저자: JimCramer · 외국인
요약 보기
테슬라 주가 급등(하루 15%)의 배경으로 마진 반등과 2025년 이후 20~30% 인도량 성장을 꼽으며, 테슬라를 1조 달러 이상 시총으로 갈 가장 저평가된 AI 플레이로 평가. Hertz 10만대 계약, 공매도 세력 압박이 상승 요인이라 주장. 반면 진행자는 과도한 밸류에이션, 중국 규제·미중 갈등, 경쟁 심화, 버블 우려를 함께 제기.
다듬은 글
It's just starting because what I view is they needed to ultimately show that margin story, that it was going to rebound. And we saw just massive margin rebound in terms of Tesla, and it's all about deliveries. Into next year, 20 to 30% growth, much higher than anyone expected, even the bulls like us. I think it's time to get the popcorn out. This is just the stage to this company being over a trillion-dollar market cap. Tesla continues to really be the most undervalued AI play in the market.
Today, Tesla was the market leader, with the Dow rising 146 points and the S&P rising 0.32%. Is that clapping now? 0.35%. The shares of Tesla surged 15%. What took place? In addition to being amazing, this is a perfect illustration of how the CEO redefines authority. Here he is doing something that no CEO in America can do. However, it's hardly a panacea for Tesla. It isn't completely autonomous.
The competition is still fierce. Because no one else can do this, shareholders adore him and push the stock up, making idiots of the downgraders from last week. Musk nearly seemed to have influence over the government. Well, perhaps he does. Will Tesla's decision be sustainable? Look, a lot of people gambled that they would eventually break the damn thing and shorted the stock. They didn't succeed. Until all of the shorts are squashed, the stock can continue to run.
Tesla's stock is surging in a way that Wall Street has never witnessed before, defying gravity. Veteran analyst Jim Cramer explains why Tesla is more than just another automaker. It is a phenomenon that is changing the rules of the game and has added an incredible $314 billion in market value almost overnight.
As Ford, Lucid, and even Ferrari are vying for market share, Tesla's unrelenting ascent is igniting intense discussion among experts and investors. Tesla's stock has risen by about 75% in the last quarter and has risen by an incredible 180% in the last year, continuing its incredible ascent in 2024.
On Squawk on the Street, Jim Cramer of CNBC recently voiced his awe, describing Tesla as a phenomenon and acknowledging that he has never witnessed a stock rise indefinitely on its own. Tesla's shares were already gaining ground in pre-market trading just before the Wall Street opening bell. By lunchtime, they broke yet another record, hovering around $1,450 per share, giving Tesla a market capitalization well beyond $1.3 trillion.
Late in 2023, Tesla's ascent gained significant traction, and it carried on into 2024, propelled by a fresh wave of record-breaking quarterly earnings and growing worldwide sales. Tesla's most recent agreement with Hertz, which raised its initial purchase of 100,000 Teslas with the goal of replacing a significant amount of its fleet by the end of 2025, has been warmly received by investors.
Just this collaboration caused Tesla's stock to jump 15% in a single day, increasing its value even further. And with optimistic predictions from prominent analysts like Adam Jonas of Morgan Stanley, Tesla has emerged as the leading electric vehicle on Wall Street, igniting a heated discussion over its prospects.
According to bulls, Tesla is only beginning to realize its full potential and will soon rule not only EVs but also AI, energy, and autonomous technology. On the other hand, bears contend that excessive speculation and exorbitant valuations that are not closely linked to conventional criteria are driving Tesla's unsustainable rise.
For more than two years, Jim Cramer has been an outspoken supporter of Tesla and hasn't changed his mind, describing the company's ascent as nothing short of revolutionary. Therefore, the fact that Tesla's stock may be nearly as valuable as the combined values of General Motors and Ford astounds many.
Indeed, Tesla has a market capitalization of around $845 billion, GM of about $50 billion, and Ford of about $37 billion. This complaining is audible each time Tesla removes a significant level. When it surpassed Ford and then GM in size, I recall the outrage. It is now nearly as large as the two of them together.
