My Shocking Nvidia Stock Price Prediction for 2025 | NVDA Stock Analysis | NVDA Stock Prediction

요약 보기

엔비디아 주가가 2025년 들어 약 10% 하락(당시 약 $124)한 상황에서, 연말 주가를 예측. 애널리스트 FCF 전망을 근거로 DCF 내재가치를 약 $120으로 산출, 선행 PER 22배는 역사적 저점 수준. 데이터센터 AI 투자가 2035년까지 지속될 것으로 보고, 빅테크 자본지출 증가로 선행 PER이 28~32배로 상승할 것을 가정. 이에 따라 연말 주가 $145~$165(현재 대비 약 20% 상승) 전망. 단, 추정치이며 투자 판단은 본인 책임이라고 명시.

다듬은 글

※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. Nvidia stock has disappointed investors so far in 2025 it's down almost 10% trading at $124 per share year to date as of February 5th as I'm recording this video but where will the stock price be by the end of this year by the end of 2025 that's what I'll answer in this video in other words I'll give my Nvidia stock price prediction for the end of 2025 and I'm going to use several estimates and assumptions to make that prediction and I'll share with you the numbers that I'm getting to make this prediction so let's take a look after a brief message highlighting my offers as a channel member ll right so one of the inputs I'm going to need to make my stock price prediction for Nvidia stock are the company's free cash flow estimates for the next several years these estimates come from Wall Street analyst that are following Nvidia stock and they have been lowered considerably in the last few months now still the analysts that are following Nvidia stock they expect its free cash flow to rise from 64 billion which will be reported expected on January 31st for the year that ended January 31st when Nvidia reports its results for 2024 later this month in Fe February so the analyst on Wall Street expect nvidia's free cash flow to rise from $64.5 billion all the way up to $47 billion in 2029 so a jump from 64 billion to 147 billion over the next 45 years or so is expected for Nvidia stock now I suspect nvidia's growth will persist Beyond 2029 these investments in data centers for artificial intelligence are going to persist at least for I would estimate until 2035 as companies upgrade these traditional data centers that were built on CPUs primarily and they transition those to be based on gpus primarily for the purpose of also need the company's forward price to earnings ratio which as it stands is 22 right now it's the lowest this stock has traded for according to its forward price to earnings ratio going back sometime and I have it here for a year and this stock is now at a forward PE of 22 so given the updated free cash flow numbers I updated my discounted cash flow model for Nvidia stock as well today and my new intrinsic value per share for Nvidia stock decreased considerably previous to this update I had the intrinsic value of Nvidia stock closer to $300 after the update to the free cash flow numbers and these are the numbers I updated here the 2025 26 27 28 and 29 free cash flow estimates from Wall Street analyst and that brought the intrinsic value per share down to $120 compared to the current market market price of $123 so now that I've shared with you all of the inputs I'm utilizing to make my stock price prediction for Nvidia stock for the end of this year I'm going to share with you now my price prediction for Nvidia stock so the forecast for nvidia's earnings per share is For $52 4 cents in 2026 now when I'm using the forward PE I need the earnings per share estimate for one year ahead and the estimate as I last checked it was $524 now the current forward PE is 22 and if the forward PE stays the same and the earnings per share estimate stays the same the stock price could end at $115 by the end of the year which would be lower than the current market price which is not what I'm forecasting I don't think that scenario is the most likely scenario now if the forward PE Rises to 26 the price could rise to $136 if the forward PE Rises to 28 the price could rise to $146 and if the forward PE Rises to 32 the price could rise to $867 I do think nvidia's forward PE will rise as the year progresses especially as I recently reviewed the earnings results from alphabet meta platforms and Microsoft which all indicated huge increases in their capital expenditure budgets which a large percentage of goes to Nvidia for the networking and gpus Etc that goes into tho think nvidia's forward PE will rise as the year progresses and some of these fears from lower spending from those large cap companies resides throughout 2025 so I think the forward PE will fall somewhere in the range of 28 to 32 by the end of the year and I think nvidia's stock price will be somewhere in the range of $145 to $160 $5 by the end of the year which would be roughly a 20% increase from where the stock price is today at $123 per share but remember these are only estimates and you saw I used a number of assumptions to come to this conclusion including my own discounted cash flow valuation model so please do your own due diligence before making a decision on investing in any of these stocks based on the research that I'm completing