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Yeah, okay guys. Check 123 yeah. Okay Joni, come back with me because there are stairs, okay, great Joni. The stand alone citizens today. Today everyone is scared to go up. Okay, so how much has the IHSG gone up? Wow, 5% huh. Yes. Two days ago, when it was at its worst, I said there was a chance it could rise again, like on June 9th, when it rose by around 7%.
Someone said to me, "Oh, it's impossible, Joni, it's impossible, Joni like this, it's impossible." Yes, it turns out it is possible, right? That could be possible, you know. So this is just a lesson for Joni, okay? So, you just have to wait a while to get back to this phase, okay? Now the phase will go up without HSC, okay?
Yes, it will be a real value like that. Okay. Hey, today's foreign net sell, how much is the foreign net sell today? Oh, it's today. Well, if I'm not mistaken, it's more than 2 trillion. Yes, it's 2 trillion today, Tuesday, October. That's all good, Joni, let the foreigners come out for now, that's it for those from MSCI.
In fact, I have, eh, what's a little bit? Maybe I'll do some poking around or try to do a simulation in my head, maybe when we enter the stand alone market, it wo n't be as big as we thought. Especially for investor dividends. So it's not easy, every time there's news from America, the IHSG falls. Your shares fell like BRI's.
So it actually becomes delicious, you know. So uh there is a positive side too. We still have 8 months to prepare, don't worry. Ah. Well, this is also for foreign cults, John. So, John, there are a lot of people at this exchange, huh? They understand something wrong. I dare say that's wrong. They believe that prices can only be driven up by foreigners.
So if it goes up, only foreigners can buy net. It's impossible for foreigners to sell net, can't the price go up? It's impossible according to them, wow, it's impossible, it's contrary to what I've believed for the past 20 years, right? Things like this, John, this misconception is that they don't understand basic supply and demand.
Yesterday, I only analyzed supply and demand with a little technical analysis. But if people don't understand basic supply and demand, it will be a mess. So, if foreigners want to sell 3 trillion today , as long as there are more buyers, it's simple. When there are more buyers than sellers, the price will go up, simple.
This means that today, if it can go up to BRI, it can go up to 10%, or 9.8 percent, which means there are a lot of people buying today. But John is not a stranger, John, maybe it's a trap, right? So this is it, John, when you have been misled by a false understanding that has entered your mind. You're getting paranoid.
So it's a phobia, you know, paranoid and phobic. Oh my, this is serious. Foreign net sell of 2 trillion, but why is it increasing? This trap is a trap, right? So I'm afraid of being trapped. Even though it's normal supply and demand. It's like that. So I'm just saying, don't feel so sorry . Many of our retail people have that understanding.
Joni also understands that if a foreigner sells, he will definitely take a profit. Definitely. It's impossible for foreigners to lose, it's impossible. Yes. Likewise, it is said that if you sell locally, you will definitely cut your losses. So you've been brainwashed. That person is heavily brainwashed.
If foreigners sell, there will definitely be TP. Even though Joni is a foreigner, he can cut his losses but he can't cut his losses. He sold that low yesterday, cutting his loss. Wow, he doesn't believe it, he doesn't believe it, Joni, I don't believe this. I've been studying this for years, it's impossible to be foreign, cut loss is impossible .
There must be this game, right? It's like that, right? Then he said when he saw a local selling it, oh no, it's impossible for the local Joni to be TP. If he sells locally, he will definitely cut his losses. Even though locals can take profits, foreigners can also cut losses. That's it. Well, that's Joni.
If you try to imagine, if there are people who invest with a crazy mindset, they are traders who want to be traders like that. Yes, you will definitely often get trapped like that, you know. Will often be slaughtered like that. Yes, that's how it is, Joni, you who cut losses a lot yesterday, Joni, try to see.
Well, this is where I really need to start introspecting, in my opinion . Even though this is only like 2 Fridays until today, right? If you just leave it alone, Bray will come back for a moment, you know. But because you were scared seeing all the news, you cut your losses. Today you have cut your losses or yesterday you finally regretted it.
Eh, it turns out the price will go back up again soon . It's a waste that I've cut losses so much . Well, that's how it is, yeah. BBRI rose 9% today, yes. BBRI rose 9.8, yes, 6. Then BBNI rose by 8. BBCA rose by 7. Well. Eh, what else is there? They say Telkom is going up big. Go on. 16 even. There are a lot of new rich people these days, Jon.
