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this video is brought to you by mr sick boy and the one of which gets additional lectures this weekend totally for free and of course you know the price goes up over time so you may as well join before the price goes up the link down below hey roomy kevin here so i get another kova test in about an hour so far i'm two tests and both are negative but wow this just feels like kind of sickness like that i've never had before it's really weird uh it's like this really weird slow ramp of like oh you got a sore throat a little bit of cough nobody really cares about and now all of a sudden it's just like the last two days have been pretty bad which is weird because it's like day 10 i feel like of having some symptoms i don't know it's just it's bad but anyway uh let's stay focused on the update and we'll keep this short so this morning i literally woke up at 5 11 a.m with anxiety over cpi'd release the consumer price index uh readings now i had a dream that inflation skyrocketed against all expectations and all my long yolos that inflation was going to inflict down basically went into the toilet and it was really bad so maybe it wasn't a dream it was a little more like a nightmare but anyway i woke up and like shaking like oh my gosh oh it was just a dream i look at my phone and i'm like 5 11.
i could still wake up and go report on cbi data so that's what i did this morning and so here's what we learned beyond what we talked about this morning yesterday bloomberg was cheering how out of the last four of uh four cpi readings that have happened bloomberg has been right assuming that inflation was going to be higher than what the consensus estimates were well this time bloomberg was finally wrong for the first time in a 5 out of 5 readings they were wrong because cpi numbers came in to match expectations this led the 10-year treasury to fall slightly from 1.38 back to about 1.32 along with another bond auction that happened today which kind of helped soften the yield a little bit now what this reading symbolizes is a very very important going forward like bloomberg being wrong here and this inflation reading matching expectations and inflecting downward is a big deal and we're going to explain why it's a big deal and exactly what you should be looking for going forward and how to particularly find which companies you might want to potentially go all in on well i don't suggest you go all in on one companies i suggest you invest more into that is not financial advice either but i'll tell you exactly what to research and where and maybe which companies to start paying attention to because there are some cool things brewing so now let me back up a tiny little bit and explain this for those of you who have been following my channel for quite a while now the last at least six months you've regularly heard me say that i believe that inflation will inflict downwards in september in october which those readings come out in october and november this has the potential of creating a euphoric stock rally when we see inflation in flight downwards because right now so many people believe that inflation will definitely come in higher and stay higher than expected that's why we're expecting a potential rally now let me explain that with a picture right after i mentioned that if you want to get yourself a free stock make sure to go to metcalf.com public you get a totally free stock when you go to mckevin.com public download the app sign up you get a totally free stock and public is a company that lets you socially share your trades and they don't buy or sell any consumer information related to you so folks let's uh unlike other brokerages let's go over to this little thing i drew here take a look at this so this right here is the thesis the thesis is that in september and october inflation has inflected down and we end up getting a rally in tech now i think this rally in tech has a little bit of an asterisk going into 2022 because i think year-over-year comps are going to be potentially problematic but i'm not so worried about that i'm more worried about seeing the rally come first and then that way i can make some trades off that the risk obviously is that services and rents keep going up and that inflation keeps going up which would lead tech to fall however today we ended up having a very very good move or representation in the cpi report which showed that and our rents only ended up going up about 0.2 percent which is really good because that works out to a let's see uh 2.4 annualized inflation rate right now rents have gone up about 6.6 year-over-year home prices are up like 20 year-over-year but if there's a compression in returns we might not actually see rents go up as much which plays into the strategy of waiting until september to not november for a rally this is why 80 to 90 percent of my portfolio is long this rally now i've pulled back slightly from what i used to be which was just a hundred percent yolo on waiting for that september to november rally i've pulled back a little bit on this by selling some call options and by holding more cash i'm doing this as a hedge but you can see that obviously 80 to 90 percent of my portfolio is still long this rally and i'm looking forward to that rents coming in at 0.2 percent this month was really really good cars used cars coming in basically flat very very good we expect that we saw used car prices do this and now they're kind of flat this makes sense that's the way inflation works and remember it's so important regularly people like well well kevin if prices go up why would they ever come down again they don't have to for inflation readings not to be lower they just have to stay flat that's all they have to do like use car prices could just say like this they start doing this that's deflation right so anyway keep that in mind that's why september november time frame like there's a reason i'm 80 to 90 long on that potentially rally happening and today's cpi report reiterated that also if we look at the services and numbers that came in the services numbers were also way lower services were virtually flat so we were virtually flat uh well on rents sorry rents were up 0.2 flat on used cars and uh pretty much flat on services which is pretty good we want to see that because we don't really want to see hyperinflation or big inflation numbers i don't think anybody wants to see that and that was the concern with these inflation readings was that we would end up in a situation where okay fine we get all this crazy inflation then we get an inflection downwards in used car prices going down and maybe airline travel going down oh no but then come along rents and services and they end up keeping inflation high that was the concern but so far that doesn't appear to be the case instead the case is that these are actually not coming in to prop up inflation and so we're starting to see that inflection point to the downside really really good for the long strategy that i have now i want to talk about some specific stocks and some other things that are going on especially things that you want to pay attention to so let me get some of these things out of the way then we'll go to specific stocks first federal reserve already came out and they said ah see this is working exactly as planned keep in mind they do expect to taper pretty soon but they're not necessarily saying they have to raise rates right away in fact they think the sooner they taper the longer they can wait to raise rates so in some way tapering sooner could actually potentially be good news that rates won't go up as soon very interesting the market is it's incredibly confusing and i think that uncertainty in the market is literally what we're seeing with stocks like moderna right now