저자: DanIves · 외국인
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결론: 테슬라 목표가를 1400달러에서 1000달러로 낮추었으나 장기 스토리는 유효하다는 견해 [목표가 하향 배경] - 중국 제로코비드 이슈로 인도(딜리버리) 차질 예상, 하반기 성장 속도 둔화 - 이에 따라 목표가를 1400달러에서 1000달러로 하향 조정 - 시장 전반에서 파괴적 기술주의 멀티플(밸류에이션 배수)이 축소되는 흐름 [장기 전망 및 리스크] - 장기적으로 테슬라는 핵심 보유 종목이며 스토리 자체는 변하지 않았다고 평가 - 2분기 통과 후 시장은 2023년 하반기 실적에 집중할 것으로 전망 - 최대 리스크는 중국 제로코비드 상황 - 머스크의 트위터 인수 관련 리스크가 주주 신뢰에 영향을 줄 수 있다는 우려 언급 [타 애널리스트 목표가 비교] - 보수적 측면: Wedbush Dan Ives 1000달러 - 낙관적 측면: Loop Ventures 1600달러, ARK Invest 1900달러, Global Equities Research 2300달러, Holland Investments 3300달러 - 다니엘 아이브스는 3~4분기에 목표가를 다시 조정할 가능성 언급 [수요 관련 근거] - 호주에서 모델Y 수요 급증, 출시 3일 만에 인도 대기 기간이 2023년 2~5월로 연장 - 머스크 트위터 답변: RHD 모델Y 생산 가속화 중이나 수요가 예상보다 높았다고 언급 - 호주 시장에서 SUV 선호가 높아 모델Y 판매 호조 전망, 2022년 호주 물량 매진 상태 [출연자 전망] - 단기 주가 압박은 있으나 리스크는 일시적이며 장기 투자 관점 유지 권고
다듬은 글
hi guys it's alex here just a quick take on tesla stock price let's hear dan ives managing director of web bush securities he just got the tesla stock price from 1400 to 1000 okay so let's get to tesla which still is not just a car company it is everything i mean it can charge your home batteries it you know manufacturing all over the world somehow made it through supply chain issues and chip shortages and covid um you brought your price target down you had that 1400 for a while now it's at a thousand you still love it i mean how much do you love it look it's one of our favorite long-term names along with apple microsoft and cyber security but but we had a call like it is i mean they're gonna miss deliveries based on zero coveted issues in china numbers are going to come now it's going to be a slower trajectory for second half and that's why we had to lower the price target but this you know this storm will pass notice the long-term story for tesla doesn't change now the multiple in terms of this market clearly changes and that's what you're seeing across all of tack all disruptive tech but it comes down to if musk is able to navigate the circus show situation i think you're starting to see them quiet down a bit tesla ultimately will get through 2q and then the street focuses on second half numbers in 2023 but the biggest risk to tech names is the zero coveted situation in china you know because that continues to really be that black cloud over the sector you know elon musk i don't know if you know him personally or if he's a good friend of yours but he's the visionary he's the guy who comes out with everything and that's one reason why people buy into companies it's because of management or a ceo's vision at the same time the test the twitter risk that you said you never would have thought would have been a risk in in tesla it almost almost remember he used to tweet all the time he used to get in trouble for that you almost start to wonder like will he do something else to put shareholders at risk look i must again right now he's obviously gone through the spotlight in terms of this pandora's box situation with twitter but he's the genius behind tesla genius behind spacex and and ultimately that's not going to change right i mean he's you know when you look at the ev market and so many competitors i mean tesla continues to really own the market and i think that's what you're ultimately seeing play out on t pranks then ives or daniel ives it's a reputable analyst wall street analyst with a 5 star rating with a success rate of 52 average return of 14 he has now a tesla stock price target of one thousand dollars from 1400 according to this table for next 12 months tesla price targets he's on the conservative side as you can see here red bush daniel ives one thousand dollars on the more optimistic side of the table we find loop ventures gene monster with a tesla stock price target of 1600 arc invest tasha kini 1900 global equities research 2300 holland investments 3300 i think daniel lives will change his price target again in q3 and q4 this year when tesla will blow everyone's mind with the results speaking of blowing everyone's mind in the meantime elon is having trouble with demand the demand has exceeded even elon musk expectations we have this new article tesla model y demand explodes in australia just three days after launching new orders now out to february may 2023 elon musk replies on twitter we're working on accelerating rhd model y production didn't expect demand to be so high funny right let's look at this article a little bit more when the tesla model y went on sale just three days ago the first delivery window was in august november for the base model with the performance scheduled for november february today if you go to the tesla website and try to order new model y you'll be advised the wait time is now at least february and possibly as long as may 2023 before you get a car the demand isn't surprising when we see the popularity of the model y in every other market it has launched in when you drive around the streets of australia it's hard to ignore just how many suvs are on the road as good as the model 3 is sedans are just not the preference for most families whatever the motivation it seems australians have taken to the model y in significant numbers and as i suggested this week don't be surprised when it shoots to the top of the ev sales chart it's also worth noting that all three variants short short range long range and perf of the model 3 also now feature an estimated delivery timeline of february may 2023 that's sick with the refreshed model s and model x still not here this means tesla is sold out for 2022 in australia what do you think of the conservative tesla stock price from dan ives leave a comment below if you like this video please smash that like button and subscribe see you next time you
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