저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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결론: 크레이머는 펩시코·넷플릭스·테슬라·Costco 등에 대해 대체로 긍정적이나 시장 전반은 차익실현 경계 필요로 봄. [펩시코] 음료 부진은 일시적이라는 회사 입장을 긍정 평가. 주가 105·103·102달러 근처 하락 시 추가 매도 경고, 액션얼러츠 클럽에 가격 지침 제공. [넷플릭스] UBS 목표가 상향 소식 언급, 오리지널 콘텐츠(나르코스 3) 호조. 아마존·스포티파이와 함께 선호 기업군으로 긍정적. [포드·테슬라·GM] 포드는 140억 달러 비용 절감 추진. 테슬라는 모건스탠리식 500달러 목표가 언급, GM보다 앞서 있다고 평가하나 자동차주 전반 밸류에이션이 낮다고 봄. 테슬라 구매자가 경제적으로 비합리적이라는 보고서에 농담 섞어 동의. [미일 제약·알러젠] 코파조네 다발성경화증 치료제 관련 승인 소식. 테바 지분 10%를 가진 알러젠 관련해 40달러 부근 매수 여지 언급. [3M·UTX·허니웰] 분기 실적 전 애널리스트 하향에 대해 펀더멘털 유지 시 반등 가능성 언급. 허니웰은 전략적 검토 결과에 따라 변동성 가능. [석유] 재고 증가 시 에너지 업종 차익실현 가능성 언급. [쇼피파이] 시트론 리서치 보고서 관련, 60달러까지 갈 수 있다는 시각을 전달하며 고평가 우려 제기. 시트론 보고서 내용은 검토 가치가 있다고 평가. [코스트코] 목요일 실적 발표 예정. 과거 호실적 후 하락 패턴과 아마존 홀푸드 영향 언급, 익스포저 조정 여지 시사. [기타] 푸에르토리코 지방채 중 일반채(GO)는 보유하나 수익채는 부정적 시각. 콘스텔레이션 브랜즈는 실적 후 하락 시 매수 기회로 언급. 자동데이터처리(ADP)는 긍정적 견해 유지. [리스크] 연준 채권 보유 축소 필요성, 대형주 과열에 따른 차익실현 가능성 강조. 출연자 전망: 시장 전반 중립~조정 경계, 개별 종목은 선별적 긍정.
다듬은 글
all right good Wednesday morning everyone we a our Jim let's begin with the Federal Reserve Jeffrey gun Lac endorsing Neel Kashkari look I gun luck is an outlier I happen to like him very much he's done some high-quality Baum work I'm not as crazy about a stock work he knows that I certainly know ad hominem attack on him but I would say that that cos Hari is not as good at bed as worse or you don't worry my friend J pal Doug castle very good piece today about talking about who is likely to get in he's talking about Wars I had wanted Gary comb because I don't want the Fed to bleed off its bonds I wanted to sell its bonds because I have always regarded the one of the big dangers in this system is the feds large bond holding I wanted to be gotten off the balance sheet I'm very concerned about debt the Fed has too much of it all right let's move on to Pepsi the beverage company is saying that the declines in the beverage business are temporary not structural now the stock is reacting initially to the idea that yes they were they made mistakes one of the things I love about PepsiCo is that they say in the first paragraph they made mistakes they're going to course-correct betting against this room do we after stocks been down 11 12 points has been not right she's the CEO remember 50 times of her stock of her cash compensations and stocks so she's clearly working for value creation I hope this is the only stock in that whole consumer sector that we own for action alerts and we told Club numbers last week beware this was going to happen we're selling if the stock gets down to 105 103 102 we'll issue another bulletin we have by the way a very important bulletin coming out about waste management that I really want everyone to read but we were on this for PepsiCo for Club members and it's the kind of value that you get if you are a member of the club it is the kind of value and Jim yesterday you said PepsiCo is the sort of best house than a bad name you said people should trim it you got a really good price yesterday and I gave that to Club members first because that's what Action Alerts plus calm Club is about it is all right Jim Netflix's price target was raised by UBS again is a survey about what's going on with Netflix the original program is resonating around the world including particularly narcos 3 I'm pretty close to Netflix I believe in a lot of these stories that are coming out my favorite kinds of companies that have these streams are Amazon Neff and Spotify and tensor and O's telling Andrew or circa yesterday that Netflix could spend seven billion dollars on content last time and I think it's absolutely a possibility I remember they say that the sign of success isn't in his enormous negative cash flow to some degree people felt that Reid was on that cops goal was given to hyperbole I like read so much you know what I've had to think you know it into some degree maybe he's right all right and Ford looking to cut fourteen billion dollars they've been cutting costs now for everyone where's he got the stock GM is ahead Tesla don't you need to ask me this about testicles I'm now gonna give you the story all right Tesla there's a research stood out this morning from the Miura instant at saying $500 target they're well ahead of everybody and that would include GM I say it's not a zero-sum game GM still has a very low valuation the airlines the autos have the lowest valuation I don't want to buy for day one by GM and I test those a cold stock I'm never saying anybody should buy it herself and in that Tesla note it said that the buyers are economically irrational I thought I was funny I mean it's true my daughter just said dad I needed Tesla she end up buy him more expensive car and candidly used to run money which I but I took down some debts she was very hardworking she had a job and I was very encouraged by that to her that's great meanwhile a Milan receiving approval for that MS treatment we point five billion dollar drug Copaxone smooth one of the most amazing trucks it is the drug that everyone presumed devilled would lose exclusivity to so the stevia had gone down well in advance of that so it's not like that Eva's stock didn't forecast this however if those who want to speculate on Tavor remember that allergen owns 10% elegans and axilor plus Nikon named a disappointing one I talked about the gold ones talk about the bad ones it's been a disappointing one but they do on 10% of Terra as part of a transaction that was so brilliant we're Taba bought their generics Tevez a your Milan this is worth probably 40 bucks you can go up to forty or Milan tera if you could buy some cuz everybody knows it after tomorrow when the downgrades will occur for the remaining analysts and then you wait to see what brent slaughter does with allergen and his 10% stake well and as you ride a real money some of these analysts notes I mean these the levels they're giving may not exactly act up in the kind of weeks following it whatever sells yeah basically that they'll give us cell rating and the stock creeps back higher if you wait I mean typically what happens is on day three of a new quarter people say wait a second I you know I 3 M that was downgraded by a very good analyst you to sit JP Morgan stocks up quick 6 maybe that should go