저자: CarrieArtek · 외국인
요약 보기
테슬라 기술적 분석: 5/13 기준 주요 저항 34307 근처에서 단기 조정 가능성 제시. 36429 저항 돌파 시 중장기(연말 51336) 상승 여지, 단기 되돌림 시 29539·28xx(상단 280대)·270대까지 하락 가능성 언급. 2~3주 내 상단 280대 되돌림이 가장 유력한 시나리오로 제시. 무료체험 및 다른 종목(EQT, Wingstop) 홍보 포함.
다듬은 글
Hi, this is Carrie Artek Wednesday, May 14th, 2025. Let's take a look at the charts. I am going to start with this one daily chart. Uh we settled last Friday above the 29539 a channel top that was part of a of a of a range of resistance that we clearly pushed above. There was also a longerterm horizontal channel top that we settled above the very same day that indicated uh 36429 speed line resistance as a 2 to 3 week target.
So we're in the middle of that and we're about 60% of the way there already on the way up. There is this 34307 channel top. We came very close to testing that on Tuesday. Well suited to contain daily highs. We could fall away from here. I don't have any problem. Well, first and foremost, if you're a 3 to 5 day swing trader and you're still long, this is a good area to take at least some profits because we can fall away from here possibly back to the 29539 area.
Actually, it would be this trend line. If with 34307 holds nicely, we fall back to what is then new channel support that looking here I'm going to say is around I don't know 280 or something and climbing but we'll use 29539 as the immediate objective anyway once we test 34307 that is possible. Now this is a counter trend sale.
So, if you short sale 34307, it is a counter trend move, but nonetheless, I I don't have a problem with it. If you're an aggressive uh swing trader and you're adept at these kinds of um trades, this is it right here, 34307. But also know, keep in the back of your mind that we're expecting 36429 as a 2 to 3 week target.
And if we push through 34307 today, it is the low 350s that is in reach. And as I've been saying the last few days, the low 350s are meaningful in their own right. A 50% upside retracement from the December high against the April low is 35139. And 350.97 is this former 2-year channel top that still has bearing, still has strength to contain weekly buying pressures.
I've also been saying, and you can see up here, this should actually be a four-star multi-week resistance at 36429. Should not be three stars. 360 429 descending two/3 speed line over the next week converges with the low 350s. Anyway, this is your range right here. And now I'm talking to uh not only 3 to 5 day but 3 to five week swing traders because from here we can fall back to some variation of channel support that we presently find uh well do we have it anywhere?
No, not really. I don't have it shown but it would be a meaningful bearish rotation. let's just say back into the 270s perhaps. I don't have it in front of me. Uh so if we happen to test 350.97 today, just know that it is the beginning of a short sale or a long liquidation. If you're still long above 29539, you're taking full profits in the low 350s to mid 360s, narrowing daily.
You're short at the low 350s. uh and anticipation of bearish rotation back to 29539 or lower within several weeks. I don't up in this vicinity have any interest in going long Tesla unless we close above 36429. And if we do over the next week or two settle above this important descending 2/3 speed line, then I would anticipate probably by the end of the year this 5-year channel top at 51336, which we came very close to testing back in December.
This was an objective at one point if you recall following the November buy signal above the 2-year channel top. Anyway, I digress a bit. So, I hope I explained the upside pretty well as 34307 climbs by the end of the week. It's actually converging already with the low 350. So it's like a day-to-day nuance, you know, but for today 34307 respectable resistance assuming we open below it and below which we can fall back to well we've got several levels lined up.
We have 31902 all day long. Now this 38 upside Fibonacci from the December high to the April low did not behave very well in terms of containing anything. uh but I do still think because uh these can actually hold again to the downside just as an intraday support level and if we break 31902 30704 would be in reach.
I don't expect either scenario. What I do expect is a test of 34307 and then a possible sort of hesitation and even an easing back uh as we continue through the rest of the day perhaps and into tomorrow. That is a scenario that I think is quite possible. But what I also know while I say that and I'm talking short term for the next few days I also keep on the other side of my brain the fact that we have a three to five week two to three week objective in the low 350s to mid 360s narrowing gradually into the lower 350s over the next week week and a half of trade.
This is the big picture objective able to contain buying through the month of June and uh 34307 will be converging with all this anyway over the next 3 to 5 days. So once again closing above 34307 we test this area this week and if we close above 36429 in the coming days uh then yes the 51336 5-year channel top likely by the end of the year but until then this is the area we could top out at into the third quarter even which begins July 1st and fall away again.
What would be the objective? The initial objective would be kind of the mid 290s here. Um, but you could you could find other locations in the upper 280s. Uh, this congestive area here, this series of highs, upper 280s within two to three weeks, possibly even lower as we continue over the 3 to 5 week time frame.
We will determine a downward pivot point into the third quarter and I don't know exactly where that will be. We need to see where the high is so that we can construct the new channel formations and the new speed lines coming up uh that if violated would tip the market south to long-term support uh that I can show uh right No, I can't show it anywhere.
Uh be Oh, yes, I can. Here it is. Yeah, this is our long-term support. And we're not going to see this anytime soon, but I'm just kind of articulating kind of the big picture that if we were to fall away from the low 350s to mid 360s and fall back into the upper 280s within two to three weeks, which I think is the likelihood, uh, at we will by that point in time have determined what support is coming up that if violated would then indicate long-term support on that weekly chart, 5-year channel support in the upper 150s to low 160s.
I don't want to spend a lot of time there. Where I want do want to spend a lot of time is here. And this is the image I really want to leave you with. I want to also mention that on Tuesday, Wicked Stocks.com put out two stock picks. One in EQT, which is an energy firm, and the other in Wingstop, that is a um that is a food franchise in the United States.
Both of them on the edge of meaningful buy signals that can play out well into June, even into July. Uh we would if we got the buy signals anticipate at least a 20% move on each. You want to check them out, go to wicked.com and take advantage of our fiveday free trial where you'll also see our daily triple Q and our daily SPY analysis, weekly Apple stock analysis, etc., etc.
So go to wickedtocks.com and set that up for yourself. I will of course be back tomorrow with Thursday's Tesla and you have a great evening.
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