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So, first up, this is Brent T. He's ranked 12th in the country out of 7,300 analysts, and he values Palantir at $40, as I do, with 38% upside potential. And he was right quite often . I mean, he made 70% on stocks, just like me. So, Brent T., he's one of the best analysts in the country, according to the numbers.
TipRanks says it believes the company could be worth $40. Katie Wood believes the company can become much bigger than it is now. But why? What do we see that many of these " shorts" don't see? Well, let me explain. I remember once a client and I had just reduced this huge database from 70 million rows to 6 or 7 million.
We opened up our client's data and started running a live interactive demo right in front of them. One of our customers simply exclaimed: " Stupid." So, is Palantir a meme stock? I do n't think so. And in this video, I'll explain to you why I think Palantir could very well reach $150 pretty soon. But let me introduce myself first.
My name is Tom Nash. I was a senior financial analyst. I'm now a full-fledged YouTuber telling you about the stock market and today, in particular, about Palantir. I have a kind of sexy radio voice right now because I have a cold, so bear with me. Well, what is, is. Palantir is constantly in the news these days.
There is so much drama surrounding this company. There are many stories about " big brother". I mean, what's going on? Lots of short sales, lots of downgrades, lots of upgrades. Reddit is now participating too. But make no mistake about Palantir. This is not a meme campaign. This is not GameStop 2.0.
This is a fundamentally strong company that could become something like the Tesla of the software world. Yes, I just said that. Take me to court. How diverse are the institutions we work with: from secret services to providing artificial intelligence in the most sensitive military contexts, working with oil and gas companies, airlines, pharmaceutical research and all aspects of helping to fight the plague that is COVID.
There is one trend: institutions, countries, and individuals who can appreciate the value of software that works now are the ones who will survive and provide value to governmental, commercial, and even moral contexts. A few days ago I released a video where I said: guys, the company is facing a downturn because the lock-up period is expiring , and we are seeing a lot of short selling.
So be prepared for a decline. And I said that I thought this would be a great opportunity for me to buy more shares. I actually doubled my position by $25 because I think this is an incredible opportunity. I would like to buy more. But, you know, I'm not that rich. That's the thing. I'm not the only one, nor am I the smartest, who thinks Palantir is the future.
Katie Wood, have you heard of her? Well, you like her. I am delighted with her. We all know this. ARK Invest actually bought a significant amount of Palantir shares during the latest drop. They now own 5.3 million shares, actively buying them on dips, and now Palantir's stake in their flagship fund is 0.55%.
You have to understand that this is the same fund that holds Tesla shares, Twilio—all their flagships are here. And having such a company in your portfolio for almost 6% is serious. Katie definitely believes in this company. Like me. But why? The company claims to have $4 billion in revenue by 2025.
If you take these numbers and do a simple DCF calculation, you won't even come close to the company's current valuation. I could do that for you, but the numbers would be very low. If we calculate DCF based on $4 billion in revenue in 2025, we would get about half of the current valuation, or maybe less.
So there is no point in conducting this DCF. Here's the thing. You have to understand: if you truly believe that this company is the future, you should forget about the numbers they are announcing now. You have to accept the fact that these metrics are unimportant because the company is downplaying its future scale.
If you can't accept that, if you don't agree with that, then this company is not for you. Let me explain why I believe they can make well over $4 billion by 2025. Let me show you a few things. It's an incredible feeling to come into an organization and see people's jaws drop when we show them our technology and they say, "You just revolutionized the way I do my job." No one really knows what Palantir's total market size is.
People can only guess, and comparing them to companies like Snowflake makes no sense, because it's not Snowflake. They are literally—and by them I mean Palantir, Peter Thiel, and Alex Karp—monopolizing a whole new market. They are creating a market that does not exist, and they are almost the only players in this market .
Maybe someone like IBM will come up with something like that, but in any case, they are collaborating with IBM. It does n't matter much . So Palantir is actually blazing a whole new path, and they own it 100%. How large-scale is this? Especially considering that their technology is completely proprietary, and it seems to solve problems much better, faster, and more efficiently than anything else.
