저자: VijayKedia · 외국인
요약 보기
Vijay Kedia는 50년 시장 역사상 위기는 기회였다고 말하며, 향후 10년 테마로 RISE(Renewable 재생에너지·에너지전환, Infrastructure 인프라·물류, Security 안보·사이버보안, Emerging technologies 신기술)를 제시한다. 과거 주도주가 다음 상승장에서 그대로 오르지 않을 수 있어 로테이션이 중요하다고 강조한다. 중국 ETF(홍콩 상장)는 약 50% 수익 후 전량 매도하고 인도 시장에 재집중 중이며, 최근 태양광 관련 비상장 기업에 투자했다고 밝힌다. 인프라주는 정부 의존으로 최근 2~3년 부진했다고 평가한다.
다듬은 글
market. Every euphoria in the market turns into a crisis. This is what the data indicates. This is what we saw in the market. If you look at history over 50 years, you know. So, every crisis will turn into an opportunity. And that's exactly what happened. Between 2021 and 2024, people made a lot of money.
Not in percentage terms, they increased their capital. So now this is a side effect of Yes , it's been going on for 2 years, the last 2 years, but I think everyone is also saying that things are going to change, you know. Everything will change. But one thing I think investors should pay attention to is that stocks that have performed well in the past may not perform well in the future.
Those stocks that rose in price during the last bull market may not participate in the next one. So this is a topic of rotation. So, as far as the theme is concerned, it operates on a rotational basis. Now you have to do your homework, and what made you money before won't necessarily make you money again.
So you must have money. You have to be careful in this market. But ultimately, I think people will make big money if you can sense what topic is emerging in the market right now , then you will make big money. So, where do you feel the next new theme is? Considering that Rhythm Desai just said No, but I won't let him tell you about it .
So basically, I think the next topic for 10 years, I gave it an acronym. It's like RISE , you know. So, this "RISE" theme will make money for investors. And in this word RISE, I'll tell you that the R stands for "renewable ." So, renewable energy and energy transition . Because I feel that just as oxygen is important to the body, energy is important to the nation.
You know, energy runs a nation like oxygen runs us. So I think this is a new topic, maybe because of AI, data centers, or all the things that many people have been talking about. So I believe R stands for renewable energy, renewable sources, and energy transition. This should be successful. And I stands for infrastructure and logistics.
So, I think this is again a promising topic. And S is for security. It could be defense or cybersecurity, as defensive security also requires cybersecurity. So, this is how it will unfold. This is going to be a very big topic. You know, I feel like everything is so data-dependent today, the nation is so data-dependent, that even if you don't attack physically, as I said somewhere, if your data center is attacked through cybersecurity, through a cybersecurity breach, your whole system will stop.
So, S stands for safety and cybersecurity, and E stands for emerging technologies. So, whether it's AI, data centers, electric cars, payment gateways, or something else. These are the latest technologies. So I think that's what I'm focusing on. If investors focus on this topic, they should make money in the next 10 years.
I believe in renewable energy, infrastructure, security, and cutting-edge technology. Security because I take defenses that I like, as well as stocks of the latest technology. So, I think it's technology. Defense—everyone knows about defense. Yes, and PPO is also very expensive, if we talk about the discount.
So I don't invest in that, but I have invested in a few companies in the cybersecurity space. They recently came on the market, and I invested in all of them. No matter how many there are , four companies—I invested in them . But there is a nuance worth remembering: technology changes so quickly that you never know if what seems 100% guaranteed today will remain so.
Nothing is guaranteed in this market . Yes, today we feel that this can bring us profit. Maybe tomorrow technology will change. That's why you must be ready at any moment. That's what I mean. Yes. Security is perhaps more for the changes you need. I took the main point: we used to have big rockets, expensive rockets.
Now it's a drone system— low cost, high security efficiency. Cybersecurity, you mentioned that it's from a network perspective. But from a low- cost, high- efficiency perspective, you see new opportunities in some small- and mid- cap companies that are doing very well in this space. We will either have to invest in private companies or wait for them to go public.
Startups involved in technology. This will play a vital role. Because they don't understand what's worth investing in and what's not . So, you are wise to invest in public company history by choosing the safer path. or in infrastructure in infrastructure of both companies with a discount of 40, 60, 70% every week you will find, you will see on the TV channel you will find, you will see the execution of the order portfolio execute execute infrastructure stocks that are quoted as we So, Vijay, first of all , this is a growth topic, but you are an investor.
I remember three or four years ago you were the first to say, "I'm buying China ." Right? You were the first during the March lows to say that we should buy the market now. You know, you were ahead of the crowd and making these bottom-up contrarian bets. What a big significant bet this is, let me not just limit myself to India.
So, the method of getting ahead of the curve, yes, I see a line going blank, the opposite picture that you should draw. So what to do temporarily here, or ahead of the curve? Please highlight this regarding China as well. Yes, I was buying a certain ETF, it was your Hong Kong stock ETF, it's listed here on the NSE, and I bought it last week.
I got out because I found that maybe the Chinese economy would do well , but maybe Chinese stocks— even though I made a 50% profit in a year and a half or two. So, that's normal. But I sold all my Chinese ETFs and stuff. Now I am focusing again on the Indian market. So, that's one change and a significant portion, I don't know, I bought a stake in one solar company, an integrated solar power plant, and I took a certain percentage in that company.
So I'm optimistic about solar energy, as I said. For the experienced investor, and maybe that's also the reason why the market has been stable, because last year at least there was a lot of money going into private equity, and which was also going into IPOs in large quantities. Of course , until the March crash happened.
In the private equity space, since you're a big investor there, where are you finding these big significant opportunities right now? So, I'm focusing on deep technology companies, like, of course, again, cybersecurity companies, and plus energy-related, any growth theme that I just talked about. I focus on this theme of growth.
And mostly, like last week I invested in a company that does solar pumps and stuff. You know, rooftop solar panels, solar pumps and stuff —it's like a textbook ; well, it's good like PM-KUSUM, PM Surya Ghar and other government initiatives that the government is emphasizing on. The process is simple; the downside is that they are ultimately dependent on the government.
People don't want to depend on that, and all these infrastructure stocks, as you said, have performed poorly in the last 2-3 years because they were completely dependent on government funds. The government was busy giving away free services —free electricity, all these programs, “yojanas ”—and because of that, they were not getting any money from the government, so they suffered.
So, with that in mind, the government prioritized and set a target for solar pumps, and I invested in that, but in the non-public sector . This is the last thing I did. I've been wanting to ask you for a long time , I'm a very busy person. Honestly. You're not that kind of person, you just look cool.
You look like. I could call it for social media. This is my second trading, my rupee, yes. Look, this is either sad. Could you, but you know, for A, B, C, A and for A.
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