저자: DanIves · 외국인
요약 보기
Dan Ives는 AI 버블 우려를 일축하며 AI 랠리가 아직 끝나지 않았고 강세장이 2년 더 갈 수 있다고 주장한다. Microsoft는 재무구조(포트 녹스 수준)와 Azure 수요 가속을 근거로 선호되고, Palantir는 사용처 확대가 핵심이라 본다. Alphabet은 Gemini 3와 Apple 파트너십으로 추가 상승 여력(약 $80)이 있다고 한다. 미국 정부의 Genesis 미션이 사실상 백스톱 역할을 한다는 논리도 제시한다. 다만 발언 중 Top10 종목 리스트(MSFT, PLTR, NVDA, AMD, TSLA, AAPL, META, GOOGL, CRWD, PANW)를 소개했고, 진행자는 중립적으로 의견을 구한다.
다듬은 글
As we get closer and closer to the end of the year, all traders and investors have two major questions on their mind. Number one, is AI a bubble? Pretty much from late April to May of this year until pretty much now the end of the year, these AI related stocks have been doing nothing but going from the bottom left to the top right, aka ripping.
And they've been going up so much it begs the second question, is this a bubble? And if it is a bubble, how much longer does it really have to go? And maybe to be a bit more specific, are there certain tickers we should be paying attention to to take advantage of this potential AI pump to the upside, or are there ones we should be paying attention to to kind of notice, uh-oh, it seems as if it's falling apart?
I figured I should do my job, especially because recently the stock market's been a little bit frothy and there's been a lot of negative nies saying that we're going to be selling off into close and you got to be selling now. And of course on the show, in these videos, I've covered that. So, I want to be fair, or at least as fair as I possibly can be, and try to cover the other side.
And I did find this very interesting interview with Dan Ies of Wedbush explaining that he thinks the AI trade is alive and well. And in fact, it could continue not for just one, but for two more years. And on top of that, he even gave out the specific tickers that he thinks we should all be paying attention to.
Right here on set, Dan Eyes from Wed Bush here to tell us how to play the AI revolution, why he says we're not in a bubble. Dan on AI. This market has been ridiculously flighty. I'm old enough to remember when open AI was going to kill Google search and when the narrative was Apple's dead money cuz it missed AI with Apple intelligence and that Oracle is the fourth hyperscope.
That was a recent one. You got to do your homework, not get caught up in each week's hype. So, with that in mind, what are your picks? I mean look that's why I mean we spend our time in Asia and around the world right because what the demand looks like and you know we took about our top 10 picks here you know I think on the hyperscalers to me Microsoft continues to be the one that's just
quickly deposit love Microsoft MSFT love that company if you look at what their fundamental situation is I'm really talking about their balance sheet it is nothing but Fort Knox so definitely agree with that relative to what I view as sort of the enterprise that's right in their backyard everything we see in Azure.
Look, 20% of the deals that we're seeing from Microsoft to Amazon to Google have been accelerated over the last few weeks despite what we're seeing here. Palunteer to me on the use case side continues to be front and center and then that's when I I get the valuation worries, but that is really I think right at the epicenter of what we're seeing and and it continues.
This is just the start. All right, let's check this out. Dan Ives top 10 tech socks. Microsoft, Palanteer, Nvidia, AMD, Tesla, Apple, Meta, Alphabet, aka Google, Crowd Strike, and Palo Alto. In that order, I have to admit I don't know much about number 9 and 10, Crowd Strike, and Palo Alto. I'm not saying they're good or bad, but I can say 1 through eight, I'm a big fan.
Dan, how much is Dell swung around by just how much of an allocation Michael Dell gets from Jensen Huang at Nvidia? Because AI is so much the story of why the stock has gone up. If you if you own the stock, that's what you care about. I mean, you're not focused on P. You're focused on the AI play relative to the readthroughs for Nvidia.
And it's look, it speaks to what we're talking about. The second, third, fourth derivatives are just starting to play out across the AI revolution. I think those that call it a bubble, you know, it's easy to call it a bubble because you don't see in the spreadsheet. We're going to put that another way.
It's easy to call it a bubble if you don't know what you're talking about. Bull market goes on another two years. Look at Alphabet as another example. New York City cab driver was bearish in Alphabet to start the year. Now look, because the reality is AI is a tailwind for them. We're seeing that, you know, even with Broadcom and, you know, everything we're seeing on the chip side.
I mean, yesterday the president signed an executive order for Genesis mission. This is the big AI project that is going to hearken back to, you know, the postw World War II years of Manhattan project here. Is there a government backs stop here? Is that one more reason why you should be buying into this bull market for AI?
Yeah. And look, I mean, as we spend so much time in DC, the reality is for the first time in 30 years, US is ahead of China when it comes to tech and and when it comes to what we've seen from big tech. I think there is a government backside because the reality is is that it's led by godfather of AI, Jensen, Invidia.
It's led by Microsoft. It's led from what we see with Open AI. And look, the worries about the too big to fail and some of the concerns we are still, like we talked about, we're top of the third, maybe one out in terms of this AI game. And I think we have two more years left in this tech bull market and it that really continues to be the core here from all of our checks.
I just want to go back to Alphabet as it does trade at a record high right now and that is how much of a gamecher is Gemini 3 and how quickly is the technology changing in general in terms of winners and losers like how to gauge that how to think about that as an investor. Yeah, because back was against the wall for really for a few years.
Now you're seeing a major change there from Gemini and ultimately I think Apple that's really going to walk down the aisle with them from a Gemini partnership that's going to be their AI piece. And then you look what's happened on chips. You look at the sum of the part. Look, I could argue Alphabet, you have another $80 upside relative to the AI piece that's not factored in yet into the story.
Wow. Dan Ives of Wedbush making the argument that the AI trade is not a bubble and in fact it is a trade that is alive and well. And of course sharing some of the tickers that he believes we should be paying attention to. And I did really appreciate the point of him saying, "Hey, not only is it strong, but we're changing technology.
We're changing commerce, the economy, how life is truly AI is changing it." And right now the US government is getting highly involved, which means we have a bit of a backs stop. Now, when it comes to the world of trading and investing, I'm never going to fully agree with anyone on any subject because obviously we all have our own frameworks of how we approach the market.
But I must admit, the things he brings up are interesting things to consider. So, I'd love to hear your thoughts in a comment below. Do you agree with them? Do you disagree with them? Like I said, let me know. That's what I have for you now. I appreciate the good vibes. I'll catch you in the next one. Peace.
Comments 0