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we're expecting a massive week next week in terms of for the hyperscalers I think Apple the Bears have owned this narrative they will prove the doubters a little weak in terms of China I think overall they actually beat numbers I I think apple is one that this is this sort of marks the bottom that we believe we'll see for the year in in apple Dan Ives predicts a key week for Tech with apple poised to defy bearish expectations and Mark a stock bottom despite concerns over soft iPhone sales in China he highlights Apple's strong cash flow growth and upcoming AI initiatives reinforcing its long-term value he also sees paler as a top AI software play comparing its potential to Oracle or Salesforce with its stock up 370% in the past year IES views paler as critical to the AI infrastructure Revolution offering substantial growth opportunities lastly IES remains bullish on ai's transformative potential spotlighting nvidia's role in driving Innovation despite Market fluctu he expects AI to reshape Industries fueling long-term Tech growth Dan let's go there spend a little bit more time on on Apple the stock is down uh about 10% year to date um which is really unusual for that name here give us the what the concerns are specifically about phone sales in China look and let's go through numbers too um look China has been soft clearly like the last few quarters in terms of what we've seen but with the headwinds there in the market but when it comes to the AI release Apple intelligence that we believe that that that's actually not going to get released till April bu do 10cent bite Dan likely going to be the partner is it a little softer it's about 2 to 3% softer in China so just to put numbers around it Street was anticipating 225 million units for the year we believe right now it's tracking about 230 million 5 million ahead mhm the best case was 240 million so maybe that's off the table Paul in time I think this is as way overdone sell off as I se Apple in a number of years Dan talk to us about palen that's a name that maybe not a lot of people know when they think about these big tech stocks and I know you guys have been aggressive on this name and it's been just such a great performer over the trailing 12 months stocks up 370% give us your call on paler I I believe it's the next Oracle or Salesforce because my view when it comes to the AI Revolution this is probably the best software pure play in the market just like Nvidia on chips this is how I view where palar is on the software side that's why look you know many have hated this they hated this as a as a teenager to start the year 1213 and they despise it as a senior citizen living in Florida at 80 right so you know and I believe this could ultimately be a stock that ultimately when you look out who could be the next Oracle sales I think it's paler Dan go down the apple income statement okay I got single digigit Revenue growth and the Gloom crew hangs on that given the multiple 2030 wherever the multiple is but the magic happens down the income statement to generate cash is any part of that system given Paul's question on China or frankly another six worries like you know is what's going to happen in silos season 3 but with any worries of Apple is the cash generating machine broken that free cash flow is going to increase 12 to 15% the next 2 to 3 years so what happens to stop what happens the end of the month at 4:22 p.m.
when we go OMG China was light but cash flows up how much Dan I I believe cash flows probably beats three to 5% and free cash up for the year will be up 12 to 15% which is why I believe this marks the bottom I I believe apple is a stock okay so you know good morning Mr Buffet Mr Buffet likes to listen when Dan IES is on are you telling Warren Buffett at Burk here to buy more Apple oh I think it's a table Bounder because it's my view you talk about Apple being light in the quarter but they're going to announce an apple intelligent partner in the next few months and then you ultimately you're going to have 25% of the world's population when they access AI it's going to go through an Apple device so my view is just it's one that's how so many have missed the last 2 and a half trillion in marap and apple they focus on the Bears coming out they own the narrative they scare White Knuckles and then cook and copertino come through and you're like and that look and that that that continues to be the Mantra here this is a name you own you don't sell Apple you own it and but is it your understanding or uh expectation that SoftBank will retain its current enormous stake in arm yeah I can't really comment on on that David but as you and I have chatted about many times uh Masa loves arm uh Masa loves arm as I love Arm and he also loves the long-term potential of the company so yeah uh can't com any further um Renee you know the numbers are staggering we talk about them all the time I mean half a trillion dollars here another hundred billion there I mean my god do you believe that the return will be justified in the enormous expense that is taking place right now when it comes to the applications from uh from AI that we're all anticipating you know David you and I have said about this many times I I am uh very much an AI bull uh when you look at some of the things that AI will be able to enable let's just look at um uh drug investment and Drug research drugs can take 10 to 20 years to develop when you started at the base level 95% of those efforts fail we still do lab testing on animals approvals take a long time AI can shrink all of those development times not only in terms of De developing