저자: VijayKedia · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 장기 보유할 수 있는 성장 산업의 품질주를 SMILE 원칙으로 골라 투자하라는 메시지다. 투자 기본 원칙: 성장 산업에 투자하고 쇠퇴 산업은 피해야 한다. 좋은 주식은 시장 변동과 무관하게 장기 보유한다. 매도 시점: 경영진의 초점(focus)이 바뀌거나 본업에서 벗어난 비핵심 사업으로 진출하면 매도 신호다. 예시로 자동차 정비사가 타이어 제조로 확장한 경우와 자이쉬리 티(Jayshree Tea)가 본업과 무관한 설탕공장을 인수하려 한 사례를 들었다. 시장 고점 대응: 폭락(1992 하르샤드 메타 사태, 2000년 사태 등)은 10년 주기로 오므로 두려워하지 말고 장기 투자를 지속해야 한다. 과거 상승 이력은 예측이 아니라 설명이다. 테마 투자: 2003년 이후 여러 테마가 시장을 이끌어 왔다. 투자자는 자신이 가진 정보와 맥락에 맞는 테마를 스스로 정해야 한다. 본인은 현재 제품 기반 기술기업에 투자하고 있으나 틀릴 수 있다고 언급했다. 종목 언급: 정보기술·통신 분야 제품 기업으로 Ramco Systems와 Tejas Networks를 예시로 들었으나 추천이 아니라고 선을 그었다. 제품 기업은 미국에서 수십억 달러가 들어가는 반면 인도에서는 100~200크로어로 개발된다는 점을 언급했다. 장기 보유 기준: 목표가나 기간을 정하지 않고 평생 보유할 각오로 매수해야 한다. 기술이 빠르게 변하므로 변화가 생기면 매도도 고려한다. SMILE 원칙: Small(작은 규모), Management experience(경영진 경험 15년 이상), Inspiration(1위·2위·3위를 향한 포부), Lot of market potential(수십억 달러 규모 시장 잠재력). 소형·중형주 중심이다. 투자 팁: 생계와 무관한 여유 자금으로만 투자하고, 지속적으로 공부하며, 건강보험이 아닌 주식에 일부만 넣고, 차입금이나 거래(단기 매매)에 의존하지 말고, 최소 1년 이상 보유해야 한다. 출연자 전망: 특정 종목·지수에 대한 1~3개월 가격 방향 예측은 없고 장기 원칙만 제시했다.
다듬은 글
Hello Hello friends Welcome to Investor Psychology In this video we will understand Investor Raw Vijay Correa's investing style and stock selection strategy A small investor will discuss in detail about confidence indicators and stocks one should invest in Out of Industries and Not Show Any Cost on Petrol website Can Be Attended Price Wise The first question was asked that according to him which investment is important for any investor His answer was to always stay in the growing industries at any cost and stay away from the industries which are sinking at any cost So At Any Cost does not mean that you will buy at any price Now it means that you have bought shares of the growing industry and keep them at any level Whether it is Twenty20 or there is any kind of ups and downs in the market, the market will still remain busy when you hold quality stocks for the long term and this is the mantra that Vijay follows in his life The second question was whether he could tell What could be the right time to sell a stock?
Vijay adopts a simple formula in all his investments, which is when the focus of the management changes, then it should be understood that the time has come to sell a stock. Also, when the focus of the management does not change, that is also a time. 2 Eggs 10 Top is understanding with an example, like a company that does automobile and car repair, it is very focused, but certainly they feel that it is generating good gas and the company is also doing well, and they do not understand what is happening with their country, and that gentleman decides that he will manufacture tyres thinking that it is also a part of automobile, then the focus of the management of that company changes, then it is not a good idea, and that is the time to sell a truck.
And another example of when the focus of the management does not change is that a company is manufacturing diesel magical and it is focusing only on diesel and from diesel it is converting petrol, CNG or LPG and now there is also electric, if they are not focusing on that then they will soon be free from business, so this is very important, Vijay Kedia ji tells with an example that 10 years ago he had bought some shares of Jayshree Tea thinking that it was the second largest manufacturer company in India, at that time the share price was ₹300 and after buying the shares, he came to know that the company wants to buy a sugar mill and that too in Bihar which is not even a sugarcane world area and both are simple, so he did not find it right and he sent that person and it was fake, after that its share price did not come down to ₹300, so this is an example which shows how investment should work, so you should not go into those businesses which do a lot of cleaning and when they move away from their business and get into some non-core business, friends, if you like this video then definitely like, share and subscribe to this channel, the next question is whether to invest in quality growth staff whose prices have gone up a lot Vijay Ji says that there is a saying that when should you not start a running vehicle?
If it is an agro industry, then you should not think too much about the ups and downs of the market, be it the M20, the Harshad Mehta Scan of 1992 or the Peace Camp of 2000. Such events come once in 10 years, so you should not be afraid of them. If you keep thinking about what happened, then you will not be able to invest in the market for the long term because you will remain in this prayer your whole life.
