저자: GarrettNelson,DanIves등—제목기준복수출연,주출연자미상 · 외국인
요약 보기
테슬라는 주가 급락 후 리스크 대비 매력적인 투자 기회라는 낙관론과, 시장 전반은 아직 약세장이라는 비관론이 맞서는 토론 영상이다. [테슬라 낙관론 – Garrett Nelson(CFRA)] 최근 한 달간 주가가 약 30% 하락했으며, 실적 기대는 유지된다는 입장. 테슬라는 최근 몇 년간 12개 분기 중 11개 분기에서 실적 상회를 기록했다. 주요 투자자들이 자사주 매입을 촉구하고 있어 실적 발표와 함께 대규모 매입 계획이 나올 가능성이 있다. 재무 상태가 양호하다(6월 말 현금 약 190억 달러, 신용등급 투자등급 상향). 3년 관점에서 2021~2024년 주당순이익이 약 3배 증가할 것으로 봤다. IRA(인플레이션 감축법)의 최대 수혜 자동차 기업으로 평가. 단기 촉매: 세미트럭 첫 인도(12월 예정), 사이버트럭(내년), 오스틴·베를린 공장 증설, 상하이 공장 증설 완료. 목표주가: CFRA 400달러. [테슬라 낙관론 – Dan Ives(Wedbush)] 목표주가를 360달러에서 300달러로 하향했으나 여전히 상승 여지가 크다고 봄. 기록적 생산량, 4개 공장 가동, 독일 판매 1위 등 공급망 이슈가 상대적으로 적다고 평가. 향후 5~7년간 가장 파괴적인 기술기업으로 보며, 현재 하락은 구조적 하락이 아니라 물류·수요 조정 문제라고 봄. 이 기업은 수익성·성장성이 있고 리스크 조정 기준 최고의 기회일 수 있으나, 투자 조언이 아니며 전쟁 확대·인플레 상승·경기침체 등 시나리오에서는 주가가 더 급락할 수 있다고 단서를 달았다. 목표주가: Wedbush 300달러. [시장 비관론 – Chicken Genius Singapore] 현재 반등장은 베어마켓 랠리이며, 인플레이션이 통제되기 전까지 강세로 돌아설 때가 아니라고 주장. 제조업 지표 부진에도 증시가 급등하는 것은 중간선거 등 정치적 조작 가능성 때문으로 해석. 이번이 바닥일 수 있으나 기업 펀더멘털이 개선되고 자본비용이 낮아져야 한다고 봄. 무언가 깨질 가능성이 있으며 '팻 피벗(연준의 완화 전환)'은 아직 오지 않았다고 판단. [종합] 테슬라 단기 전망은 엇갈리고, 시장 전반은 비관론이 우세한 상황.
다듬은 글
hey everyone Alex UNESCO here welcome to Investors Guide to the Galaxy is Tesla the best risk adjusted opportunity in the stock market right now analyst Garrett Nelson then Ives weigh in on Tesla stock Tesla Boutique engineer Singapore is on the other hand pessimistic about the stock market short term let's dive right into it Tesla stock price today up 1.52 percent here today down 43 percent past year down 38 percent Financial is done in lives from wet bush has a Tesla stock price Target for the next 12 months of 300 dollars and Gareth Nelson from cfra has a Tesla stock price Target 400 senior analyst Garrett Nelson stock has has sold off really into this report Garrett is this an opportunity you like this doc we do think it's an opera opportunity uh Tesla Shares are down close to 30 percent over the last month uh after a big run up and uh you know we really wouldn't bet against Tesla uh they're earnings track record has been outstanding over the last few years in fact they've beat in 11 of the past 12 quarters I think what's different this time is we think there's a reasonable chance that Tesla is going to announce a stock buyback some major investors have been urging Elon Musk to do so and the ballot the company's balance sheet is in really good shape they had about 19 billion dollars of cash at the end of June uh their credit rating was recently upgraded to investment grade and so we think they're in position uh to really take advantage of this pullback in this stock we think there could be a fairly sizable uh purchase plan announced in tandem with earnings which you think is not factored in and would push up the stock that's right but even absent that we view Tesla as one of the Market's best earnings growth stories at a time when earnings are being broadly impacted by inflation and slowing consumer spending this is a company if you take a three-year view we see Tesla's earnings per share roughly tripling between 2021 and 2024.
they were the auto industry's biggest winner from the inflation reduction act law that was signed in August and then they have some near-term term catalysts the semi-truck first deliveries are expected in December followed by the Cyber truck next year we know they continue to ramp up their two new factories in Austin and Berlin and they recently uh completed an upgrade at capacity expansion of the factory in Shanghai all right we are ready to talk Tesla and Tech and for that we bring in Dan Ives managing director equity research at wedbush Securities Dan good to see you thank you for being here okay so you cut the target from 360 to 300.
it just was at 202 for a low so 300 is still a nice move higher what will drive I mean it had record record numbers right record production four plants it's the number one vehicle in Germany they have these plants all over the world they don't have the supply chain issues that some of the other companies have what makes Tesla this winner that you just stay on board with it almost no matter what yeah I mean look Nicole I view it similar as a Vita Apple the last decade I mean I viewed Tesla as the most disruptive technology company you know really over the next five to seven years so I I don't view this as a start of a structural downturn for Tess I view it as mostly logistical there are clearly some demand issues that they're navigating but when I'm able to look far through the trees I think the stock that will yet again Ascend and that's why we have a 300 price Target is Tesla a great company yes is Tesla making a profit yes is Tesla company growing yes is Tesla the best risk adjusted opportunity in the stock market right now probably but it depends of course this is not Financial advice do your own research if everything works out the way is supposed to Tesla is probably one of the best opportunity in the stock market right now if everything goes wrong Tesla stock can plunge even more by everything wrong I mean war in Ukraine escalating inflation Rises instead of declining macro headwinds political headwinds and economy going into a recession and now let's listen to Chic ingenious bearish take on the stock market don't be fooled by this bear Market rally bear Market rallies I used to bait people in if everyone is short the markets the markets can't go down bear markets will destroy both the Bulls and the bear at the same time so think about it inflation just blew up and the Very day the markets make the biggest green candle ever like like top five manufacturing data just came out it misses badly and the stock market rallies nothing makes sense and yet it totally makes sense especially this year because it's midterms and plenty of manipulation to win elections I understand it's hard but this is not the time to be bullish I've been saying this for months so patience the time will come I do not care if this may be the bottom at the end the stock market is made out of many businesses the fundamentals need to favor business and until inflation is under control the cost of capital favors business growth don't default my guess is something will break and a fat pivot is not here yet what do you think is Tesla the best risk adjusted opportunity in the stock market right now I like to know your opinion on all of this please leave a comment below if you like this video please smash that like button so that other people like you see this video and don't forget to subscribe to my channel thank you very much I appreciate all of you that watch my videos see you next time
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