great drugs faster and sooner but developing drugs that we can't even do today I.E Cancer drugs that are particular to own genome sequence so I think there will be huge huge return in in many many disruptive areas medicine is one of the areas I'm I'm personally most excited about Tony and looking at the Holdings and your percentage ownership uh in your science and technology fund no surprise Nvidia obviously is uh is your largest holding at least is the numbers I have uh which may be slightly dated you know I do notice Apple perhaps underweight at least in terms of a reflection of its market cap versus some of the others why is that yeah I think that uh you know I think over the long term like I am very bullish on this AI infrastructure build out you kind of have to build out the infrastructure and then develop the apps on it you know I think Apple continues to be a great company um you know I don't think you can count them out on on any means uh their ecosystem is still quite strong I I think that when you know my framework we're always like adjusting um you know positions but I like both companies long term um I do think that in this this uh we are in the early Innings of AI infrastructure build out Nvidia continues to be the platform that um Everybody kind of is is building on and you look at their new products that are just improving the performance performance um you know by Leaps and Bounds and so I think that's what's exciting and I think the Stargate uh news you know a lot of the infrastructure is still going to be built on Nvidia uh because they're a full stack company so you know to me I think that's what's exciting about uh the multi-year here all right Lauren you're looking at some movers uh Micron we heard that once already today what's going on oh so I'm being repetitive okay no no it was it was um it was Dr Barton who said buy Micron well maybe you want to buy it on this dip it's down almost 5% at 104 so Nvidia you can see broadcom all the chipmakers are considerably lower here's the reason a chipmaker out of South Korea SK hinx a customer to Nvidia partner reported record profits for the last quarter but their Outlook was weak and they specifically cited a Slowdown in smartphone sales and that's put a chill throughout that sector okay and a warning from South Korean chipmaker SK heinik sending its customer Nvidia as well as a lot of other us chip makers they are lower on the session as you can see Nvidia off just a little bit Micron down 4% broadcom off more than 1% these moves all come after SK hex posted a record profit for the fourth quarter but warned of steeper demand declines in commodity memory chips with SK heinik and whatnot I know you've got a chart that looks at Nvidia you watch its correlation with silver hit me with that real quick kg because we're definitely going to be watching the chips closely today yeah and we should be watching them closely for the next couple of days and weeks here but you know they're actually has been a very tight correlation over the last year now this is six-month chart but over the last year of silver and uh chips in general especially when you're looking at Nvidia is kind of that growth story obviously silver is kind of used in these gpus but what I find actually very interesting here among all of the news that we've seen with potentially 500 billion from the Stargate deal along with you know some chatter there are some news reports that um you know Saudi Arabia might be investing up to $600 billion doar here in the United States as well on top of that uh that's a grow that's a growth story that's going to require a lot of infrastructure that's going to require a lot of material but if you kind of notice none of the material you related Commodities are actually catching a bid off of any of this news in fact you're seeing a pretty decent Divergence so I'm just going to be looking at this correlation here to see if it comes back into back in a line here and is it going to be silver kind of catching up to what Nvidia has has done over the last couple of trading sessions or do we see a breakdown from Nvidia usually what we've seen in the past over the last year year and a half is that silver leads uh Nvidia so leads the chips right now that might not be the case maybe uh you know there might be a disconnect here but this is something that i' I've been watching um a lot lately and it's been pretty much on the mark all last year right now that massive Divergence is one of the bigger ones that I've seen uh for a long time here okay interesting all right so maybe Nvidia needs to close that gap or we get a big rally in silver but H kind of feel like we know what driving the bus generally uh so we'll see uh if that correlation um maybe close tech stocks face a critical week ahead with apple and Nvidia taking Center Stage analysts expect Apple to beat expectations despite China related concerns supported by strong free cash flow growth and upcoming AI initiative envidia continues to dominate the AI infrastructure space driving Innovation even as chip demand fluctuate paler with its impressive 370% stock surge is seen as a rising AI leader akin to Oracle or Salesforce ai's transformative potential particularly in fields like personalized medicine and Drug development highlights the sector's long-term growth prospects investors remain bullish on the tech Giants betting on their ability to navigate challenges and seize New Opportunities will Apple's AI initiatives secure its Market leadership against Rising competition which companies besides Nvidia and paler are poised to shape the future of AI
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