yet a good example that be United Technologies the stock fell to 109 or off the Rockwell Collins I pushed it very hard here saying I thought it should go right back up it's right back up to reevaluate that do you revile you ate J&J which would be coming back after Jamie Rubin hit it so hard I would point out and say look just stick with the fundamentals I think 3m is going to have a good quarter I think change is going to be fine I think United Technologies probably a couple points to head don't forget to I never Honeywell is gonna be doing a strategic review Honeywell is more favored but if Honeywell does not spin off the aerospace they'll be people are disappointed Honeywell could come down so just be aware that some of the big cap stocks that are screaming are in of what I don't want you to were precarious but our levels we're typically people said you know what maybe I ought to take some off the table again the oils if we get an oil number 1030 which indicates a building in the in the inventories I think people take profits in that group too Jim what did you make of Shopify his link up with Instagram no Shopify was let is a piece put out by Andrew laughs about why it's worth died going to it will probably go to 60 and that Andrew left if you go to add citron on Twitter you can see a seven minute video about why he says the Shopify is a multi-level medium potential fraud that will be investigated I have felt the choppa fly stock we compared it to Etsy one may have money and it we thought it was too high but it was not for these revelations that I think that lef is brought to light the stock is up a great deal so I think people should go to the our Twitter at citrine and then if you can get his report later in the day I'm sure it's gonna be talked about it seems like a very rigorous support never left wrong attempt on unkempt or right on valiant I early on Wayfarer voxel jet correct on it but most importantly provocative honest and tough alright Jim let them with earnings to watch we have Costco reporting on Thursday Costco is historically after they report a fantastic number then going down and that a lot of this because of Amazon and I think that Amazon Whole Foods the tie-up hasn't been impacted yet if Costco addresses it which they traditionally have not then I think maybe it's clear sailing but Costco has moved up a great deal Home Depot moved up a great deal again those are positions that in annex radical in a more a logical extension of my real money piece today you could definitely say well wait a second Costco which is a great company and should go higher maybe profit-taking wound sue not unlike Home Depot there could be profit taking now let me go on a couple of discrete issues important rica municipal bonds there's gos and there's revenues president's comments seem to indicate that they're going to wipe this out cold - nothing to do with it by the way not just saying because i'm alumnus of goldman the revenue bonds I do think could be wiped out but that has been well into those bonds I bought so I have a municipal bond profile account on stocks I have some Puerto Rican gos I you know at thirty I don't trade and if 30 maybe thereby maybe not I don't like the Puerto Rican situation now you have the president against it which is uh makes a pretty severe situation not one that I necessarily want to get involved in a couple other things to be thinking about David brought up a very good report a report about craft x what can they do and whether that stock is going to go lower Goldman Sachs I have to agree the with PepsiCo I like PepsiCo in that group I like Constellation Brands ahead of their quarter that stock sometimes sells off after a good quarter might be a good opportunity to buy it after it sells off I do think that there was a downgrade of Accenture that I saw I want to take the other side of that once again one action alerts Club members please check your Bolin's this morning we're going to be issuing a few of them I see technology stocks going down that's more of the typical thing that I talked about in the real money piece people didn't like Intel at 35 they suddenly like it at 40 the larger thesis and the real money piece is about how index funds by ETF funds by hedge fund cell unless it's a definitive story about an actual recent weakness talk about the Shopify piece again good at citron and I'm not working for him as I pointed out once again I make that that's a severe charge for those who are gonna make it I did I did a piece about why I thought he was early or perhaps long and Wayfarer I did not like his Kim Moore's not Kim sure I'm sorry I did not like his chemours piece because of the spin-off was done in a very good valuation I did like his valiant everybody can be wrong but the work on Shopify is if you click on the links seems rigorous to me so everybody can be wrong I can be wrong left can be wrong but I do always want to point out to you why stops are moving for important lessons and Jim before we end you have Bill Ackman on tonight yes and Phil you know this is about automatic data and what can be done with automatic aid and what he says I might sneak in a question about Herbalife might speak its begin a question about Spotify it might speak speaking a question about Chipotle if I have it I know bill really wants to address the issues that are automatic data and of course that's what we're going to do automatic data has been a stock that I I've liked but paychecks has been the one that I've liked the most city came out yesterday or this morning and reiterated its sell on the stock of City I reiterate my buy in the face of cities sell one city so far I don't want on paychecks so far I'm right and he's wrong but I remember what I said about a entry-level could Shopify be far more legitimate than left says absolutely but I think what matters is Shopify is an expensive stock we said we liked we preferred Etsy to Shopify so I think you should be as informed as possible a lot of these videos what we do in action works is to inform you as an investor and you need to know that it's all good advice Jim Cramer we appreciate it thank you so much for more information on the stocks in Jim's portfolio please head to Action Alerts plus calm
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