저자: CharlesMoon · 외국인
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Qualcomm(Amazon 파트너십 확대 호재)은 175 지지 확인 후 200~220 상승 가능성을 언급하며 콜옵션 매수 전략 제시. SK하이닉스는 신규 상장 후 신고가 근접, 돌파 시 195 이상 및 10~20% 추가 상승 기대, 콜옵션 전략 제시. KLA(KLAC)는 AI 섹터 동반 상승과 ASML 뉴스 수혜를 근거로 194 콜옵션 매수, 200 상회 시 225까지 기대. 기술적 지표(이동평균 수렴, RSI, 매물대)를 근거로 제시. 전반적으로 AI·메모리·광학 섹터 강세를 낙관.
다듬은 글
Welcome back to Trading 360. I'm Marley Caden. It's time for the "Big Three." We have three stocks, three charts, and three deals for you. Rick Duke Hat will walk us through the schedules. And today, Charles Moon, a stock strategist from Prosper Trading Academy, will help us understand the trades. Charles , I hope you had a wonderful long weekend.
We are starting a short trading week. So, how do you evaluate the markets? I mean, we just saw the Nasdaq turn around. We are up a bit for the session, but the other three major indexes are down as we await inflation data later this week. Yes, you know, the artificial intelligence sector is really gaining momentum today.
AMD is showing strong results. And as you can see, we are seeing the memory and optics sectors growing significantly as well . This is a great , great sign because, you know, we haven't seen a lot of demand in this sector. But, of course, when markets grow, we also see demand. However, in general, when markets start to decline, these stocks will definitely take a hit.
I really like the potential and the breakthroughs that we're seeing, and, you know, this whole segment is becoming really, really healthy. Nvidia was only going to test its all-time highs on Friday. So, to me, that's a positive signal: if they can maintain this momentum in the near term, that will be very, very good, at least for the Nasdaq at this point.
OK. Well, let's talk about why it's on the Nasdaq and why it's rising today. Qualcomm got a nice boost after announcing an expanded partnership with Amazon. How do you rate Qualcomm now? Yes, this news is really serious. And I like that they rolled back a little bit and are now bouncing back. I want them to hold the 175 mark as a new low, because if that happens, I think the upside potential is at least 200, maybe 220 in a very short time.
We saw that Qualcomm is a strong breakout stock. So if they are holding 175 now and the market will get a little momentum this week. I'm looking at call options with a strike of 185 on September 18. I like the price of 450 or below. I'm willing to take a small risk. So, the stops are set at about 75%, but I believe that if they make this move, they will easily get close to 200% and more if a breakout does occur.
So, there are a lot of dynamics, but there is significant growth potential in this range without any particular technical obstacles. This is one of those breakout situations that is worth keeping a close eye on. Okay, Riku. So what caught my attention was the 175 support level that we are currently above .
Do you see a similar level as potential support? And do you also see minor technical resistance for a possible breakout? I believe that there is really little that can stop the upward movement at this point. To, you know, summarize what we see through visualization. This is a breakout of our previous highs that we saw recently.
We had this figure. Here are two boundary lines converging towards each other. We are now poised for a possible breakout of this small relative high that we saw near 179. So a breakout above this area would be a significant step for the bulls to consolidate. The next potential stop would be another relative high near 196.
And also here—the peak point after the decline with a break around 220. On the decline , we had recurring lows during our trade in the range around 155. If we look further at our moving averages, we see that the pattern for these indicators also suggests a potential breakout. All four of our exponential moving averages that we follow are concentrated fairly close to each other in the range of 166 to 172.
So price breaking through all of them— not quite in one fell swoop , but almost, in very rapid succession—is a “ bullish” signal. So now expect this zone to become support. Our 63- day EMA is the highest and is just above 172. So expect this level to hold. RSI is also on the bullish side . We are setting new relative highs.
We are above the 50 moving average. This is exactly what you want to see if you are bullish on this momentum indicator. Our study of the volume profile shows that we are on the verge of moving out of the zone of intense trading into a zone of less activity. You see our node is around 160 to 180, which contains our control point around 168.
So the next stop in terms of active trading would be around 198 to 208. So again, it doesn't look like there's anything significant standing in the way of the move up if it starts to consolidate. OK. Well, it has solidified somewhat this morning . We are up 4 and 3/4% to 176.81. Next point, Charles, I'm really looking forward to it, because you added SK Hynix to the top three today.
Okay, they're only about 2 and a half percent below their all-time highs. So how would you approach SK Hynix? Yes, and this is a key factor, because things are a little more complicated here, as we are at the levels where short-term traders usually try to lock in profits . But one of the things I like about IPOs with a lot of hype and interest is that when they get past the peak IPO level, they become pretty good options for a breakout.
So right now I would place this bet in anticipation of a breakout, but if it doesn't happen, traders may have to hurry a bit . I am considering call options with a strike price of $5 below. Here I would probably act with a slightly tighter stop of around 50%. After all, a breakthrough can be just crazy.
