저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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한 줄 결론: 2018년 9월 시장 점검으로, 페이스북·트위터·AT&T·버라이즌 등 실적 종목 대부분에 긍정적이며 사우스웨스트 항공 하락은 매수 기회로 봤다. 페이스북: 월간 사용자 20억 명, 일간 13억 명 규모로 광고 수요가 공급을 초과한다고 평가. 메신저 수익화를 앞당길 것이라는 CEO 발언을 긍정적으로 보며 보유 중이고, 100포인트 이상 수익을 냈다고 언급. 트위터: 월간 사용자는 부진하지만 일간 사용자 증가와 매출 손실 감소를 근거로, 주가 16~17달러 수준이면 매수라고 제시. 운영 문제 해결 후 재평가 전망. 통신주: AT&T(+5%), 버라이즌(+6%)이 실적 회복 중이며, 버라이즌 무제한 요금제와 DirecTV 다각화가 효과적이라고 평가. 컴캐스트는 실적은 견조하나 디즈니 인수 등 추측성 재료에 주가가 눌려 있다고 봄. 사우스웨스트 항공: 주가가 9거래일 연속 하락했으나 자사주 매입과 재무구조 개선을 근거로 매수 기회. 예약 시스템 변경 이후 이 분기 가장 확실한 매수 종목으로 제시. 프록터앤드갬블: 분기 실적 양호. 넬슨 펠츠의 이사회 합류를 지지하며 행동주의 투자 역량을 긍정 평가. 페이팔: 뱅크오브아메리카와 제휴, 중국 진출 등으로 강세. 과거 매도 후 아쉬움을 언급. 씨티그룹: CEO 마이클 코밧 인터뷰를 근거로 주가가 장부가 대비 크게 저평가, 100달러까지 상승 여지를 제시하며 보유 권유. 에너지주: 셰브런은 긍정적 평가, 엑슨은 장기 계획 중심으로 보수적 평가, 아파치 등은 실적 개선 기대. 유가 50달러 돌파 전까지 정유·석유주는 '연옥'에 머물 것이라 봄. 매그ellan 미드스트림은 고배당 수익원으로 긍정. 리스크·조건: 유가가 50달러를 넘지 못하면 에너지주 부진 지속. 개별 종목은 인내심 있는 보유 전제. 구글·애플 관련 언급은 하락 후 기회로 해석. 출연자 전망: 페이스북·페이팔·씨티·사우스웨스트에 긍정적이며 특히 사우스웨스트 매수를 강조.
다듬은 글
good Thursday morning everyone it is time to talk about the markets with Jim Cramer on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange Jim let's begin with Facebook's earnings yeah Facebook was just a tour de force I mean this is one of those situations where they have two billion people who work for free for them that's a monthly average users that's a good pipe for what will happen to the daily which is 1.3 billion remember there's only seven point four billion people in the world so that's quite an achievement it's important to remember this about Facebook they have more demand than they can handle that means they have more advertisers than they could handle high quality problems so therefore you realize on the conference call what Mark Zuckerberg says we're gonna have to start monetizing messenger a little faster than we'd like it's a good sign for shareholders Action Alerts club members know this we've owned it for more than 100 points Wow all right and how about Twitter Twitter's disappointing to some degree only because it ran so much but the monthly average users okay not great daily average users gain I would point out that there's a decline in the loss of revenue and I think that the stock if you can get it at 1617 is a buy because they're beginning to mine the data I know that one of the things that's so hard about this industry is there's it seems to be winner-take-all by Facebook Twitter should be doing better they've had so much operational issues to clean up once they clean them up I think you'll say it was a Buy all right now Jim has over a million followers on Twitter Jim what would you do without Twitter well probably have a happier marriage wife kids standard thinks it's a total waste of time thinks it's just ridiculous only likes it when I post pictures of my dog and she doesn't even like the fact that quote I call my dog Nvidia she says he really only answers to Everest weren't you drop that whole thing so she wishes I get off it quickly Wow total waste of time what about the garden I just know those pictures she just looks at the how intrusive it is and just wishes it had never been born okay then Hey moving on to Comcast's a holding of actual requests is interesting there's a great piece by out Moffatt Nathanson which is a firm I follow which called the earnings unspectacular because they're always spectacular and that's why the stocks not up above there's also too much speculation in the stock that maybe they're gonna buy Disney maybe they're gonna buy someone that's put pressure on the stock it's a got it's a profitable growth situation with some very good ads I think comcast is a victim of the fact of how how well ATT did up 5% yesterday and how well Verizon is doing up 6% both those companies have really gotten back on their game it's quite obvious that the unlimited for Verizon is working it's quite obvious that the diversification DirecTV is working it's also why I think t-mobile did not have more reaction when they reported their exit number Southwest Airlines getting hit today yeah this disappointing that it's got hit so much cuz the stocks now down nine straight points we're telling Action Alerts members that this is your opportunity I have to tell you Gary Kelly was on and Gary Kelly I think was basically saying this is ridiculous he didn't say point blank but they had brought back a lot of shares they got a great great situation with with the balance sheet but the airlines have