Gold - The Ultimate Geopolitical Hedge Strategy | Marc Faber

요약 보기

Marc Faber는 금이 유동성 위기 때 하락할 수 있으나 마이크론·테슬라·스페이스X 같은 성장주보다는 낫다고 봄. 이란 전쟁과 러시아-우크라이나, 중동 긴장이 지속되며 쉽게 끝나지 않을 것으로 봄. 미국은 이스라엘 지지로 국제적 신뢰를 잃었고 전쟁이 길어져 미국에 굴욕이 될 수 있다고 주장. 포트폴리오 헤지 수단으로 트럼프 일가 관련 주식 공매도를 언급.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. gold, but there is a risk with gold, so yeah, that means there is, there is not much you, uh, can simply do to, uh, preserve the purchasing power of gold. I'm not saying it can't fall. Of course, it can fall during a liquidity crisis. But to a lesser extent than, say, Micron Technology, Tesla, or SpaceX.

02. And by that , I mean, if someone wants to hedge their portfolio, they should short any stocks associated with the Trump family. Yes, that's an interesting way to look at things. So, you know, there have been certain geopolitical risks recently. It seems like we were talking right at the beginning of the Iran War , and I don't think we expected it to last 5 months .

03. How do you see the development of the geopolitical situation in the world? We still have an ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. We still have a war in the Middle East. You know, there are tensions in Asia. You see it keeps getting worse and worse. Well, I think Asia is relatively calm. At least where I live, in Thailand.

04. But who knows, you understand, everything can change quickly. And I ...it's not that I'm losing sleep. I sleep under any conditions, but it seems to me that the conflict in the Middle East cannot end quickly because no one really wants it to end. The Iranians are at a disadvantage, but I want to tell you something important in this context .

05. There was a match between Belgium and the United States at the World Cup. Of course? Belgium is a minor country in all aspects except for the diamond trade, which is not in the best shape right now because prices have fallen. And the USA is a powerful country. And I can say that the whole world, whether in Africa, or in Latin America, or in Europe, or here in Asia, was happy that little Belgium defeated the USA.

06. Why is that? Because for Trump , for the USA and the neoconservatives, for such hard- line supporters as Dick Cheney and Rumsfeld, and similar people—criminals, war criminals. The USA has lost its prestige. When I was growing up in the 50s and 60s, people were fascinated by America. They believed that America was acting for the good of the world.

07. And this led to the emergence of a president like Kennedy, who gave the world hope. Maybe it was all a lie, but this was a hopeful president. And today the United States has become unpopular almost everywhere. And no one wants the US to simply win the war in the Middle East, with Israel controlling it.

08. I assure you, after the events that took place in the Gaza Strip, sympathy for Israel in the world has fallen sharply, very sharply. And the US is perceived as a supporter of Israel and a warmonger. And everyone sympathizes with Iran in a certain way, because it is a small player fighting a large powerful state.

09. And the Iranians are supported through indirect channels by powerful allies. They don't want the US, because the US has now apparently declared the strait almost its territory. It's as if they have hope to make this dream come true. But, ultimately, I want to say that this war will not end soon, because the interests of Israel and the world do not coincide, and the interests of Israel and Iran do not coincide, and so on.

10. So this could go on for a long time and actually become quite humiliating for the US. Hello everyone, thank you very much for watching this excerpt from the What the Finance interview. If you enjoyed it and are looking for more short content, please like and subscribe. And if you want to watch the full interview, you can find it here. Thank you very much and see you in the next issue.