Not to mention that their product, unlike any other I've seen, is completely versatile for any industry. Our work covers so many important areas. Defense, intelligence, healthcare, insurance, finance, energy. Our clients are drowning in data. It is very important to work directly with the client, as this is the only way to see how they are using your data.
By understanding the problem they are trying to solve , we help them answer the questions they want to ask. That is, you can implement this in a grocery store, an airline, or a mining company, and it will still work the same. It will still make your business much more efficient. They currently work with 16 different industries as their clients.
Isn't this madness? Consider the fact that they have n't really even started developing the commercial side of their business yet. People see the growth and say: well, they say they will only grow by 30% next year. I think they're just being very cautious, because think about this . Right now, as far as the corporate world is concerned , we probably only have 3–5% Palantir penetration in large corporations around the world.
Palantir is heavily focused on the US. It hasn't expanded much beyond the US yet. And even in the US, this is just the beginning. It is in its infancy. It has n't actually even started yet. Imagine what will happen when the commercial side starts generating significantly more business. We'll see Foundry completely replace Gotham as the main source of revenue.
What this company actually did is very interesting. They used Gotham to create commercial technology. They spent 17 years, 17 years of their lives— Peter Thiel and Alex Karp—developing a product that didn't make money. Let me remind you that Palantir has not made a profit for almost two decades. After receiving funding from the state, they developed Gotham.
They created a technology that, having transferred at least partially to the commercial sector, has no competitors. So, they played a marathon. They played the long game and created software that is second to none. No one can compare to them . This sounds like a company you might be wondering about.
Maybe Tesla or someone else who is very, very ahead of everyone. Even if IBM or other companies start developing something like this now, they will be years behind. This is very similar to Tesla, both to me and to Katie. That's why we believe so much in this company. I can't believe I said "Katie and I" in the same sentence.
But, in essence, this is a scalable business . Most of the criticism from short sellers over the past two years has been that it is consulting. Not software. If you look at their demonstration day, this argument falls apart. This software is 100% scalable. Not only is it scalable, it can be modularly implemented into any industry you can imagine.
This is great software, and they are monopolists. This company has no competition. Is n't this madness? The big problem is that we can't do discounted cash flows because we literally don't know the size of this market. They can potentially work with every company in the world. That's how big this target market is.
So I can come up with some numbers, but it won't make any sense. You have to believe that they are extremely innovative and monopolizing a completely new huge market that doesn't exist yet. And here's the thing: it raises a lot of questions. There are execution risks. There are regulatory risks. There are many factors that can put this path at risk.
No one knows whether they will succeed. That's part of the risk you're buying now for $30. But I believe it's a justified risk, especially considering that I like this company morally. She helps track down terrorists, fight crime, whatever Gotham does, no one knows for sure. This is a good company. One of my favorite projects was helping the district attorney fight gang violence.
We were following a situation where several violent crimes had occurred, and they were trying to determine who did it, why, and if they were gang-related. So the opportunity to help them with this problem was very motivating and inspiring for our team. And you know what? You may hate this company for cooperating with ICE, because who can justify separating children from their parents.
I mean, it's disgusting. But you have to look at the overall scope of this company. They work with the largest agencies in the US and the world to track down terrorists and stop crime . So overall, this company is doing good for the world. At least I believe so. That's why I believe in this company.
And to sum up, my price target for this company is currently $40, but I will probably raise it. I will be frank with you . I believe the company has an advantage over other AI companies because they actually provide flexibility, modularity, real decision-making processes, and collaboration— many things that other companies can't do at this level.
I am not an artificial intelligence expert. Don't kill me. Don't sue me. I'm just a guy who has his own opinion. By the way, everything I just said is just my opinion. Maybe it's wrong, maybe it's inaccurate, or maybe it's the delusion of a madman . Do your own research. supposedly blah-blah, damn blah-blah .
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