Yes, those who come in are big. Yes, there are a lot of new rich people coming in big time, right? So, eh, the IHSG rose this much, huh? Okay. Just imagine, Jon. Just because of Friday, Friday and Monday, 2 days of turbulent news, you lost money. It's just because you can't control your emotions, it's as simple as that.
Peter Lynch once said yes. Come on, seriously. You should start considering it, okay? Eh reviewer eh just two or three years if I'm not mistaken . You shouldn't invest in the stock market if I'm not mistaken. Now. Well, this is true, right? He once said that if you need the money within the next 1 to 3 years , you'd better not invest in stocks.
Seriously, Jon. This is a cave, not a cave. I'm hard, rough, not like that. I feel sorry for you, seeing you end up cutting losses and cutting losses like that . So if it's not cold hard cash and you really need 1-3 years, you're better off not in the stock market. This is Peter Lynch's advice. Because of what?
When I'm sorry, when you're still playing, I'm sorry, I'm honest, it's not a bit rude to say that rather than having a deposit mentality, I dare say. Deposits can't go down, but the interest is small. Except for digital bank deposits, I don't know what the scheme is, basically I don't know. The flowers are really big, right?
So when we have a deposit mentality like that , we force ourselves to invest in a scary, risky instrument like stocks, it's very risky, Republic. Hmm. If you have decided to enter the stock market, you must be prepared to face a market crash. There aren't any. It doesn't happen all the time, there are no shares that aren't red, there are none, it's a lie.
What can you do to manage the red? That's why we call it red magic. If you only know green in the stock market and can't stand seeing red anymore, then you better not be in the stock market, seriously. Yes, I'm not breaking your spirit, right? Poor you, you'll be going around in circles, seeing the crash tomorrow, you'll be lured into cutting losses again, lured into making big money again, right?
There are those who cut losses by tens of millions, hundreds of millions, you know. There were loads of them yesterday. Yes, there were so many people who cut their losses that much yesterday, they were stressed. Also, that's why I really don't recommend this, I really don't recommend that you just lock yourself into one or two stocks, Jon.
So, maybe because you felt that BBCA was fine, you went all in, all in . But when it turns out it collapsed 15% for the first time in history, ARB, wow, you're shocked, all your money is probably in there. Well, this is what's scary, Jon . So, when your portfolio is too focused on one or two indicators and when it turns red, that red ultimately affects your emotions, your psyche, and you are tempted to cut your losses.
Well, that's why I said don't focus too much on that. Jon, big top people like Warren Buffett often talk about not recommending diversification. But you know Jon, his portfolio is at least 30. 30 of his portfolio. Hey, that's the one who doesn't teach diversification 30. If the one who taught diversification was Peter Lynch, his portfolio would be hundreds.
Even 1,000, yes, he used to have 1,000 if I'm not mistaken. So, Jon, the one who doesn't teach diversification, his portfolio is 30, meaning. Oh, but Warren Buffett has a lot of money, bro. Bro, he's been doing that since he was young. Because like this, now okay, now let's do this , the ending is if you have one or two, why did you cut your loss yesterday?
That's all there is to it . That means you're going to get emotional, right? Well, when you get emotional, it means that one or two methods are not suitable for you. You can just have one or two shares as long as you are really strong. If you were really strong enough to deal with yesterday without cutting your losses, then that means it's suitable for you.
But if you cut loss yesterday, it means that the method is not suitable for you. If you use it, I'll repeat it like that, but the ending will be the same. Well, that's it. The important thing is that it fits. But I don't recommend one or two like that. Because when someone starts to fall, that person's emotions are already very high, they start to have trouble sleeping, they get anxious, they start to do all sorts of things.
You better avoid that, I say . The reason behind that advice is, well, market volatility. Yes, the stock market moves up and down in the short term Joni. So Joni, recently, one or two days ago, this incident happened to him. Friday and Monday, you've already cut your losses. Meanwhile, Peter Lynch said that you should n't do it for at least three years, right?
You'd better not be in the stock market . Well, that's not what I said, I just conveyed what Peter Lynch said, you know . Based on historical data, the stock market has fallen by around 10%. Every two years and a big drop. Bearish 25% every six years, yes. So, crashes are something that must be faced or not.
