저자: JimCramer/영상내인용:MorganStanleyAdamJonas · 외국인
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결론: 영상은 Morgan Stanley 보고서를 인용해 테슬라 상승 여력을 강조하지만, 자동자 사업 자체의 가치와 수익성에 대해서는 회의적인 입장이 섞여 있음. 핵심 주장: 모건스탠리 Adam Jonas는 테슬라를 Overweight로 보고 목표가 1,300달러를 제시함. 에너지 전환에 20~40조 달러 자본지출이 필요하며 그중 약 3%만 배정되고 1%만 집행됐다고 봄. 출처 인용: 모건스탠리는 테슬라를 에너지 인프라/배터리 투자의 선두주자로 평가하고 시가총액 1조 달러 가능성을 언급. Ron Baron은 10년간 3~5배 수익, Cathie Wood는 5년 기준 시가총액 3조 달러 전망을 인용. 사업 평가(부정적 측면): 모델 S·X 생산 중단 상태이며 신형 로드스터는 출시 지연. 자율주행 사업은 지연·메타버스식 기대감이라는 평가. 모델 3·Y 중심으로 연 100만 대 이상 생산하나 경쟁 심화. 주택용 태양광 점유율 약 2%로 부진. 에너지 저장: 메가팩 사업은 상대적으로 안정적 성장이며 수요 확대 전망. 다만 마진이 낮고 지식재산 보호가 약하다고 지적. 매출 잠재력은 100% 점유 가정 시 3,000억 달러 언급. 리스크: 실적 주당순이익 전망과 목표가가 시장 기대에 비해 낮게 추정됨. 밸류에이션이 자동차 기업 기준으로는 고평가, 에너지 인프라 기준으로는 저평가일 수 있다는 양면적 시각. 레거시 완성차 업체들의 EV 전환 부담도 언급. 출연자 전망: 영상 설명에 따르면 Morgan Stanley 보고서 기반 상승 전망이 중심이며 명시적 단기 가격 방향 발언은 제한적.
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with Tesla's stock rising to all-time highs The Firm may now be valued at 40 trillion dollars hi everyone and welcome back to our comprehensive guide on Tesla stock which opportunities have the potential to bring this about even still Morgan Stanley's Moke five thoughts on the mother of all capex Cycles research report is where the bullish forecast comes from it's surprising when a respectable organization like Morgan Stanley had to say we will also disclose in this video the reasons why Tesla will soar in New Heights thanks to this 40 trillion dollars potential stay tuned to the conclusion to discover out before we begin though please make sure you subscribe like and set on notifications if you enjoy this kind of content this will ensure you stay informed about all the news and updates regarding Tesla Morgan Stanley is a global provider of financial services with a focus on wealth management Securities Investment Banking and investment management with offices in more than 41 countries the firm's staff members provide Global clientele services to people firms governments and organizations by March 31st 2022 1.4 trillion dollars in assets were under Administration or supervision by Morgan Stanley investment Administration and its Affiliates in investment advisory with over 1200 investment professionals globally a wide range of clients including governments institutions businesses and individuals are served by Morgan Stanley investment Management's Superior long-term investment performance and research by Morgan Stanley indicates that Tesla Incorporated is still the clear FrontRunner in the race to develop electric vehicles the company is probably going to be the first in the auto sector to move away from the fossil fuel economy Adam Jonas rates the Tesla overweight with a price target of one thousand three hundred dollars according to Jonas in a note investors should be wary of Tesla because it is both pricey and inexpensive at the same time the study suggests that the company may be overvalued if it is considered a pure vehicle company and its appraisal is based only on the number of units sold multiplied by the average selling price of cars the automotive industry as a whole may have a significant impact on the reshaping of the transportation and renewable energy sectors if and only if it makes the shift to electric vehicles Morgan Stanley calculates that in order to move away from fossil fuels 20 to 40 trillion dollars in total capex in R and D expenditures will need to be made over the next 20 years for Tesla though this is where things start to get interesting this is a big Financial amount furthermore the fact that conventional automakers have a substantial industry focused on internal combustion engine Vehicles is our primary issue with them with this enormous commitment to EV Legacy manufacturers are trying to please two masters but they can only please one additionally they will file for bankruptcy if it isn't EV according to Morgan Stanley Tesla might be significantly undervalued considered an onshore infrastructure provider for renewable energy with a one trillion dollars market capitalization at its disposal they view Tesla as the Pinnacle of battery capital expenditure Investments according to Morgan Stanley two significant events war and inflation will Spur new innovation in the energy sector in the next six months a predict things will happen that will drastically change the story of what Tesla does the markets it serves its growth trajectory and the global strategic implications of the ecosystem it is a part of Morgan Stanley believes that while established automakers are prohibited from doing so by strict State dealer franchise restrictions investors are starting to appreciate Tesla's advantages in going directly to customers here's another thing we both agree on Tesla is free to sell cars whenever they want older dealerships with dubious sales tactics extra alliances and bureaucracy are all used by Legacy automakers Morgan Stanley thinks that as globalization ushers us into a new era characterized by heightened concerns about National Security there are bigger forces at work that are propelling the new multi-decade trillion dollar cycle in battery capital expenditure infrastructure that supports new energy sources must be taken into account by investors in the future battery storage will be essential and Tesla is ready to take the lead musk has stated that Tesla will start their own mining operations either by buying out mining companies or by starting their own mining operations from scratch according to musk Tesla will be able to