So we may look at such contracts again after the next seven to eight years or 10 years. Once you come out of that rut, you will invest again and again. If the question is that if the market is running at an all-time high, then you will have questions or will you invest all your money in the market? Vijay says that fear is always there whenever the market is at an all-time high.
Once you think properly, you will understand that 90% of the time your figure is wrong. Fair register you. Investing in the market gives you returns. There are many people who keep shares in their portfolio till winter time, just like a paan shop has everything, but you cannot become a wealth creator by doing this, so you have to come forward by defeating the leader yourself, only then you will be able to make it.
Friends, if you want to do that related to by clicking on it. Which one was it, you see the growth in it, for you, it is said that after any bull market and since 2003, many themes have been going on in the market. Before 2003, the situation was different in the market that 1 or 2 stars and sectors used to rule the market.
From 2003 to 2008, some five teams were successful and from 2014 to 2019, 5 to 6 teams were successful by making good investments in 3 seasons. Even 2800 in 2014, which was not even considered a bull market, even then the desired team was like us who made a lot of money. For their investors, investors should decide on a team because it depends on the type of information they have.
Vijay Aria, citing an example, says that he has a friend in the chemical business. Half of his portfolio is chemical companies because he understands chemicals very well and has many friends in this industry who keep him informed about what's happening in China and India. This means that he has access to a lot of information.
Vijay feels that all investors should do this instead of following investors because he might recommend a stock and its value might change in two months and he might sell it. So, you'll be stuck on that topic. Therefore, you should decide your theme that feels right to you, based on your information and your context.
This is very important for Vijay. He says that he currently invests in product-based technology companies, but that could also be wrong. If his value changes, he might send it. Therefore, if you are investing in a product-based technology company after hearing this, then you are doing wrong. Do your own study and gather more information.
Then if you feel it is right, invest in these companies. Less on product and less on technology. Then which stocks come in the list? The answer was information technology and telecom also because it is in the public domain. But this is not a stock recommendation because the questions have gone far beyond Spice.
Like Ramco Systems, it is a product company in the IT sector and the other is Tejas Networks and it is a product company in the telecom sector. You should look at product companies in this because in the last 20 to 30 years, service- best companies in the IT sector have been very good. For Vijay, he feels that since I sold the product company in the US, the four to five percent increase in its sales has changed the game because product companies earn one or half an hour on their sales in India.
A product company needs billions of dollars to develop in the US, whereas in India, world-class products cost 100 to 200 crores. They are being developed and it takes 5 to 10 years to make this product internationally. So, there are many such companies in India which are in the IT and telecom sector.
The next question is, which are those 300 stocks that can be held for 10 to 15 years? There is a quote by Vijay Ariyaji, by Iqbal Shaikh, like use and what like in a girl. Whenever he buys shares, he does not have any target nor any time target. It never comes to his mind that he will sell this stock in 56 or 2 years, 10 years.
He has been holding some special shares for the last 50 years. So what like integers means, will you be able to keep the shares you have bought with the commitment for your entire life or not? The same thought comes up in the case of JI whenever he is buying a truck, whether he can stay with it for the whole life or not.
Unless you have a long-term target, you will not be able to buy reasonable quantity. Therefore, the commitment to buy and hold such shares is very important. You can stay with that face for 10 years, and who knows, you can sell the shares in 15 days or 5 years, whenever there is a change, and technology is changing very rapidly, so you have to decide which shares to keep and which to sell.
The next question is, for a young investor, how should long-term investments be to identify shares? Vijay Kedia says that he follows only one principle, its name is SMILE. SMILE stands for small in size and stands for experience in media. Aspiration distance from extra large market potential. This SMILE concept can be seen in all the investments of Vijay Kedia.
He invests in small caps and mid caps and does not invest in companies whose management has less than 15 years of experience, which shows that he has not seen many options. Inspiration means that if the promoter himself does not become the villain, then how will his investor become a millionaire? Having an aspiration It is not necessary for the promoter that if 200 to 300 crores reaches 500 crores then it is enough, there should be an aspiration to be number one or second largest or third largest, only then a shareholder will be able to make money and lastly extra large market potential, for example a company should not be like a crocodile in a pond, it should be like a fish, if the market potential of a company is thousand crores and that company is at 500 crores, then the company can reach circulation anytime, beyond that it will not be able to cry, so the market potential should be of billion dollars and this is the principle followed by Vijay Ariya ji, so this is Vijay Kedia ji's investment tip for investors, one should be one inch less outside the market for your livelihood, keep doing other information or research and keep reading about them, thirdly invest a part of your health in stocks and not in prescriptions, fourthly never invest with trading averages and borrowed money, shift and lastly invest only for this year and
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