Can't run in and out. It's funny to me when I see people coming in and out, always running away from the market crash. Where does he get his money from? I'm sometimes confused. You don't even dare to face a crash, huh? Like that. Long term, yes. This stock is the best instrument for the long term. I've discussed this in about five videos ago.
If your portfolio has been around for at least five years, your potential for loss will be smaller, now only 10%. Moreover, if the portfolio has been running for six, seven, eight, nine, ten years, it will be increasingly difficult to beat it, you know. You just have to rely on profits, but at least the first five years you have to go through, the portfolio must be at least five years old.
Did you survive in the stock market for five years? It was then. Yes, for example, if someone is still, I dare say, if you were still cutting loss yesterday, that means you still failed the exam, so you have to try again. If you don't dare to try again, it's better for you to go somewhere else, maybe that stock isn't suitable for you, it's better for you to be like that.
It's not that I'm disappointing you. But Joni, if I were to choose between deposits or government securities, in my opinion, investment instruments like stocks, gold, silver, and crypto, or US stock ETFs are much better than those in deposits or government securities. Why are SBN and deposits invested in rupiah?
You are paid in rupiah, which is always affected by inflation and always loses against the dollar. So in my opinion you can't run. Actually, if you want to advance, you have to sing, this is called sing or swim. You only have the choice to sink or swim in the face of a market crash. Well, dare to face it like a man.
Yes, because if you run away like that, you run away and give up investing here, your money will be eaten up by inflation. Yes, for example, you have 100 million. You put it in SBN 7% , the remaining 100 million at 7% a year, the government will give you 7 million in interest a year, that's 7 million at that time, Pertamax price was 12,000, right?
5 months ago you got 5383 liters, now Pertamax price is 16,000, you still get the same 7 million. This is how you don't feel like your money is being killed by inflation, you know, you used to get 583 liters, now you only get 437 liters of Pertamax, try reducing it, bro, the number is the same as 7 million, but the value is decreasing, that's inflation, that's why I don't really like SBN and deposits, I don't like them, I don't like them .
I don't like it, it's better to just go straight into this, it's okay, the money is in shares, this doesn't become fiat, it's not fiat. Form of ownership of the company. Different. And not just any print like that. Money is printed every year. Yes, that's why I said earlier that I got 583 liters, in just eh, 5 months.
It's down. You've already got 437, that's actually already RB, eh, have you gotten RB yet? Try. 43 583. Is it true to calculate like this? 47. 437. Actually, you've dropped 33%, Jon, that's RB. You just don't realize that. It's RB, right? You don't realize. You get down. Your 100 million rupiah could have bought Well, this is it, Jon, well, this is it, people don't realize, this is dangerous, you know, being locked by fiat.
Likewise, Jon, that graph you see on your cellphone, that's fiat money. That illusion. You cut your losses because you saw the illusion of fiat money, did you know there? "Oh, oh, oh, my money is minus." [singing] But when it comes to 100 million, you could buy 8,300 liters of Pertamax 5 months ago , now you can only buy 6,250, try it.
You already have BRB 33% guys, you didn't realize that. Do you realize it? In 5 months, your money has become RB, losing 33% of its value. You don't realize that. Mr. Jon, look at you before, you cut your losses just because you saw an illusion on the screen. Actually, if you don't sell it, it's an illusion, Bray.
That illusion. Yes, it's fun to watch, especially if you've already done it, I admit, not everyone is mentally strong, even though they've heard bad news, wow, Johnny, Johnny, I saw the illusion on the screen, I've just cut my losses. Is that true ? Yesterday you were the same, in my opinion, just as absurd.
How much does a PlayStation cost? How many? The price of PS 5. Okay, for example, the price of the PS is 10 million, right? Because there was mass panic uh PlayStation would be destroyed uh it wouldn't sell anymore uh suddenly fell. So the new 6 million. Wow, you're panicking, maybe my PlayStation has no value, you sold it straight away and it was bought up by other people.
Wow, you sold it for 6 million and he bought it all. Why do you want to sell it at a cheap price? Because you don't realize the value of PlayStation. But people who realize its value. So, don't take the example of buying BCA and selling it cheaply. Why are you so scared that you're selling it cheap?