create more batteries than anyone else the fact that Morton Stanley is taking Tesla's possibilities into account outside of the auto business is comforting their earnings per share projections and price objectives however are confusing and much below where we anticipate them to go in the upcoming years fans of Tesla are renowned for having high valuations renowned Tesla bull Ron Baron thinks the company will return three to five times its investment in 10 years based on Kathy Woods five-year projection the market capitalization is estimated to be three trillion dollars musk it produces respectable sales for the quarter showing a notable year-over-year increase in sales over the previous quarter with 305 000 Vehicles produced and three hundred and ten thousand delivered Tesla produced about 1.2 million Vehicles annually car models the S and X model roughly all new car production and deliveries have stopped and 17 percent are subject to lease accounting until a new model is released the company's high-end segment is largely idle although there's a chance that Tesla's new Roadster will help revive this segment of the company it didn't and there are no signs that it will anytime soon the company raised a lot of noise about the upcoming Roadster and the release date has been continuously pushed back as of right now 2023 is the estimated date it's unclear if it will happen in the upcoming year but Tesla has a track record of missing deadlines but until something happens the business means nothing to Tesla the model S and X that came after it in our perspective are what made Tesla the company it is today however sales currently make up a very minor portion of the company's operations and the company hasn't witnessed strong performance in a long time for the company they barely total a few billion dollars annually according to Jonas investors will become more aware of how crucial manufacturers like Tesla are to the shift away from fossil fuels and tore renewable energy sources during the course of the upcoming year the researcher estimates that during the next 20 years between 20 trillion dollars and 40 trillion dollars in cumulative capital expenditure and research and development will be directed toward achieving the same only three percent of this declaims has been allotted and one percent has been spent thus far Tesla just updated its model lineup but volume sales are still low considering the growing top tier competition in the EV Market from firms like Lucid rivien BMW and others we don't see this position changing significantly next is self-driving cars such as the Roadster the opportunity here in our opinion is just Vapor the most similar business is meta's metaverse Venture maybe there may be a huge Market one day yes exactly however until then it's unclear whether it will even have a respectable market share or exist at all Tesla's entire self-driving timeline has been continuously delayed frustrating customers who paid premium packages expecting it sooner the company has lost money as a result of basic strategy design errors such as the absence of customer testing or the IDR and it may never be able to overtake its Rivals we finally reached the model 3 and Y right now Tesla's business is built around these inexpensive models the great majority of the growth in production is attributed to them as they produce over a million automobiles annually these businesses are enormous on their own and competition among EVS is intensifying but up until now the big companies have been the competitors the company anticipates producing over 2 million cars annually by the end of 2022.
primarily from these vehicles as competition increases we see Tesla becoming a mass-market manufacturer with 40 million cars sold annually in a 280 billion dollars market capitalization Toyota the industry leader independable affordable automobiles is a good indicator in this case residential solar and energy storage are two of Tesla's other businesses particularly badly affected is residential solar which now only has a two percent market share simply put the business has lagged behind the solar industry as a whole roof solar seems to be a little but developing business here's where the corporation hopes to increase profitability however with 345 NW of residential solar projected for 2022 and deployment costs of two dollars three million per NW our industry is very competitive lacking any meaningful market share and earning only one billion dollars in low margin Revenue clearly the company's energy storage segment holds more potential the company's growth has been much more steady and it has installed about four megawatts given the ever increasing demand for Batteries its mega pack approach is somewhat unique according to its most recent pricing announcements Tesla charges about three hundred dollars per kilowatt hour with an estimated one billion dollars in Revenue thus it is evident that Tesla is succeeding both now and in the future in this industry will you not think it is a one trillion dollars company maker though demand is expected to surpass one terawatt hour by 2030.
yet there are little margins and little protection for intellectual property assuming a 100 market share Tesla's revenue is expected to reach 300 billion dollars what are your projections for Tesla though tell us in the space below thank you for observing go ahead and click on one of these two videos to view it on your screen while you're still here I'll see you over there
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