I have to admit I'm also incredulous, because the stock market, and this market specifically, is addicted to growth. Folks, this is a growth chart. Tesla is expanding rapidly. Investors will pay for it, of course. GM has hardly grown at all. In fact, Ford is getting smaller. Stasis is not something anyone wants to pay for.
Therefore, given Tesla's enormous value, high expectations, and growing competition, is this growth actually sustainable, or are we seeing a historic bubble that is about to pop? Hold on tight, because we're going to go deeply into the Tesla phenomenon today, examining the intense competition, debates, and revolutionary actions that are upending the whole EV market.
Let's begin. A powerful combination of innovation, cult-like brand loyalty, market manipulation rumors, and, let's face it, a good amount of speculative fervor has propelled Tesla's explosive growth. However, is this rising trend sustainable? Or are we about to face a severe reality check? What then is causing this unrelenting rise?
Tesla has distinguished itself, from revolutionary developments in battery technology to self-driving software. The real magic, though, is Elon Musk's unparalleled capacity to draw in the audience and make audacious claims, even if they occasionally border on impractical. Investors have been persuaded by Musk's marketing machine that Tesla is a tech, energy, and artificial intelligence powerhouse rather than merely a vehicle manufacturer.
Critics claim that Musk is more of a showman than a CEO, attracting large sums of money from investors, yet making little real headway on long-hyped inventions. Is this dependence on a single man's cult of personality a viable economic strategy, or merely a precarious situation?
The emergence of Tesla has a darker side. According to some insiders, big institutional investors are supporting Tesla's stock because they don't want to see it plummet just yet. Tesla serves as the public face of these funds' tech-heavy holdings. Many people think that these investors are purposefully maintaining Tesla's exaggerated valuation by dumping shares, which might cause a market-wide decline. How long can this game of artificially inflated pricing go on before it breaks down?
Let's face it, retail investors who have given in to FOMO are partially responsible for Tesla's rise. Millions of people think Tesla is a path to future wealth, making it the face of the next great thing. This speculative frenzy has produced a bubble-like situation. Tesla's price-to-earnings ratio, which is far higher than that of conventional automakers, is deemed utterly unrealistic by some financial analysts. With investors who don't plan to stay for the long haul, is Tesla's stock a ticking time bomb?
For the present, there is little competition. The fact that conventional manufacturers are currently unable to properly compete helps to support Tesla's lead. Ford, GM, and other companies have made an effort, but they are hindered by business models and infrastructures that are decades old and don't easily adjust to fast change, though they're picking things up quickly. Long-term investors will find Ford's recent dividend reintroduction appealing, while the F-150 Lightning and Chevy Bolt have already made headlines. Tesla may find itself in an awkward situation where it must defend its high value if rivals overtake it and drastically reduce its share of the EV market.
Tesla's company in China is growing quickly, which is even more amazing given that Ford's China business is having serious difficulties. GM just informed us that, similar to last year, its Chinese business will be weak this year. It dropped 15%. Elon Musk performed a jig last night when he introduced the new automobiles on the Shanghai stage, and that is being ridiculed. You can't blame him, I say. In barely 10 months, he constructed a new facility that could produce 150,000 automobiles. It would be difficult for GM and Ford to have a factory like that up and running in 18 months. They are more likely to shut down factories than to open ones. Musk claims this new facility may be able to increase its capacity to 250,000 within a few years. After those achievements, the man can, in my opinion, dance nude. I don't give a damn. More significantly, these comparisons between the new and old guards are useless. Fast-growing businesses with an exciting future will always fetch a higher price on Wall Street.
Global development, particularly in China, the largest EV market in the world, is one of Tesla's main growth opportunities. However, there are serious concerns due to China's unclear regulations and growing hostilities between the US and China. If China chooses to restrict Tesla's activities in favor of domestic businesses, its expansion in a crucial market may be hampered. Although Musk's friendship with the Chinese government could offer a short-term safety net, many are concerned that Tesla is treading carefully in terms of geopolitics, and it remains to be seen whether this growth can be sustained in the next
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