like why is moderna down like 16 percent on the day and caterpillar's up three and a half percent i think the markets just literally scrambling trying to figure out where the heck should we go uh in fact yeah modern right now is also down another one percent in the after hours down to 385 at the moment that thing has been moving like a momentum stock it's crazy it's really because the market is clueless the market is starting to slowly ingest like wait a minute what if inflation does inflict downwards what if we actually do end up having lower inflation like where do we invest and what about delta speaking of delta cough anyway so okay now let's let's get a little bit more specific and zoom in here a little bit so we know there's a lot of uncertainty and one of the and a lot of noise i like to call it but one of the things in my opinion that you can use to get through the noise is reading earnings transcripts folks seriously read the earnings transcripts of quality companies i'm going to give you a list of quality companies in a moment but i want to give you an example okay end phase end pace the micro inverter solar play they in my opinion are getting set to explode with earnings once supply chain shortages subside here's why i was reading the end face earnings call and they literally expect to over double their production capacity of micro inverters by the end of the year they already said their asic supply chain shortages are over now they're just waiting for some additional supply chain constraints to loosen up so they can double production of their micro inverters for which they have a massive amount of demand this is going to lead to an explosion in in my opinion revenue for the company and ultimately the stock price and so this is making me very bullish on end phase and this is why i'm going through all of the earnings transcripts especially while i'm sick not able to do much anyway so i just sit there with my ipad and i read and i'm going through company after company after company looking for things that could end up being surprises that the market just isn't paying attention to here are the companies that are on my list of companies that i'm watching tesla and face expi palantir redfin lemonade square wayfarer ubiquity disney sunrun google apple amazon although google apple apple and amazon probably less so out of all of these but anyway canadian solar amd nvidia hud-8 mining sofa coinbase not robinhood at these prices it's too high but lower yes in vitae crispr docusign upwork chargepoint and blink you'll notice that i actually have not included peloton on that list and that's mostly because i'm starting to see a little bit of an inflection point in people not caring as much about at home workout bikes and i think uh if heliton really i think their next run comes when they start coming out with strength training products which they will with their announcement of hopefully pre-core products since they bought pre-core and now they can announce new pre-core products i think we're going to need to see some new products before we see another big big big push on the piton just my thought could obviously be wrong i'm not talking bad about piton i still hold some piton but i'm just not as heavy as i was previously and we'll see that could change i'll keep you updated the market's always changing but anyway these are some of the companies that i'm definitely paying attention to right now and reading through earnings reports through i should be done within the next day day and a half it'll kind of keep reporting on updates like these at least one video a day to kind of let you know what the heck is going on uh i also want to mention oh yeah actually before i mention this next part i do want to say there are about right now uh for all those of you who have downloaded the meet kevin app in the apple or google android there are thousands of you who have downloaded this app and who use the app for notifications or whatever which is great but in terms of those of you actually doing the share competition there we can count that in the number of hundreds so remember we are going to uh give away uh about we're going to give away a hundred courses and we're going to give away uh 10 private jet flights from los angeles actually probably oxxr california to las vegas you've got to get yourself here but then we're going to have fun in vegas we're going to kind of party together as a thank you to the the folks contributing and sharing on social media stuff about my campaign so if you haven't joined that challenge yet it's free to join it's randomly weighted which means uh everybody has a chance to win so check that out uh download the app at meet kevin in your app store and join the challenge just share anything of me or from me on social media there's plenty of stuff to share now for rcc i think it's worth mentioning that for the cash portion i really think cash could be cash like investments as well which could be like a basket of index funds or the s p 500 so you don't have to be purely in cash i personally am because it's smaller part of my portfolio anyway and i don't mind waiting for opportunities because there's really no pain in the street right now nobody's freaking out right now and there are always times every single year there's a point where somebody's freaking out so i don't mind waiting a little bit uh for or a time in the market when everyone's freaking out i don't mind waiting for those opportunities right now things are a little expensive so i'm spending more time doing research uh on real estate i have an offer out on a real estate deal i'm excited about that i'll keep you updated on that and on crypto got a good solid happy position here it's not as big as i would like but i'm accepting of it and uh i'm kind of just watching it go up because well crypto's doing very well uh and so is coinbase which is wonderful it's been through uh we've been through one heck of the last uh four months in the crypto world been a big old dip the last four months but anyway things are finally returning uh interestingly it's also worth noting that stay at home is falling this is not too much of a surprise because it'd be too easy just go oh delta's coming let's just go into stay-at-home place i feel like the market is kind of like playing chess and there are a few moves ahead of that already a lot of bloomberg articles about amc and theaters potentially having trouble through delta and uh that amc's got a little bit of ways to go even though they have uh they say they've got 200 2 billion dollars worth of cash they've got a lot of debt and in their cash count they're including credit lines which isn't really cash so this is just so you know what kind of like the the suits you're saying on wall street and i understand i'm wearing one but then again i had an interview yeah i know the way it sound with cbs in the la times and i was just like oh my gosh i know i'm dying but at least i'm transparent about how i feel but anyway uh still excited about this potential euphoric rally we uh also see wayfarer back over 300 for those of you in stocks and psychology of money you probably remember when this thing was 230 and i'm like yeah this thing's going back over 300 it's back over 300 as always check out the courses link down below we also have talk from bloomberg that the battery shortfall is expected to worsen for ev development which is obviously not good but is expected to worsen before it gets better all right with that said make sure to get the courses linked down below they're amazing programs thank you so much for being here i'll be adding content to the stocks in psychology money group this weekend use that 40 off coupon code link down below the price does go up over tim
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