원문 보기
you this indicator says that a twenty to forty percent stock market crash could be possible here s why a 20 percent 40 percent stock market crash could be ahead mark my words the next stock market crash could be very severe the key stock indices could fall immensely it wouldn t be shocking to see losses of more than 20 percent 40 percent looking at the key stock in disease it may not seem like a stock market crash could even be close we are seeing robust moves to the upside and investor sentiment is very bullish these days but complacency is very dangerous remember in times when everyone else wants to bike it s time to pause and reflect one technical analysis indicator that investors must watch with the said please look at the long-term chart below of the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA there are something happening on the charts and it has not getting a lot of attention mind you this is something we see in other indices as well chart courtesy of stockcharts.com pay attention to the bottom of the chart where the relative strength index RSI is plotted this is essentially a momentum indicator when RSI crosses above the 70 level technical analysts say the asset is overbought currently though RSI of the DJIA stands above at he 2.00 how significant is this there have been only two instances in the last 50 years when the RSI has been at or above at he 2.00 it happened once in 1986 and another time between 1996 and 1997 what happened after both of these instances initially we saw the markets or very quickly solid gains in 1986 the DJIA jumped by more than 22 percent but in 1987 a massive stock market crash occurred between 1996 and 1997 there was a solid run to the upside then between April and December 1998 we saw a decline by more than 20% stocks later bounced back from that decline but starting in 2000 we saw losses again between 2000 and 2003 the DJIA dropped by almost 40% stock market outlook stock setting up to drop here s the big question is the RSI predicting a stock market crash ahead dear reader it can t be stressed enough the momentum and complacency on the market is severe it will not be shocking to see a melt up there a strong evidence of it has said over and over in these pages trying to predict ups in this market could be a very dangerous game I question how long this can go on could the key stock indices continued to run at the same pace as they have been since 2009 I believe that before we see the stock market's devil we could see a rigorous stock market crash that catches investors by surprise a 1987 - mm - or 2003 Style stock market crash could be possible you RSI is plotted this is essentially a momentum indicator when RSI crosses above the 70 level technical analysts say the asset is overbought currently the RSI of the DJIA stands above at he 2.00 how significant is this there have been only two instances in the last 50 years when the RSI has been at or above at he 2.00 it happened once in 1986 and another time between 1996 and 1997 what happened after both of these instances initially we saw almost 40 percent stock market outlook stock setting up to drop he rest the big question is the RSI predicting a stock market crash ahead dear reader it can t be stressed enough the momentum and complacency on the market is severe it will not be shocking to see a melt up there a strong evidence of it has said over and over in these pages trying to predict ups and this market could be a very dangerous game I questioned how long this can go on could the key stock indices continued to run at the same pace as they have been since 2009 I believe that an investor sentiment is very bullish these days but complacency is very dangerous remember in times when everyone else wants to bike it s time to pause and reflect one technical analysis indicator that investors must watch with the said please look at the long-term chart below of the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA there are something happening on the charts and it has not getting a lot of attention mind you this is something we see in other indices as well chart courtesy of stock charts calm pay attention to the bottom of the chart where the relative strength index the markets or very quickly solid gains followed in 1986 the DJIA jumped by more than 22 percent but in 1987 a massive stock market crash occurred between 1996 and 1997 there was a solid run to the upside then between April and December 1998 we saw a decline by more than 20% stocks later bounced back from that decline but starting in 2000 we saw losses again between 2000 and 2003 the DJIA dropped by this indicator says that a twenty to forty percent stock market crash could be possible here syo twenty percent forty percent stock market crash could be ahead mark my words the next stock market crash could be very severe the key stock indices could fall immensely it wouldn t be shocking to see losses of more than 20 percent 40 percent looking at the key stock in disease it may not seem like his stock market crash could even be close we are seeing robust moves to the upside
Comments 0