My Palantir Stock Price Prediction for 2025 | PLTR Stock Analysis

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팔란티어 2025년 말 주가를 주당순이익(EPS) 추정치와 성장률, 선행 PER로 추산. 2025년 EPS 0.40달러 기준 2026년 EPS를 약 50% 성장으로 0.60달러로 보고, 선행 PER 65 적용 시 약 39달러, 현재가 약 25달러 대비 상승 여지를 제시. 다만 PER이 50대로 낮아지는 가정을 더 현실적으로 보아 2025년 말 주가를 32~35달러로 예측. 과거 PER 40~65 박스권 가정 및 금리 인하, 기업 고객 확대가 상승 요인으로 언급됨. 영상 내 스폰서 광고 포함.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. hey everyone in this video I'm going to make a stock price prediction for paler stock but to make that stock price prediction I'm going to use paler earnings per share estimates for next year I'm going to apply a growth rate to those earnings per share estimates and use the forward price to earnings multiple to make that stock price prediction but don't worry if that sounds intimidating I'm gonna go real slow and explain the whole process for the perspective of a non-financial professional this is not aimed at Financial professionals this is more so for folks that are not Finance pros and they want to get an idea of what paler stock price could be worth by the end of 2025 so without further Ado let's take a look at these numbers okay so I highlighted I'm going to use some estimates and some assumptions to make this stock price prediction and let me start with palente earnings per share estimate for 2025 now according to they think this company will deliver 40 cents in earnings per share in 2025 now these ar they submit their estimate for what they think earnings per share will be and this number here on Yahoo Finance is a collection of those estimates remember this is just their best estimate based on the information they have to make this forecast nobody has a crystal ball nobody knows exactly what's going to happen but you can make a fair estimate of your base case based on the numbers you have at your disposal now I also highlighted I'm going to need a growth rate because I'm to apply it to those earnings per share estimates to determine where will earnings per share go from there well where will it go from 2025 where will it be in 2026 so to make that estimate I'm going to apply a blended average of two different growth rates so those samre going to grow 21% next year but they think it's going to accelerate meaningfully and over the next 5 years they think paler earnings per share are going to grow at 85% per year so rather than pick one of the other I'm going to use a blended average of these two growth rates to make my estimate for where I think earnings per share will be for paler in 2026 also I'm going to use palente forward price to earnings multiple as of this recording paler is trading at a forward PE of 65.3 and you'll notice going back all the way to July of 2023 this is right about the highest this stock has traded for according to this valuation multiple so I'm going to use this valuation multiple if you pay attention you'll notice it's the price to earnings right and what we just looked at were the estimates to the earnings the denominator in this equation so the price to earnings is the multiple of the earnings per share investors are willing to pay for a given company for a given stock and for palente here right now it's at 65 and finally I need the current share price where currently it's trading at $258 okay so now that we have the numbers we can go ahead and make our price estimate for the end of 2025 so first let me draw your attention here to the 40 cents earnings per share for 2025 I highlighted earlier I got that from Yahoo finance and I'm using a 50% growth rate for EPS in 2026 so when I apply the 50% growth rate to the 40 cents EPS in 2025 I get an earnings per share estimate for 2026 at 60 cents per share if if I apply a forward PE multiple of 65 to this 60 cents in EPS I'll get an estimated stock price of $39 per share by the end of 2025 and you'll notice that would be a meaningful improvement from the current share price of $25 per share that being said I think palente forward PE multiple will drift lower and if it goes all the way down to 50 then the stock price could rise but only to $30 per share by the end of next year if the forward PE multiple were to fall to 40 which is a scenario that I don't think is very likely or if it does touch this number I believe it'll bounce back quickly because this stock has not remained at this multiple for very long and I'll share with you the history here again so you'll notice that whenever paler has touched this forward piece e of around 40 as you see here in these lows it has quickly bounced back quickly bounced back and that's likely because investors see paler stock when it's trading at a forward PE of 40 as being a very attractive valuation a very cheap valuation and undervalued valuation and they Rush In And they buy up shares of paler stock which then boost its valuation again and the same is true on the opposite side when this stock trades at a forward PE closer to 64 it quickly bounces down and you'll notice that the several times it has touched these high levels around 60 above 64 it's come back down lower so it seems to me that investors the stock market values paler stock at fair value at a forward PE somewhere between 40 and 65 that's the range right and if it gets closer to 40 the market sees it as being undervalued when it gets closer to 65 the market sees it as being overvalued so therefore in my prediction I'm going to estimate that it's going to be somewhere in that range but not at the tippy top here at 65 so I'm going to estimate that it drifts lower based on its history so if the forward PE were to absolutely collapse all the way down to 20 again a scenario I don't think is very likely the stock price could more than have to $112 per share so where do I think penter stock Ends by the end of 2025 as I mentioned I think the forward PE multiple will be somewhere between 65 and 50 and I think the stock price ends somewhere between $32 per share and $35 per share by the end of 2025 now some of the factors that will cause the stock price to be above this range would be if the Federal Reserve does indeed lower interest rates by multiple 25 basis point increments in 2020 five that would cause a higher valuation for paler stock investors would be willing to pay a higher valuation if the interest rates in the economy are lower because of the opportunity cost secondly if paler gains more traction with Enterprises remember it has great foothold in government business but if it gains more traction on Enterprises in business that could boost what investors are willing to pay for paler stock and among other factors but I'm just going to mention those two factors here so to reiterate my stock price prediction for paler stock by the end of 2025 is between $32 per share and $35 per share remember this is just for informational purposes not even myself and so this is just my best estimate for where I think the stock price will go based on the information at my disposal