저자: 미상 · 외국인
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결론: 시장 하락은 피할 수 없으니 하락 자체에 대비하고, 폭락을 기회로 삼는 장기 투자가 답이라는 영상. [서론 · 피터 린치의 하락 경고] 영상은 피터 린치가 강조한 '시장은 자주 떨어진다'는 원칙을 소개한다. 린치는 93년간 10% 이상 조정이 약 50회(약 2년에 한 번), 25% 이상 약세장이 15회(약 6년에 한 번) 있었다고 설명했다. 주식을 소유하려면 하락을 감내할 준비가 되어 있어야 한다는 메시지다. [인도 Nifty 50 분석 인용] 영상은 Ankur Javeri의 Nifty 50 23년(2000~2022) 분석을 인용한다. 이 기간 19년에 걸쳐 연간 등락폭이 20% 이상이었고, 연간 변동이 20% 이상이었던 해는 약 87%다. 2003, 2008, 2009, 2020년에는 46~65% 이상의 큰 변동이 있었다. 폭락 직후 회복이 더 강하므로 고점에서 투자했더라도 장기 보유 시 수익이 났다는 주장이다. [개별 종목과 대형주 전략] 지수 전체 통계는 개별 종목에 그대로 적용되지 않는다고 단서를 단다. 실제로 폭락 후 회복하지 못한 기업들이 있다고 언급한다. 지수 복제에 가까운 방법은 재무가 탄탄한 대형 우량주 보유 또는 인덱스 펀드 투자라고 권한다. 포트폴리오의 50~70%는 대형 우량주에, 나머지 30%는 가치투자·소규모 투기·트레이딩에 배분하라고 제안한다. [스폰서 광고 · 종목 언급 없음] 후반부는 80 Money Genius 구독 광고로, 과거 15년 중 7년간 'high growth stock strategy'를 따랐다면 연 22.4% CAGR이었다고 주장한다. 구체적인 개별 종목 방향 예측이나 목표가는 제시되지 않았다. 대상 자산 중 직접 언급된 것은 없고, S&P500·나스닥 등 미국 지수도 다루지 않았다(인도 Nifty 50만 분석).
다듬은 글
listen to Mr Peter Lynch Peter Lynch as everyone of us know is one of the greatest fund manager we have ever seen his method of investing intrigued everyone not because they were complicated but mostly because it was so simple yet effective in one office video Mr Peter Lynch says this but you should study history and history is the important thing you learn from what you learn from history is the market goes down it goes down a lot the math is simple there's been 93 years a century this is easy to do the markets had 50 declines of 10 or more so 50 declines in 93 years about once every two years the market Falls 10 percent we call that a correction that means that's a euphemism for losing a lot of money rapidly we call it a correction and uh uh so 50 declines in 93 years about once every two years the market Falls 10 percent of those 50 declines 15 have been 25 percent or more that's known as a bear Market we've had 15 declines in 93 years so every six years the Market's going to have a 25 decline that's all you need to know you need to know the Market's going to go down sometimes if you're not ready for that you shouldn't own stocks and it's good when it happens and today's video is on the market will fall at times we can and should do nothing about it but find Opportunities thank you just recently I read an article by Mr ankur javeri the article was titled your portfolio will go down in this article Mr javeri and his team have done an analysis on the nifty 50 for the past 23 years to see what kind of ups and downs we can note in the market I put the article Link in the description do check it out anyway the outcome was shockingly similar to what Mr Peter Lynch said during his tenure as a professional fund manager the outcome was that the market will fall 10 20 30 or even 50 percent at times in a single year in fact as per Mr javery's analysis over the past 23 years that is from the beginning of 2000 to the end of 2022 19 years had ups and downs greater than 20 percent and we thought 20 meant we were in a crash zone right however when the market fluctuates so frequently it has become a Norm the year 2019 had the least fluctuation in real terms with a 14 move and the year 2003 2008 9 and 2020 had the highest single year moves ranging from 46 percent to over 65 percent what does that tell you from the year 2000 to 2022 the market moved by 20 or more in a single year nearly 87 percent of the time and almost 50 percent of the time the market has corrected over 30 percent in a single year so basically certain years mostly in and around the market crashes provide us within once in a decade opportunity to make money I mean Hefty money the year 2020 was an example just look at how aggressively the market fell and with double the aggression the market recovered everything was right in front of us and we had very little control one more interesting point I noticed was that if you had invested during the peak of the market you would have still made money even if after the crash because the market recovery post crash will be that much more aggressive this fact is true for both the tech bubble crash in the year 2000 and the 2008 financial crisis as well as the recent 2020 covet pandemic crash all you had to do was to stay committed and stay invested throughout the market cycle thus it is proved without a doubt that the way to not lose money in the market is staying invested and one of the easiest way to invest is to invest via ET money genius the track record speaks for themselves more on 80 money at the end of this video does that mean any investment will make money well it's quite contrary in fact the stats we just reviewed are for the overall Market specifically the nifty 50 index if you were to invest in any company then these stats would change completely because we have seen companies that crashed alongside the market but never to come back up ever again I have explained this in one of my short video check this out the closest way to mimic the broad Market is by owning large financially strong Blue Chip companies or simply invest via index funds because they will Trend alongside the market in most cases so when you see Market correcting it's the same TCR US kotak Bank Infosys Reliance HDFC twins Etc that fall and it's the same companies that recover stronger than ever before isn't that what we mean when we say the big are getting bigger well they do this has happened over and over again it'll happen now and it will happen in future too I'll conclude this video by giving one last tip we all want to explore the market because the market is interesting but in the stock market our main goal is to make money right money earned in a single year does not produce much wealth so the most part was suggested to retail investors is to invest in financially strong large cap companies those that are household names and allocate at least 50 to 70 percent of your portfolio in them the balance thirty percent is for you to stretch your comfort zone and go value hunting little bit of speculation and a little bit of trading and so on I hope the videos informative now let's see what 80 money genius is all about hi there do you take stock tips invested in them lost money well instead of repeating the same mistake earn better returns by subscribing to 80 money genius 80 money genius will understand your risk profile and suggest different investment options for varying time periods thus helping you build a very well Diversified portfolio high quality stocks that yield better returns are chosen so that you need not wait for years so what is the expected return well if you had invested as per the eating money genius high growth stock strategy for any seven years in the last 15 years you would have earned 22.4 percent cagr the weight ends here because with no additional work you can earn a wonderful return just by subscribing to 80 money genius membership check the link in the description thank you for watching foreign
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