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ParkevTatevosian

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Updated2026-10-28 07:00:00

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My AMD Stock Price Prediction for 2025 | AMD Stock Prediction | AMD Stock Analysis

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA · 2025-02-09 · 유튜브 시청 43,095 · Board Views 5 · International

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저자: ParkevTatevosian,CFA · 외국인

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AMD 2025년 말 주가 예측을 업데이트. 2026년 EPS 6.38달러 추정에 선행 PE 20~30배를 적용해 126~189달러 시나리오를 제시하고, DCF 내재가치 246달러와 함께 연말 160~180달러를 가장 유력한 구간으로 봄. 현재가 약 117달러 대비 큰 상승 여력을 강조하나 추정 가정이 많아 정밀하지 않다고 명시. AI 데이터센터 성장과 PC 교체 사이클이 근거.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. AMD recently reported its quarterly Financial results and I've had time over the last few days to digest all of the numbers that came out from that earnings release so I thought it'd be a good time to update my 2025 price prediction for AMD stock in other words I'll answer where I think the stock price will be by the end of this year I use several valuation methods to come up with this conclusion and I'll share with you the details of where I'm getting the numbers from my thinking behind the analysis and why I've picked and why I've estimated these prices for AMD stock by the end of this year of course I'm curious to hear your thoughts so after the video If you think my estimates are too high or too low or on point please let me know in the comments section below ll right so one of the methods I use for making a price prediction is taking a company's earnings per share estimate and applying a forward PE multiple to come to a conclusion on where I think the price will be another method I use is to do a discounted cash flow valuation model and use that intrinsic value per share estimate as something that the price could reach over the next 12 months so as it stands according to the analysts that are following AMD will come went at $633 in 2026 the reason I'm using 2026 earnings per share and not 2025 is because I'm going to apply the one-year forward price to earnings multiple to the earnings per share to come up with various scenarios where the price could be so right now AMD .91% traded for all year long so based on the prospects for artificial intelligence and amd's growth in the data center AI segment and the coming replacement cycle in personal computers where AMD is gaining market share I suspect the forward PE multiple will rise throughout 2025 for AMD stock I suspect that as the company progresses throughout 2025 and they produce their results and also they have their next Generation gpus coming out accelerated Computing products coming out for the data center I suspect that the forward PE multiple will rise so if the forward PE multiple Rises to 20 and their earnings per share remains on track for $6.38 the stock price could rise to $126 by the end of the year if the forward PE multiple were to increase to 25 the stock price rise to $158 if the forward PE were to rise to 30 the stock price could rise to $189 per share of course the current market price is $107 per share so if the forward PE multiple were to rise to the higher end of these estimates at 30 $190 that would be a nice 80 to 85% increase for AMD stock investors which would make them happy to be sure but that's not the only valuation method I use when I did my calculation for AMD stock utilizing the free cash flow expectations and a discount rate to conduct the discounted cash flow model and arrive at D stock came to $246 per share again that compares favorably to the one $17 per share it's currently trading at according to the Wall Street analyst that are following AMD stock they expect its free cash flow will rise from 3.4 billion in 2024 all the way up to 19.7 billion in 2029 of course this will be facilitated primarily by the AI business AMD CEO said that their AI business came in at roughly $5 billion in 2024 and their forecasting it will rise to tens of billions of dollars in the next few years so they are very optimistic about their prospects in the AI segment as Mi given their products and the success so far and given the growth of the market of the AI data center optimized for AI and The Limited supply for AMD they're all I'm sorry for NVIDIA they're already sold out and the Market's willingness and desire to have a second player in the industry so that Nvidia is not too dominant and attracts too much negotiating power and too much pricing power so AMD has good prospects in that category so combining my discounted cash flow valuation with my forward price to earnings multiple basis and coming to a conclusion where do I think is the most likely scenario or where do I think the stock price ends up most likely I think AMD stock will end the year somewhere in the range of $160 per share to $180 per share that's right between 160 and $180 per share which would be a significant increase from the current $17 per share the stock trades for again you noticed and I highlighted I used conclusion so this is not a precise estimate and it should not be taken as so of course you can see why because I see great potential in the company share price appreciation in 2025 and Beyond but I'm curious to hear your thoughts do you think this is the right estimate do you think it's too high or do you think it's too low let me know in the comments section section below and of course don't forget you can get access to these spreadsheets with the stock price predictions and discounted cash flow valuations with the channel membership at the investor tier

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