction. So far, AMD is still insanely bearish. Palunteer is also looking horrible.
Okay. However, however, we just retested the $72 support level. this purple trend line over here which we have been talking about in this channel for a while. Okay, so that's interesting. Okay, it is interesting but uh in the absence of a clear bullish reaction, we can't buy Palunteer yet. Okay, now if we see a very nice bullish reaction next week, then okay, maybe we're going to see a recovery maybe to retest the $98 again.
But so far no buy signal. And I remember that we are here every single day analyzing the market, sharing unbiased analysis of the market every single day. So if you are still watching this video and you are not a subscriber, it is too late for you, okay? Because you did like the content. So you should subscribe because we are here every single day, okay?
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Okay. So, do you guys believe that right now is crazy to buy stocks near their support levels? As far as I know, if we see a bullish reaction on Palunteer, Nvidia, Spike, GQ, etc. Since we are near above, since we are above support levels, it makes sense. All right, it is not crazy as long as you set tight stop-loss in this context.
Okay, but uh it is not crazy. Okay, but again we got to wait for more confirmation next week. So if you want to keep in touch, remember subscribe and click the like button to support this humble community. Now, now Micro Strategy making a bottom signal. It is actually going up 4% today. Okay, so guys, there are stocks out there making good meaningful bullish reactions.
Okay, trust me, we still see opportunities to make money in this market, opportunities to protect your capital and uh that could pay off very nicely, but uh we got to wait for confirmation. Okay, regarding Micro Strategy, we got to wait for it to break and close above the 21-day EMA, which is near today's high, which is acting as a resistance level over here.
So we got to break this key point next week and then and only then we may see another bounce to retest higher levels. Okay. And guys, it all depends on how we are going to react from here. Okay. So remember, subscribe, click the like button, and join our our project. Join the 5% project to keep in touch with our exclusive trading signals and ideas.
Next Monday, we're going to do another exclusive live together. So guys, join us over there. See if you like what we have to offer to you. Thank you so much for audience, my dear friends. Stay safe. See you guys next
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