저자: PeterSchiff · 외국인
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2021년 고용보고서의 겉보기 호황을 비판하며 실질임금 하락, U6 실업률(6.7%) 및 장기 구직포기자 포함 시 실제 실업률 10% 초과 가능성, 다중직업자 증가(754만명 추정)를 근거로 약한 노동시장을 주장. 금값 상승과 인플레이션 재발, 2008년급 금융위기 가능성 및 은행권 시한폭탄과 국가부채 우려를 제기. 연준의 연착륙 기대를 정면 반박하며 2024년 경기침체와 고물가 재발을 전망.
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brace yourselves for the state of the economy today we unravel the deceptive facade of a seemingly robust jobs report and plunge into the Grim reality that the media won't dare touch in a recent conversation with Peter Schiff Chief Economist and Global strategist he sounds the alarm on an economic landscape teetering on the edge of disaster in the aftermath of President Biden's self- congratulatory moment over the latest jobs report shift pulls back the curtain revealing a less than Rosy truth the reported job growth is a house of cards with a significant portion of workers merely ending strikes or re-entering the job market but that's just the tip of the iceberg as the conversation intensifies Shift delves Into The Soaring price of gold A Silent Scream echoing the economic woes ahead inflation dismissed by some as a passing concern emerges as a threat shift warns that the Federal Reserves assurances are mere words and we are hurdling toward a financial crisis more severe than the Infamous 2 8 meltdown shift paints a vivid picture of a taking time bomb within our banking system and a national debt spiral that threatens to plunge us into darkness the interest costs alone are a looming threat Peter Schiff is an American Economist Financial broker and author renowned for his insights into economics finance and investment his Fame primarily stems from his notably accurate predictions leading up to the 2008 financial crisis as the founder and CEO of europacific capital A registered broker dealer specializing in foreign markets shiff has established himself as a prominent figure in the financial world the 2021 job report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics touted a surge in employment with 528,000 new jobs and a dip in the unemployment rate to 3.5% however delving into the numbers Peter Shi in a podcast dissecting the data exposes the hidden truth behind the supposed strong job market narrative while the mainstream narrative Champions the idea that robust job creation signals economic strength Shi urges a closer look beneath the surface however shiff asserts that beneath the veneer of job creation lies a different and less optimistic story contrary to the optimistic facade shiff argues that the numbers don't reflect strength in the labor market instead they highlight underlying weakness in the economy he emphasizes that job creation in and of itself doesn't equate to a robust labor market it's a nuanced perspective that challenges the prevailing Narrative of economic resilience urging a more Critical examination of the data in July of that year wages experienced a modest uptick of 0.5% contributing to a year-on-year increase of 5.2% in average hourly wages however this seemingly positive development was overshadowed by the Stark reality of a 99.2% consumer price index resulting in a continuous decline in real wages the critical question according to Peter Shi is not merely about the quantity of jobs being created but the quality of compensation despite the job market seemingly flourishing a closer look at real wages revealed a concerning Trend in a labor market where real wages are plummeting particularly by as much as 4% ship argues that this doesn't reflect strength but rather vulnerability in a strong job market workers usually have the power to ask for and get higher pay or find better jobs elsewhere but according to ship in today's job market workers don't have that power they end up accepting lower wages because they can't negotiate as effectively even if they get a pay raise if it's not enough to keep up with inflation it's like they're actually earning less this different perspective challenged common ideas about creating jobs and highlights the need to carefully look at the overall economic situation Peter Schiff pointed out a significant flaw in the official unemployment numbers that government primarily relies on the headline unemployment rate which only includes a part of the unemployed population in contrast U6 considers not only the unemployed but also underemployed individuals and those who have stopped looking for full-time work for over a year in that report U6 was at 6.7% but when factoring in long-term discouraged workers the real unemployment rate potentially exceeded 10% this emphasizes a broader perspective on unemployment goes beyond the headline number ship argued that comparing the unemployment rate to historical rates is misleading due to changes in measurement method he contended that historical rates were lower emphasizing the need for a more honest assessment of the current situation the alarming rise in the number of individuals working multiple jobs reaching 7,540 th000 poses a question why the need for a second job ship contends that in a genuinely robust labor market one job should suffice but the current situation reveals a weak job market where wages are insufficient to make ends meet forcing individuals to take on additional work to cope with the economic challenges shi's credibility soared due to his precient warnings about the housing bubble and the subsequent economic downturn in 2008 his accurate forecast regarding the vulnerabilities in the financial system and the impending crisis lent him significant recognition and a following among those who value insights into econom IC Trend a distinctive feature of ship's perspective lies in his critical stance on government fiscal and monetary policies he advocates for limited government intervention in the economy Champions sound money principles and promotes the virtues of free market capitalism his viewpoints have resonated with individuals who share similar concerns about the potential consequences of extensive government involvement in economic Affairs Beyond his roles in the financial industry Shi has made a mark as an author and speaker his book book Crash proof how to profit from the coming economic collapse outlines his views on the vulnerabilities within the financial system regular appearances on financial news channel and his podcast the Peters ship show have further solidified his presence in mainstream media allowing him to disseminate his economic perspectives to a broader audience in his capacity as the CEO of europacific capital ship provides Investment Services that emphasize International and commodity-based investment his investment strategy often aligns with his economic views stressing the importance of diversification and encouraging Investments outside the US market in a recent tweet Peter Schiff voiced his apprehensions about the economic landscape in 2024 shiff specifically targets the federal reserve's Endeavors to reestablish price stability cautioning that these efforts might lead to unintended consequences such as a recession and a Resurgence of high inflation shift's tweet reflects a Divergence between between Market optimism and his forecast he notes that investors currently seem convinced that the Federal Reserve has achieved a remarkable feat successfully restoring price stability without triggering a recession akin to a miraculous soft Landing however ship's prediction for 2024 introduces an unexpected twist rather than a smooth economic trajectory he anticipates a crash into recession challenging the prevailing narrative furthermore shift warns of the return of high inflation signaling a potentially turbulent economic landscape Peter ship's recent prediction shared a few days ago present a stark contrast to the prevailing optimism among investors regarding the federal reserve's action investors have been boyed by the belief that the FED has skillfully navigated the economic landscape averting a recession without triggering inflation the clock is ticking and the warning signs are glaring are you truly prepared for what lies ahead stay informed engaged and be part of the conversation that could read find our understanding of the economy don't forget to share subscribe and stay tuned for more thought-provoking content thanks for watching until next time
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