That means you don't realize the value of BCA. You still think this is like a money game, don't you have a company like that? So you can easily sell cheaply. Just try to know, it's like you're selling a PlayStation, whether you want it or not for 10 million, suddenly you sell it for 6 million because the news is that you don't want it.
Because you know this value is not no no no 6 million this this value is 10 million. That's it. You would n't want to if you were sane, Bray. Yes, like that, Bray. But insanity occurs. So, when it's easy for you to sell on ARB, it's easy for you to place a sale, it means you still don't understand what shares are, what their value is.
You still think that stocks are just a fiat money game. Yes. The important thing is green. Yes, if it's red, wow, this means you must not understand that stocks are actually more than that. You have a company like that. That's why people who don't understand the true nature of this thing find it easy to sell, they don't know its value.
He just thinks this is a fiat game, fiat money like that, you know. The important thing is that it must be green. That's it. That's it, Bray. Long term stocks are the best instruments for the long term of 10, 20, 30 years where short term fluctuations can be suppressed by the growth of the underlying business.
Yes I gave you an example earlier. 5 months ago, your money was already at 33% ARB to buy petrol. They say this Pertalite is rare, is that true ? They say it's a conference of ministers, is that true? It will go up again later, right? Well, later the subsidy will be revoked again, right? Yes, it's rare.
Is it true that I read hoax news on FB? Yes, the main point is that the subsidy will be removed, right? If your money goes up again, your feelings will go down again. You ARB didn't realize it, you were actually cheated by Fiat. But if you realized that the shares had a greater value than that, you wouldn't have sold ARB yesterday, why would I sell cheap goods at that time?
I'm not selling. Yes. The risk of losing capital if you invest money in stocks and the market experiences a rapid correction when you need to cash out those funds in 2-3 years. You risk selling at a loss, right? So Joni, make sure it's cold hard cash. Very important. Training emotions in stocks is training emotions.
Things like this will keep coming, Jon. Moreover, soon we will become stand-alone citizens, you know. Come on, let's just prepare for the worst. We will most likely be kicked alone, I see . Just get ready, relax. But that doesn't mean it's the end of the world. "Jon, this stand alone is the apocalypse." Oh, Jon, it's Jon, it's Jon, this can't be like that.
It's like yesterday when those comments came out. "No way, Jon, this can go up tomorrow and stand alone." No, it's not like that, okay? It's not that scary either, I guess later, okay? Yes, maybe later when they come out. Now, yesterday, it seemed like the ones who came out were the active fans, right?
We'll see later if the passive ones are kicked out in June. Oh well, we can get ready now. Yes, but it's quite good if it's foreign today, because foreign net selling has been high for three or three days. Three days, Monday, Tuesday and Friday, foreigners have already net sold 6 trillion, yes. His portion is getting smaller and smaller.
This shouldn't be easily shaken by the slightest news coming out. Hopefully, yes. So, just prepare it later, relax. Yes. Uh, okay, the stock is focused on the company, Guys. Yes, you are the owner of the company and the main fundamental is the company . Not foreign, not this, not that, yes. It's just a complement and a sweetener.
But there are many sectors, right? "No way, Jon, the shares are for us to follow the foreigner, we follow the bookie, we follow the driver." There are things like that. Or what else is there? It's like this , Jon, people who don't understand the basic science of stocks are what they are. You're easily frightened like this , easily frightened.
Even though you just kept quiet. Try to keep quiet on Friday, just leave you alone. Do you play games, Mobile Legends, Roblox, PlayStation, Steam, watch Korean dramas, Korean dramas, and what else? Are there any Malaysian dramas? I don't know if there are any Malaysian dramas. Just watch. Backlash. That's just an illusion on your cellphone , just a fiat illusion.
It's the same sheet. It has n't changed, it hasn't been eaten by termites, so it's the same. The usual ups and downs problem. Well, that's how it goes. Yes, I think this fear has been quite relieved since yesterday. Yes, we still have 8 months to sustain the market alone. No need for anything too special.
Johnny majority are the ones who are babbling, yes, that's it, that's the end of the world, that's enough, people don't understand, just leave it alone. But 90% of them are like that and their fear is too high. So, if you get caught up in their currents, you'll just end up losing out . Never mind that the fear is so big, that's enough, people don't understand, just leave it alone .
Yes, you are different, you know. It's that simple, right? Okay guys, see you in my next video. See you again, okay?
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