저자: KerryArteche · 외국인
요약 보기
7/24 테슬라 실적 쇼크 후 매도세 우려. 367.62 하회 시 1~2개월 목표 303.17, 종가 기준 291.81 하회 시 2~3개월 목표 227.27 제시. 340.98 돌파 시 356.84→371.03 반등 시나리오. 전체적으로 단기 하락 편향의 기술적 분석이며 채널/피보나치형 구간을 근거로 제시.
다듬은 글
Hi, this is Kerry Arteche with Wicked Stocks bringing you your daily Tesla report for Friday, July 24th, 2026. Let's take a look at the charts. We have basically severe earnings miss, shattered investor confidence, big sell-off today, Thursday. I'm talking after the close. Clearly settling the week.
I think I can anticipate that today that we will close 367.62 or lower today setting off what I have been considered to be a 1 to 2 month objective at 30317. We may actually see that level today. Now, there is, you see 31535 off to the side here, session containment. This is a simple trend line off the lows from the April 24.
So, you know, it's a over 2-year trend line. Trend lines work better in Tesla than than in other markets, but you know, we went back and forth for a while. Should this be intraday? Meaning it could contain an early morning low, and then we could rebound perhaps uh back to 340.98 with the kind of volatility we're in.
And 340.98 is this former channel bottom that we gapped below on Thursday. So, this is your framework here. 340.98 is your day resistance. I have no problem aggressively selling that because we are anticipating 30317. I'm going to say a 1 to 2 month target that could be in reach today. So, if we do break today 31535, then yes, 30317 is likely.
This descending channel bottom is really all the way down to 29181. Now, what is 29181? I'm going to walk you through the sort of wave count here. That's A - B - C. So, full wave, you add this distance to C all the way down, and that's 29181. And I like it because it is it is mathematically equivalent to this descending channel bottom, which is a line study.
So, it is a range 30317 down to 29181 and 29929 this prominent. I think that's a think that's an April high of 23. I forget, but it was a prominent high that lasted for some time. And so, you throw that in the mix and you've got a zone that can contain selling. I'm going to say through August. And from here, we can spring back.
With present volatility could be within 2 to 3 weeks. You could also take all the way into later August before we could rally back up into the 370s where a sell opportunity would present through the rest of the year, really. Holding below 37103, I've been mentioning now for months. If we close below this, we can anticipate within 3 to 5 months perhaps 22727.
And yes, indeed, if we close today below 30317 and I would like to add 29181 to the mix. I do think closing today below 29181 and if we have a with we have a a sell-off today like we had yesterday, we can close below 29181. That would then set up 22727. With present volatility, I don't think it's going to hold.
So, I'm going to call this a 2 to 3 month target 22727. If we do indeed close today below 29181 30317 preceding 29181. This is a solid zone to bottom pick as we move through August. From here, we can stabilize and even round up possibly by the end of August back into the low 370s. Once again, closing below 29181, no good reason to be long Tesla if your time horizon is 1 2 months out.
I would see 22727 as an objective. We've been mentioning this horizontal channel as able to contain annual selling pressures and it also is just above in relative terms a longer term structure at 18584. So, if you're looking if if things get ugly and Tesla just keeps getting hit and closes below 29181, uh keep your powder dry if you are only on the buy side of Tesla and if your framework is normally long-term like near to long-term investing because the 227 27 down to 185 84 area is a zone to bottom pick through all of 27 even through the rest of the decade we can round up from here and I would consider a realistic objective once again if we close below 291 81.
So I don't want you get caught along with a settlement today below 291 81. But until then you can and in fact um let's talk upside holding above 315 35 will keep today this 340.98 formation in reach. Once again, this is our two-sided framework and all of these minor points have been carefully chosen.
Closing today above 340.98 however unlikely indicates a test Monday Tuesday of next 356 84 and 356 84 I think you can consider this to be the start of a range of significant resistance up to 371 03. 371 03 is that long-term channel bottom that we are going to close today below setting off a long-term sell signal potentially into the 220s over the next three to five months.
So once again, let me repeat that if we do close today above 340.98 early early next week we push into the mid 350s the beginning of a range all the way up to the low 370s that can contain buying through August and into the fourth quarter because below this area once again, let me stress we remain heavy not only down to 303 17 over the next well, that could be today but also by the end of the year or sooner uh possibly by the end of September if we close below 303 17 291 81 today 227 27 in reach.
So you know, I want to articulate one more thing and it's really a repeat sometimes things just need to be repeated. If you're a day trader you can sell 340.98 and if you're looking to buy the market as a the trade you can buy 315 35 but be careful. We're in a sell signal that can yield 303.17 possibly today.
If we break or open today below 315.35, and we close in the 319 handle, so it could quite easily happen where we open today below 315.35, and if so, 303.17 is likely today where once again, combined with um well, 303.7 There you go. This is really what we're looking at. 303.17 at the beginning of a range of meaningful support down to 291.81 that can contain selling through August, and from here we can round up into the 370s within 3 to 5 weeks.
Closing below 291.81, forget about it. Be short or be out as we move through the month of August. That is all I've got to say. Please click like, share, subscribe. Check out wickedstocks.com. We put out two stock picks this week. Uh check us out. But two week two week free trial, daily Nvidia, daily triple Q, daily spy analysis.
Uh you'll see it all for two weeks. I'm going to um leave it at that for Friday's daily technical report. I'll be back Sunday with Monday's, of course. You have a great weekend. If you're finding value in this analysis, it's only a glimpse of what we offer. Your real trading edge starts at wickedstocks.com.
Each week, premium members receive two high probability stock picks. Each one comes with a complete trade plan, including exact entry, profit target, stop loss, and regular updates so you can manage the trade with confidence. You'll also get daily video analysis in the top traded markets, in the spy, the triple Q, and Nvidia, highlighting the key price levels, trends, and trade setups we're focused on.
Whether you're day trading or swing trading, these insights help you zero in on the highest quality opportunities with clarity. Start your two week free trial and trade with clarity from day one.
Comments 0