저자: Josh · 외국인
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테슬라 실적 후 자율주행·로보택시 불확실성 지적, 라이다 관련주 관심 표명. 테슬라는 253 돌파 실패 후 컵앤핸들 형성 중이라며 233~222 조정 후 재돌파 가능성 주장. 7월 11일 양호한 CPI로 9월 금리 인하 기대, 소형주(IWM) 강세 전환 예상. S&P500은 헤드앤숄더 가능성 언급(넥라인 552, 목표 545/540). 팔로알토네트웍스(PANW)는 크라우드스트라이크 사태 수혜 및 상승 채널 돌파 기대(목표 345/350). 넷플릭스는 650 돌파 시 664, 639 이탈 시 600 가능성 언급.
다듬은 글
all right guys we've got some important subjects to discuss today obviously Tesla just reported their earnings and as I said this week it was all going to come down to automated driving and Robo taxi and unfortunately they said that was behind some future regulation and that some of the technology wasn't fully developed personally I think they should be looking at the uh lazr company and the lidar technology because I believe that could be where it's at still keeping an eye on that particular play but that also is going to have to be driven by news they don't have the earnings to actually cause that stock to pump now I've got someone in the scene with me here this is my nephew hi Leighton and um uh I'm actually stopping in to visit my sister here in San Diego on my way to Tennessee I'm going to go to the Bitcoin conference what do you think about that cool cool thanks for joining me in the video do you have anything you want to say to the good people no all right Mommy so guys I mentioned it in yesterday's video if you're a Tesla shareholder and you're you're looking at this and you're kind of uh upset thinking that this was going to be the breakout moment one we were up against some very significant resistance and the fact that we came all the way off of the lows and got up to this level above that area of 253 which we actually never closed a weekly candle above it proved to be too much for Tesla again all that's happening from a technical perspective right now is we are simply forming potentially a bullish cup and handle uh and right now we've got the cup formed back at 253 that's the rim and now we're going to make the handle and where are we going to possibly come back to well there is support around 233 but I think 222 Is Where It ultimately wants to go let's give it a little bit of time to pull back because the more time we give it to pull back the more time it has to rebuild momentum and make another push at that wall at that neckline of the cup and potentially a breakout and think about it this way guys he's telling you that all they did was push the news back to October and that and we see that Wall Street wants to get in on this potential for uh for Tesla and we know that this is going to be a huge profit Center because he said that it was their highest priority right now and so all that we need is to get closer to that date we're going to swoop down make the handle and then we're going to swoop back up and I think potentially break through and so I'm actually not at all disappointed that Tesla's coming back obviously I would love for it to go straight up from here but if you take into consideration all of the opportunity in Tesla ahead uh automated driving is absolutely coming down the road and I've talked about it before Warren Buffett himself said that uh his biggest concern about the insurance companies under the birkar halfway name was the automated driving could absolutely annihilate the auto insurance and what did we see in the last CPI report we saw that the the insurance the auto insurance companies were doing the biggest money grab they've ever done before it was up 22 29% I believe I can't remember the number but it was double digit increases from the previous uh year I believe it was no it was month over month possibly have to go back and check that but the fact is they're gouging and they're trying to get every every dollar they can right now because their their business I believe is coming to an end eventually we get automated uh driving at hand and insurances are going to drop and so we're going to see that industry die while this new industry climbs and Elon and Tesla are on the for front of it and the stock will pop again guys we are seeing big Tech going through earnings so far and it's not turning out uh very good because I think a lot of value has been priced in what is that story about I'm just going to wrap up this video and make this point July 11th a good CPI read told us that we are going to get that rate cut in September and whenever we get a rate cut small cap stocks outperform large cap and so we're seeing that rotation which means that iwm is going to continue to be a place where you might want to park some money we got a little pullback bam Back Off to the Races and so we're going to continuously be looking to play small cap forward because that is just very early beginning right and I'm going to remind you guys of the Netflix chart I want to give you guys some numbers on that let me take you into the chart and then I know you guys are like Josh you better not dare not cover pandw because you told us you would cover it yesterday we'll cover those two charts and we're going to call it a day here all right guys you can see what's been working and what has not been working uh Amazon worked today actually let me briefly comment on that uh we had a beautiful uh win today in the Discord the Amazon calls had to come back a lot otherwise you know we were going to be hurting they went up 300% today if you had accumulated when they were down in the low you were very happy today the original call that I had made uh at the be uh handful of days ago that was up in profit today so we book it as a win I know that it was a rough road and a scary road but Amazon was ready to pop and as I had showed you guys in the last video we had that a bullish inverse Head and Shoulders pattern and it popped just like we thought and we hit the target that we were expecting to hit and so that turned out to be a beautiful profitable trade if you don't know what I'm talking about I'm