저자: StockMarketMentor채널진행자 · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 테슬라는 단기 반등 중이나 뉴스 효과는 제한적이며 180달러를 단기 목표로 보고 타이트한 손절을 권고, 솔라시티는 17달러 부근 과매도 구간에서 매수 관점(커버드콜 전략 병행, 평균단가 약 18.12달러), 애플은 90~93달러 지지선에서 매수 관점이며 90달러 아래 이탈 시 정리 권고. 테슬라: 솔라시티 배터리 공급 소식으로 주가가 크게 올랐으나, 진행자는 자동차 회사인 테슬라에 대해 이 뉴스가 이미 가격에 상당 부분 반영되어 효과가 길지 않을 것으로 봤다. 주가는 140달러 지지 부근의 과매도 이후 기술적 반등 성격이며, 쐐기형 패턴이 깨졌다고 설명했다. 목표가는 약 180달러로 제시했고, 해당 레벨 도달 시 과매도 해소로 본다고 했다. 전략은 타이트한 손절을 쓰고 추세에 따라 손절선을 올리는 방식이다. 솔라시티: 머스크가 주식을 매입했으나 40~25달러대에 샀기에 손실 상태라고 언급했다. 주봉상 17달러 부근 지그재그형 과매도 패턴으로 보며 매수 관점을 밝혔다. 자신들의 옵션 채널에서 주식 매수 후 콜옵션 매도(커버드콜)를 실행해 평균단가를 약 18.12달러로 낮췄고, 이 거래가 성공할 것으로 전망했다. 오후 막판 매도세는 큰 문제가 아니라고 봤으며, 약세 시 매수, 강세 시 정리를 조언했다. 애플: 지난 며칠간 매수 관점을 언급해 왔고, 관심 포인트는 정부의 아이폰 잠금 해제 요구 이슈다. 진행자는 이 사안을 복잡한 헌법·국가안보 문제로 보며 명확한 결론은 내리지 않았다. 기술적으로는 단기 지지선을 90~93달러로 보며, 약 10% 손절 기준을 90달러 아래로 설정했다. 90달러 아래로 떨어지면 해당 종목을 정리하고 다른 종목을 찾으라고 권했다. 출연자 전망: 테슬라 단기 상승 기대(목표 180달러, 타이트 스톱), 솔라시티 상승 전망(커버드콜 병행), 애플 단기 지지 확인 후 매수 관점 유지.
다듬은 글
February 17th uh look every day uh we do the same thing if we're hardcore Traders we turn on CNBC we see the uh opening bell my gosh we see squawkbox fast money mad money power lunch you name it there's like a boatload of stocks on there and what I'm doing in this series of videos is I'm narrowing it down to three that I think you need to be focused on today we're going to be looking at Tesla Solar City and then at Apple first of all Tesla look this stock was up big today the big reason was because Solar City which is basically owned by Elon Musk he owns a boatload of shares we'll get to that in a minute um chose Tesla to provide batteries um to enable uh solar cities uh equipment to provide solar energy at night you know rechargeable batteries during the day spit out the energy at night so that was like a big win for Tesla okay two things well maybe more than two we'll see um first of all the stock really accelerated today yesterday I was looking at this and I think I probably even mentioned in our uh stock market Mentor strategy session that it's you know it's a little wedgy here a little bearish wedgy here where the stock had been oversold and higher intraday highs higher intraday lows but they're kind of converging and that's typically something that leads s to the downside okay well that was yesterday now we look at this today and that pattern's essentially been broken volume is actually heavier today than it was yesterday I'm not really going to say this is a short squeeze per se I mean there's a fairly decent um short interest on the stock you can see here it's about seven and a half days to cover but what's really I think Happening Here is um the company reported good guidance in its last earnings they lost a boatload of money but what else is new it's Tesla that's what they do is lose money but the stock was deeply oversold and I think frankly it just caught a lot of people leaning the wrong way so you've got kind of a natural bid for the stock just because of the deeply oversold level 140 support oh my gosh it can't go up well it's going up again um so we're getting this Snapback rally this is a technical thing today this news to be perfectly blunt I don't really think it's going to amount to much I think a lot of this is already priced in to the stock this deal with Solar City guys this a damn car company okay I know it's electric I know they make batteries it's not a battery company it's a car company so ultimately this shelf life on this headline is going to be probably not too long but enjoy this while it lasts right now and it did kind of catch me off guard here um right now I would would look at about 180 as a price Target on this if it starts to hit that level then the oversold stuff is is kind of done so you want to start using some pretty tight stops and by the way that's really how you trade this Market is with tight stops it's super volatile embrace the horror that's what it is so just trade it with some tight stops you're never going to catch it all but you stay on the right side of the trend and then just prepare to be wrong by moving your stops up along with the price and when you're taken out you're taken out okay Solar City this thing popped um the news that I found was because Elon Musk um bought a bunch of shares but lo and behold he bought them at higher prices anywhere from 40 um down to 25 so it hadn't really worked out too well for Elon but being the billionaire that he is I don't really think he's losing any sleep but I'm looking at this stock now and I think that it's that it's a buy this is a zigzaggy pattern very oversold here at 17 or at uh you know on the weekly chart like down at 17 bucks but at uh stock market Mentor we or at Option Market Mentor we actually got a covered call Trade going on this where we bought the stock and then we sold a call against that um gives us a lower cost basis about 18 12 bucks something like that so I think that trade's going to work out okay but the way this traded in the afternoon and let's look at the 15minute chart you'd see it was up you know in into the early afternoon and then just kind of tailed off the uptrend is still intact um I don't think this sell off right at the end of the day is a real big deal but I think it is a deal it's a deal that you want to watch buy this on any weakness um if you're long the stock and nervous you know what sell it into any strength seriously it's that kind of Market okay Apple um I've been mentioning the last few days that I think this is a buy I don't like to call tops and bottoms tops are actually much easier to call um on a stock like this where you see a triple top bottoms are more problem more problematic at least right now because I don't think this is one you look at the weekly chart okay this just looks like a little slide but on a short-term basis I think 90 92 93 bucks is a good support level I think you can be long the stock you can be buying it here the big news and by the way you buy it here you got about a 10% stop a little under 90 bucks if the stock Falls that far it's probably going to move lower and that's just the way you trade Apple the big news today is that the government's asking Apple um to unlock that iPhone or that Jihadi John jerk um and his uh wonderful girlfriend um who shot all those people in San Bernardino um that is a real complex issue I'm digressing here a little bit but that's what I do um my second favorite job other than the one that I have here was suing the federal government for Pacific Legal Foundation so I'm really against government coercion of private uh you know private businesses all I will say on that is this is a really it's kind of a close call it's problematic for a lot of different reason reasons one of which is that what the government's basically doing is turning trying to turn in some Apple employees no other way to say it like into slaves into employees because they're forcing them to do something that they're that they don't want to do that's one argument um there's National Security issues there's a boatload of issues um in that whole deal and so all I'm saying is it is a tough call tough situation we'll see how that plays out I don't think presidential candidates should be talking about it though since I'm AE I'm not a presidential candidate I can talk about it but there's a lot of stuff going on um in the media about oh they should do this they should do that I'm just saying this frankly I know a lot about the Constitution I know a lot about this type of thing and I'm telling you this is a little bit of a heads scratcher it's nothing that has been um that's been faced before so let's just leave that out of it which I can do because I'm the one that raised the issue to begin with and just trade apple look at about 92 93 bucks as support if the stock falls down below 90 ditch this thing and figure it out with another stock okay that's it for this three stocks video I'll see you next time
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