fallen dramatically out of favor may not even matter what he says I would have liked a few more pennies but they did change reservation system and it's just an outright buy of the buys that I've seen this quarter that are created by the sell offs a 3m I'll put that up Southwest air dominos those are three that just seemed wrong to me all right what did you make a Procter & Gamble's quarter it was good quarter I you know I know that that Nelson Peltz wants to be on the board I think he should be at it because he brings a tremendous amount of firepower Jim McNerney is the guy who's really calling the shots in that board he created Boeing as we see it Boeing again up what her fabulous industrial and I think that in the end Proctor's doing good enough not good enough for pelts good enough for shareholders and on spark in the street you said that pulse is cheaper than all the advisers I mean like you have all these adviser Proctor's and cost them a fortune just add Nelson Nelson is a classically good board member with a fantastic research team trying does great research and Elliott does great these are people you would welcome on your board all right come on stop treading on squawk in the street and talked about PayPal yeah PayPal was magnificent I want to wrap in PayPal with City which is a PayPal was a holding of Action Alerts we had a great profit we sold it too soon clearly City is a credit card company city is saying on air yesterday when I was interviewing Mike Corbitt that online is just the place where it's 100% credit card and PayPal is a becoming a dominant credit card as a player don't forget to just did a deal with Bank of America and don't underestimate the deal they just did with by 2 to be able to be in China Dan Schulman remains a man who conquered everybody PayPal goes hard Jim met with a fabulous interview with Michael corbat 22 minutes and we really got to know who he is well you know it's important I mean I knew Corvette because I was at Harvard Law when he was playing for the Crimson and he was the best player I had seen since my suitemate Dan jiggets who went to the Bears so I always kid him about about his football because I watched him play the best offensive line that I've seen since jiggetts he could have been drafted instead he went to Salomon Brothers he has revitalized City City should trade at a dramatically different price to book right now changed it one times if it went obviously if it went to JPMorgan stock would almost double it's not going to happen but this stock is on a slog to go to 100 it won't be done immediately but we're a shareholder in a fraction alerts and we tell them the club hold on it's common Wow all right Jim let's end with some earnings to watch we have Chevron Chevron's could it be okay I mean you've got the world Dutch in total did well the oil stocks are still until oil goes through 50 which I don't think it will the oil stocks are remain in purgatory I still go back to what Paul Kipps guard said which is that the oils are going to start having a better year in 2018 Chevron I'll put a good face on it and what about Exxon similar story next time really is you know they have a 50-year plan they're not looking at the stock there's this buy back stock it's kind of like a bank and I do think that in the end Exxon is a company that is you never got hurt buying but is not anything that I feel compelled to commend we continue to believe that Apache is a company that either will get bought or will start showing great earnings they've got the lowest binding costs some Rex is the fastest grower in the Permian we own Magellan midstream which is a fan absolutely fantastic revenue just a great income generator for an income seeker but you know what the oils are still wrong because when oil gets to 50 our future the future selling is humongous we're enjoying the ride up a little bit here after suffering with the oils for action alerts so we got Southwest is not going our way we got to patch you right now not going our way we've got some wrecks not going away we have to deal with these issues the way I tell Club members is patience patience patience remember we have over 100 point gain in facebook why patience we have a similar game at Apple why patience Google alpha but people decided they don't like that anymore that's an opportunity Southwest will prove to be the same great advice Jim Cramer thank you so much as always and for more information on the stocks in Jim's portfolio head to 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