This is exactly what I look for in situations like this. A massive range expansion is possible , an immediate rally that will not only break the 200 mark, but also make a jump of 10-20%, approaching Micron in character , not SK Hynix. So , that would be a kind of expectation. We are getting very close to the 195 price point.
This is a name you should keep an eye on. OK. SK Hynix is showing a very nice jump today. We are up 7% since the beginning of the session. So, Rick, obviously because of the recent IPO, we don't have a lot of data to analyze. But what do you see from a technical point of view? Yes, that's right. Here's what we have for analysis at the moment.
And, you know, it certainly doesn't seem like this whole memory crisis is over. So now we're seeing a significant rise above 178—a level that caught my attention because it roughly corresponds to the highs here, here, and here. So, we are now approaching 194.80, which was our post-IPO high. The price is now around 189.20.
So, we still have an uptrend line from those lows near 12480 that is worth taking into account. Other relative lows that could become relevant again if the uptrend falters are a low around 151 and a gap around 142. So, speaking of our RSI indicator, remember that we need 14 days of activity to get an RSI reading.
We are above the 50 moving average. We are approaching the overbought zone. So, if we cross the 70 mark, it will be a confirming bullish signal, especially if the price starts to break through these initial highs. Similar to our previous chart , we had a situation where our moving averages were consolidating quite close to each other.
We are now in the somewhat later stages of this breakthrough. Friday was a pretty strong session for the bulls. So, right now our 5-day EMA in dark blue is just below 175. The other three exponential moving averages are all converging in a range of around 161 to 165. Finally, looking at our volume profile, most of the trading activity is pretty obvious in the range of 154 at the low to 169 at the high.
Our control point right here, this thick red line, is around 162. So this is the area of the most active trading on our relatively short-term chart. OK. SK Hynix is currently at 189.09, up almost 7% this morning. Your last pick is another strong player this year. KLA Corp is also bucking the general market trend, moving higher today, up over 55% year-to-date, Charles .
So, how would you approach KLA Corp? Yes, this is quite similar to a lot of AI stocks that we are seeing where the price is starting to break out of these short-term technical levels and has the potential to move. But it's a little more complicated with this company, because sometimes it can grow very strongly along with the entire AI segment, and sometimes it can deviate, be weak, or demonstrate its own strength.
I think this is a very underrated asset and an underrated idea. Not enough people are paying attention to it, especially after they did a stock split. But with the news about ASML, it could certainly be a boost for companies like KLAC, AMAT, and others. So, for example, strike 918. Excuse me, contract 918 with strike 194.
This is important because for me one of the main dynamics is for the stock to stay above 187, which it is holding today. So, I want to buy these 194 strikes for $5.80 or less with a stop loss of about 40%. I don't think we need as big a stop as others because if the price goes down it could get stuck there.
At the same time, I don't think the growth target will be very significant. I believe that growth is limited to around $200, at least for now, and that will give us around 100% profit. Of course, if it rises above $200, a slightly larger impulsive breakout to $225 is possible, but of course, we need to break through the $200 mark first .
So this is a quick trade aimed at easy profit as the stock continues to hold this key support level. I think traders should pay attention to this company now. Okay, on the radar. It certainly grows, even when markets fall. We are at 189.23. But, Rick, if you look at the technical picture, this chart is very different from the previous two that we analyzed.
What do you see here? Yes, definitely. And the area around 200 is probably what many traders are watching. This reflects the small gap we observed. So, the gap opened at around 202. The high after the gap was closer to 200. So this could be an important area to watch. But, as you said, the schedule is quite unusual.
We had a very strong upward move that ended at highs of 307.37. But then we retreated just as quickly. However, what stands out is that the area around 169, the old high, has been a fairly stable support area. We just saw a bounce off that point and are now breaking above this descending trend line that we saw in the short term starting from highs near 215.
So, it's an interesting situation if you're looking for potential for a further breakout. Now, evaluating our moving averages, in this case we are in the middle of several of them. We have our 63-day quarterly EMA in gold on the rise near 196.57. We also have our turquoise 21-day EMA, reflecting 1 month, at around 186.20 at this point.
So those are two kind of short-term benchmarks that we have here on our moving averages. The RSI also reflects our price action as we break above the descending red trend line. We are also just above the 50 moving average. So this would be a doubly bullish scenario as these two breakouts happen very quickly one after the other.
So, our volume profile in this case has a clear node right here, above which we start to rise, from about 174 to 187. A smaller area of activity here, from about 210 to 220, but the bulk of our trading activity has been lower, in the range of 140 to 156, encompassing our control point around 145. Analysts are mostly bullish on this asset: 65% recommend buying, there are no sell ratings on KLA Corp, and the average price target is 233.77.
So we see significant growth potential here as well. Charles, thank you very much for joining us on the Big Three to present these deals today. It was Charles Moon and of course Rick Duquette who sorted out the technical aspects for us. Mhm.
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