🔥 7월 1일부터 7월 16일까지 올해 가장 좋은 구간이니 놓치지 마세요 ㅣ (QQQ QLD TQQQ SOXL 장기투자 / SPY VOO 장기투자 / 비트코인 투자)

요약 보기

엔비디아 조정 중에도 미국 증시는 테슬라 인도량 호조(44.43만대, 예상 43.80만대 상회)와 에너지저장 사업 성장, 파월의 비둘기적 발언, 7월 초~7월 16일의 계절성 강세 데이터에 힘입어 사상 최고치를 경신했다. 장기 보유 관점에서 팔지 말고 기다리며 포트폴리오를 유지하고, 위기 대비 일정 현금 비중을 두라고 권한다. 테슬라는 2021년 말 이후 하락추세선 돌파 시도가 관건으로 제시된다. 그는 나스닥과 S&P500을 간접 투자 중이라고 밝힌다.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. In other words, the next two weeks are the strongest two weeks of the year for US stocks. today. You asked what scenario you should handle since you are stuck heavily in the MDL Nvidia 2x leverage ETF at a high point. Please note that this is just my personal opinion, so please use it only as a reference, and make your own choice.

02. I have brought the weekly chart for Nvidia, and ultimately, I believe it will go up further. However, we cannot know how far this Nvidia correction will go or how long it will last. Therefore, if it were me, I would take a slow, long-term approach and accumulate shares. I believe that if you utilize time—the "killer strategy"—there is absolutely no need to be afraid.

03. So, I will start by revealing my accounts today. You can see that my direct US investment account has recovered with a 113% return and a profit of 200 50% return and a profit of 8.9 million won. On top of that, I am maintaining a profit of 270 million won, profits. Now, looking at the US stock market yesterday, it seems the trend was simply to just go up.

04. It seems we have made a choice. We can see the US stock market just continuing to rise. Thanks to yesterday's rally, both the SM 500 and the Nasdaq have broken all-time highs. Peter Lynch once said that if you own stocks of outstanding companies, time is ultimately on your side. Since we hold the world's best stocks, this implies that as long as we utilize time, we have nothing to fear.

05. Now, what was a very interesting point yesterday? It was that the US stock market hit an all-time high even though Nvidia, the leading stock of the bull market, fell. What does this mean? I have been emphasizing since last week that we will eventually engage in a "Key-Ma" pattern, and I have mentioned that the distinction between a downward Key-Ma trend and an upward Key-Ma axis is very important.

06. Ultimately, although Nvidia, which had risen significantly, dropped a little, other stocks that hadn't risen much surged, demonstrating an upward Key-Ma pattern in the US market. That is why I said it is better to be an optimist who shouts for an upward Key-Ma cycle, even if you are wrong, rather than a pessimist who thinks of a downward Key-Ma—from a probabilistic perspective.

07. So, what is the reason the US stock market shifted direction to an upward trend despite Nvidia's decline? Today, we will look at this part. We are going to study this, and first, the primary reason is that Tesla announced delivery figures that exceeded expectations, causing the stock price to surge by a whopping 10%.

08. Finally, Tesla carried the stock on its shoulders for the first time in a while. Furthermore, looking at Tesla's daily chart, we can confirm that the company's recent upward momentum is extraordinary. Now, counting the deliveries, the Q2 vehicle delivery volume was announced as 44.43 units, which is higher than the expected 43.80 units.

09. Moreover, compared to the previous quarter, it increased by nearly 15%, leading us to believe that Tesla is finally recovering and ending the "chicken game." We can observe this growing expectation for a recovery through the stock price rise. However, it didn't end there. If we look at the horizontal energy storage segment, we can see a very surprising growth graph.

10. The figures were announced to be double the expected amount, and upon examining why this growth occurred, it is due to the significant increase in energy demand caused by the AI ​​boom. It seems the AI boom is slowly starting to translate into earnings here and there. Ultimately, this means people have started paying attention to Tesla's energy sector, realizing that it is becoming more important than expected.

11. And remarkably, looking at the Tesla weekly chart... Looking at the chart, we can see that it has reached a very critical position. We can observe the downtrend Tesla has been in since late 2021, but we can finally see Tesla attempting to break through this upper level. Since this downtrend has persisted for nearly three years, I think it might finally break through it now, given how much it has suffered during that time.

12. So, if Tesla breaks through this strong downtrend upper level and rises, we can view it positively; however, if it encounters resistance here and falls again, the likelihood of it showing weakness again increases. Therefore, we need to keep an eye on this aspect. Personally, although I am indirectly investing in Tesla through the Nasdaq and S-line, I think it might rise now.

13. The second reason for yesterday's rise is Powell's very dovish speech. He stated that inflation is slowing toward the 2% target, showing significant progress, and that there are signs that the inflationary trend is resuming. We saw very confident wording regarding the slowdown in inflation again. Additionally, he said that while the labor market is currently strong, they will respond if it weakens unexpectedly.

14. He also made remarks suggesting he is looking for the right timing, warning that cutting interest rates too quickly or too slowly carries risks. Along with this... In this regard, Federal Reserve members have recently been demonstrating a similar mindset. They stated that inflation is slowing down to the 2% target and will continue to slow.

15. Furthermore, while the unemployment rate is gradually rising, they are paying close attention to its tendency to spike suddenly, showing a stance that they will turn to interest rate cuts at any time if employment collapses. In other words, all of this is connected to interest rates and expectations, becoming the second factor behind the rise in the US stock market yesterday.

16. Finally, regarding the third factor: looking at US stock market data, the period from early July to mid-July is the period with the best returns of the year. First, if we look at the monthly return graph over the past 20 years, July shows overwhelmingly high returns. If we examine this in more detail, it shows very good returns and win rates from early July to July 16.

17. This means that the next two weeks will be the strongest two weeks of the year for US stocks. Of course, it may not necessarily follow the past, but it is data worth referring to. If we verify this on a graph, we can see that it surged until mid-July, and then slowly consolidated or underwent a correction thereafter.

18. This expectation and I suspect the US stock market turned upward again yesterday amidst the onset of seasonality. In other words, to summarize my personal opinion, you absolutely must not sell right now; you must hold onto your investments. However, this is not a time for short-term buying, but rather a time to enjoy your account's growth when prices rise.

19. Since buying occurs when a dip forms, this is a phase to simply enjoy the growth of your account and assets. Furthermore, John Tem-Filler stated that the only reason to sell a stock is to buy another, more attractive one. He emphasized that if you cannot find a more attractive stock, you should continue holding the one you currently own.

20. So, do you think there are better stocks or investment opportunities than the US stocks we are currently investing in? If so, please let me know in the comments. I believe we should diversify our assets between real estate in Seoul, Korea, and US stocks. In other words, if you continuously hold upward-trending assets and maintain a certain proportion of cash to respond to crises, you have nothing to fear and can seize every crisis and opportunity to respond.

21. And as Morgan Aurel said, you just need to shut up and wait, for time will make us wealthy. And there is a saying with exactly the same meaning: if you hold the stocks of outstanding companies, time is on your side. This connects to a famous quote by Peter Lynch. How about holding onto your precious one life with me until 2030?

22. I am showing you my own journey toward becoming wealthy, and I will continue to do so; all you have to do is accompany me by my side with the materials I have diligently studied. I am certain that if you make that choice, it will lead to a prosperous outcom.