💾Micron (MU) Stock Analysis | Is MU Stock 📈A Buy?

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마이크론은 펀더멘털(낮은 PER 약 3.16, 높은 영업이익률·ROE·분기 매출/이익 성장)은 매우 우수하지만, D램·낸드 가격 하락으로 주가가 52주 저점 부근에 있다고 설명. 애널리스트 목표가는 평균 61달러(고점 90, 저점 32)로 대부분 매수 또는 보유 의견이며, 현재 가격은 하단에 가깝다고 평가. 다만 계약가격이 2분기 연속 중반대 하락할 것이라는 분석이 있어 8분기 연속 마진·EPS 축소 가능성이 제기됨. 회사의 하향 가이던스로 추정치도 낮아지는 추세. 진행자는 개별 종목보다 반도체 섹터 전반의 하락이 더 이어질 수 있다고 봤고, 마이크론이 복귀할 가능성은 있으나 바닥 확인까지 3~6개월 걸릴 것으로 예상. 투자 전략으로는 마이크론 직접 보유보다 마이크론 비중 3%인 반도체 ETF(USD)를 분할 매수하는 방식이 더 안전하다고 제시. 개인적으로는 소량 누적 매수 중이라고 밝힘. 반도체 섹터 전반(엔비디아, AMD 등)에 대해서도 하락이 아직 끝나지 않았다고 봄. 시장 전반은 당일 세 지수 모두 하락한 상태였음.

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※ 자동 자막 원문(다듬기 전)

01. all right guys so um no big activity in the market today we only traded for half a day and it looks like all three indexes were down I know tilray spiked up pretty good and a couple other stocks but for the most part the market just took another hit today so let's go take some subscriber requests alright guys so next up like I said make sure you're putting your video ideas on this list right here guys um this is in the community section just go to my channel click on community and find this card right here any video ideas you have just throw them on the list and I'm gonna take them one at a time okay so I've already done PayPal verse square and the next one on the list was fed the realtor so look fed the realtor he's commenting a lot and he's getting a lot of his videos made so good job man just keep commenting a lot and like I said in my downtime there's not gonna be much going on over the next couple of days because the markets down and it's Black Friday most people are concentrating on that so I can I have a great opportunity to work on some of these videos so the next one is micron tech is it worth buying that again is another subject I would love to talk about and yeah let's dive right into that so let's start off here on tip ranks guys and look at the average price target on micron so it is based on 24 analyst ratings it is still considered a moderate buy and has an average price target of 61 dollars per share on the high end it's 90 dollars a share average like I said 61 and as low as $32 now if you want my quick opinion I think we're a little closer here to the low side then we certainly are the upside so the price of flash in the place of in the price of DRAM has to get back to where we need it to be in order to see microns stock price really start to shoot up but we are at a very investable level here we go we've got analyst ratings and price targets right here and as you can see we'll just go down the line most all these price targets as a matter of fact every single one of them are priced up considerably for wear micron clothes that today I'm really like I said what it really boils down to it's just a matter of time and getting the price back on flash and DRAM so you know a lot of good names in here a lot of good investment firms barclays Raymond James Key Bank Piper Jeffrey JPMorgan Chase Cohen and company UBS and like I said most of them are either calling it a buy or a hold okay during this period of time let's take a more fundamental look at micron so I'm just gonna go ahead and tell you micron is fundamentally great okay it is a very very fundamentally clean across-the-board company look at these mega low p/e ratios 3.16 trailing p/e and a forward pea of three point nine five okay unfortunately the 52-week change it is down 26% on a 52-week scale profit margin operating margin return on assets return on equity all of them way way way up there now this is only updated through October 30th of 2018 but still that profit operating margin you definitely want that kind of explosion in your portfolio even if you have to hold micron for a while I definitely suggest taking a position in the 30s the short percent of float does not bother me that's under 5% these short percent of shares outstanding also does not bother me that is also under 5% micron does not pay a dividend guys but they do have 37.5 quarterly revenue growth and their quarterly earnings growth is eighty two point six percent which is fantastic it just keeps really getting better from here the total cash on hand is 6.8 billion and the total debt is four point six four billion so fundamentally I love everything about micron let's try to figure out why the stock price has got hit so hard over the past year all right guys I've got the one year chart pulled up on micron and as you can see a year ago it was trading in the $40 range got up into the 50s and 60s got up into the 60s a couple of times before it took this huge massive run off and now it is down around its 52-week low okay and matter of fact it got as low as 33 and 34 dollars at one point it has ticked back up and now it's dropping again I would say with the overall market so right here guys I found an article about micron that can help us try to relate and understand the huge drop-off in stock price but the issue with micron has been DRAM and NAND pricing this analysts seen in contract pricing falling in the mid-teens for the next two quarters which he believes will mean a streak of eight consecutive quarters of gross margin and EPS contraction for microns so the pain is likely not over for the chip makers like I said even Nvidia AMD and all the chip makers as a whole the the pain is probably not over yet we're gonna see more downside before we see the massive run-up again well since the company issued downward guidance for the current quarter that is November 18 analysts estimates have been trending lower okay so if you are considering taking a position in micron just keep some of this stuff in mind guys so while estimates have come down they may not fully reflect the most recent drop in pricing meaning another guide down from the company at next month's report is highly possible management may also need to discuss its buyback strategy which so far looks like it's losing on the stock price they got in so I think micron may be a good name to own once the dust settles but we may need to start another quarter or two to reach that point guys that's exactly how I feel about it I don't feel like really the dust has settled yet I think the chip sector abroad for most of these companies is going to continue to drop for a while so let's talk about the strategy I took in my m1 finance portfolio so here a little while back guys I he cut my position in Nvidia in half and devoted half of that to ticker symbol USD that is the ultra semiconductor proShares okay which houses shares of micron so right now in this big drop-off like I said in a time of uncertainty I would start building a position in USD because they do house micron stock so keep in mind guys if you do take a position in micron which I have on my personal level not a huge position but I have incrementally bought into micron but if you do take a raw position in micron just keep in mind the next couple of quarters still not anticipated of being very good I think you're better chances of benefiting from the sector as a whole like I said is to start building a position in USD so micron is three percent of this portfolio holding so every time you buy a share of USD three percent of those funds are invested in micron stock so you are getting some exposure to micron without taking nearly the amount of risk but you have other companies you know help keeping the portfolio upright like Intel Nvidia Broadcom and Texas Instruments so that is my suggestion that is the much safer route to go down however I do think micron will make a comeback but I still think we have you know three to six months to really see the lows in the stock so anyways that's all I got for today guys thanks for watching the video and have a great Black Friday