talking about the chart goat University it is a fabulous community and I'm putting together something special now don't worry I'm going to get to that pandw chart here in just a minute I'm putting together something special we're going to do a small account Challenge and um I'm going to break down the Dynamics of that in one of my coming videos this week where we're going to start off off with $3,000 and we're going to take that to $10,000 that's going to be the goal so uh if you want to be involved in that and you want to follow along then go and get subscribed at the chart goat University I'll leave a link in the top pin comment all right let's go look at some charts overall you can see Amazon was the only big Tech stock that was ended the day in the green the rest are neutral and we're seeing that rotation over into small cap I want to remind you guys because I think we're going to see it I talked with you guys about this yesterday we got this head and shoulders possibly forming on the Spy I'll just draw it out for you really quickly got the left shoulder got the head we've come back this is all that we have to go high at this point we don't have to go any higher at this point to be able to come back I think 54960 is the number to watch and if we get beneath 552 then I would say be on watch for a move back to 54960 now if we break this neckline then it's going to be 545 is Target one and 540 is Target 2 let's go quickly look at the pandw chart guys this is a bullish chart and there's a couple things I want to point out to you pan W is going to benefit through crowd strikes problems crowd strike chart is gotten absolutely destroyed panw chart is looking very very bullish we're in a bullish descending Channel we've back tested structure which is something that you would hope to see right there was the back test of structure uh this has been a bullish play when you got over the middle of this channel from 3:30 all the way up to 3:40 this was a no-brainer now we're looking for a breakout of this channel now this might and could take a little bit more time to pull back before breaking out of the channel but I'm going to tell you guys it's absolutely on watch if you didn't get in at 320 the next opportunity would be for the touch of the middle of this channel for another move to push higher ultimately our up targets are 345 and 350 and I don't see why pandw isn't going to continue to climb because it's got all the bullishness in the chart it's retesting structure and it's building momentum and I think this whole crowd strike event uh was very suspicious and I think that companies like paler and pandw that even though they are at the top of their range we're going to be looking for uh potential cyber problem Cyber attack problems in the future you have to remember I read to you guys at the beginning of the year okay Goldman Sachs always lays out their Clues and they said that they saw the potential of these types of problems in 2024 and out of thin air they begun to manifest themselves so it's going to be companies like paler and companies like pandw and a handful of others that are going to do very well so we're going to keep watching them to the upside nothing wrong with these charts right now they're they're looking straight bullish to me it doesn't mean though that they're going straight up we want to be looking for the best possible entries guys I'm going to leave it there if you liked it already uh give my man uh uh Leon here a like a thumbs up for this video for his contribution uh standing Sentinel with me and uh sharing his house my sister just moved into this place uh just a couple days ago so get two days ago two days ago so if you're wondering why the furniture isn't put all in place uh they just moved in and uh she was gracious enough to let me stop by and shoot a video while I was passing through town uh so I can come over here and hug some of these guys uh I don't think you can see my niece where is she go say hi let me see let's find Tegan ah there's tan say hello hello these guys are the best all right just wanted to say appreciate each and every one of you guys find me in the Discord where I'm going to dropping more technicals and answering more questions we've got the best community over there I continue to appreciate the guidance that ptin 16 spy Lord is giving as well as many others uh guys um I'm next stop for me is Tennessee tomorrow for the Bitcoin conference where I'm going to listen to Michael sailor Kathy Woods Donald Trump RFK and a number of other important speakers and I'll be sharing with you uh what they've got to say and I might be able to do a technical Tuesdays on Wednesday or Thursday with my man him when I get to be uh when he'll be there in person he's traveling today so we couldn't do our regular technical show but it'll all come together this week and I'm going to stay connected with you guys in these choppy markets okay one last chart I forgot I wanted to show you was Netflix let's go check that out okay guys I've been saying that this chart was in trouble and we're continuing to see a downtrend I've got alerts on my chart for an up move or a down move and I think these two white lines are going to uh show us the path the next Cross of either 639 to the downside or the next Cross of 650 to the upside is going to give us Direction uh the upside if we do get above 650 we're going to go to 664 and if we get below 639 we have the potential to go all the way down to 600 so I want you guys to stay on top of the trend lines I've got it marked it will send me an alert and then you can see this little popup where it says Netflix one day Crossing horizontal line and it'll shoot me an alert and I'll jump in and I'll let you guys know which direction I'm going whether it's short or long peace and blessings hit that like And subscribe we'll see you in the next video take care
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