저자: DanFitzpatrick · 외국인
요약 보기
이 영상은 시장 전반의 방송 분석이라기보다 특정 종목 몇 개에 대한 단기 트레이딩 관점을 다룬다. 테슬라(TSLA): 시트론 리서치의 Andrew Left가 공매도 리포트를 냈고, 그가 185~190 부근에서 숏을 잡았다고 공개했다는 내용을 전하며 주가가 더 떨어질 것으로 본다고 설명한다. 다만 테슬라는 변동성이 커 손절선을 타이트하게 잡아야 한다고 강조하며, 100달러 살짝 위에 손절성 매수 주문을 두는 숏 전략을 제시한다. 이는 약 12달러 리스크로 대응하는 방식이다. 발리언트 파마(VRX): Andrew Left가 숏을 청산했고 방향에 대해 롱도 숏도 아니라고 말했다는 점을 언급한다. SEC 소환장 등 악재가 있었지만 주가가 반등했고, 해당 종목은 옵션 내재변동성이 매우 높아 풋 매도 등의 거래가 매력적으로 보였으나 리스크가 커서 보류했다고 설명한다. 뉴스가 잠잠해지면 완만한 상승이 기대되지만 부정적 헤드라인에는 대량 이탈이 나올 수 있다고 경고한다. 철강주(US Steel 등): 주가가 50일 이평선을 상회하며 바닥 반전 형태를 보여 최근 몇 주간 주목해 왔다고 한다. 미 상무부가 중국·일본·브라질 등의 저가 철강 덤핑에 관세를 부과하는 방향이라는 뉴스가 나오며 상승했고, 주가는 하루 약 20~25% 올랐다. 공매도 잔고가 높지 않아 모멘텀에 의한 추가 상승이 이어질 수 있다고 본다. 과열 후 조정을 감안하면 지금 숏은 권하지 않으며, 관망하거나 매수 후 추적손절을 두라고 제안한다. 200일 이평선이 익절 지점으로 거론되며, 현재가 대비 약 20% 추가 상승 여지가 있다고 말한다. 전체적으로 발언자는 단기 모멘텀과 뉴스 흐름에 따른 매매와 엄격한 손절 관리를 강조하며, 특정 종목에 대한 장기 전망은 제시하지 않았다.
다듬은 글
every day we watch the same shows on CNBC opening bell uh squawk power lunch mad money fast money you name it it's a bunch of stocks there I want to tak together first we're going to go with Tesla I mentioned this recently like I think it was even yesterday because um Andrew left of Citron research published um basically published a a hit piece I don't mean that in a bad way but that's kind of what it was um talking about Tesla having Supply demand issues also there was some news flow issues that this guy uh takes issue with and basically um he was just saying you know what um this stock is going lower it's like there's not enough catalysts to push it higher he's looking at a big Decline and he did reveal today on CNBC that he's got a short position at about the one 85 190 level is where he initiated it so basically I'm showing this stock again because you can you know trade along with Andy if you want he seemed to do okay on Valiant which we'll get to in just a second but the bottom line is this you got to look at the weekly chart and if you're shorting the stock I would suggest I didn't even get rid of this now that was for something else if you're shorting the stock right now I would suggest you put a buy stock just a little bit above a 100 bucks so you're risking about 12 bucks on a $200 stock which isn't too bad um then if the stock continues to go down in other words if this turned out to be a lower high you're going to make a lot of money on the other hand if the stock starts moving higher again you're stopped out before this stock gets away from you look Tesla trades really big I mean it can have some big moves and if you're if wrong on the direction you can really get clipped so I want you to keep tight stops on that now another one that he was talking about was Valiant pharmaceutical a lot of this is due to a Citron um research report it's also one of the reasons why Bill amman's firm is not really doing too well um so he turns out Andy left says that he's covered his short same interview on CNBC he covered his short position on Valiant and in his View and this guy didn't sound like a technical Trader to me um though he did have some technical terms in there um he said he wouldn't be long or short Valiant right now he said there's a lot of black box um surrounding that now what I'm assuming he means is that they're just kind of algorithms trading uh trading price levels here I think that's what it means I don't know um but they got a subpoena from the SEC on Monday um that doesn't work too well for a company but the fact that the stock did rebound let's just kind of look at it okay big nasty breakdown here uh below this last low and then this was turnaround day we'll call it turnaround Tuesday and then today we got just a little move to the upside not exactly a real three candle reversal just a little kind of bump to the upside but I got to go with this guy on that in that you don't want to be long or short I had actually considered um selling some puts selling like some $60 puts 55s or even $50 puts the implied volatility on these is really really high so it made it kind of a juicy trade but at the end of the day you know I just decided there's just too much risk with this it could be a great trade and here's how this would be a good trade if there's no headlines on this stock for a week or two if there there's like no headlines everybody just forgets about it you'll make money because the stock will just kind of drift up but that's the issue all these folks who were buying in yesterday um you know there were how many million 41 million shares that means there were 41 million shares bought they were also sold but somebody bought them so there's a whole lot of buying going on here and they'll probably make some money as long as the stock just drifts higher but on any kind of a negative headline you're going to see a lot of guys go going for the door and I just decided you know what I don't want to mess around with that okay um steel stocks and uh we're going to go through a lot of these in our stock market Mentor membership video in our strategy session but I just wanted to show us steel because this a really good one um they're up they've been kind of inching up for a while and I've been covering these steel stocks in particular us steel for the last few weeks because this re reversal here it's kind of a base and just started to look really good as this was punching up above the 50-day moving average Well turns out today we hear from the Department of Commerce that they're establishing a tariff on some of these uh these Chinese Japanese Brazilian I think even Putin's got involved there um from dumping their steel sheets in the US We Are The Dumping Ground for a lot of crap and the reason we're getting so much blowback on lot of different levels from foreign countries is they kind of like it they kind of like things the way they are they they kind of like having the upper hand on us and so when they're squawking about maybe changing things around like a tariff on these Steel on these foreign steel companies you're not going to hear too much uh you know too much acquiescence just a whole bunch of bitching going on frankly but the Bulls on the steel stocks are here um I don't think there's a real high interest High short interest on these so I just think these stocks are moving just on pure momentum likely this will continue moving for a bit um Zoom your thing went up 20 almost 25% today so to say you're early is let's just say that's wrong but after the kind of haircut these have taken I would not be shorting into this I would either stand aside or buy some stock and set a trail stop on it because the 200 day moving average would truly be an obvious place it would be an obvious place for Traders to take profits now the good news is you know that's another 20 20% above where it is now I'm Dan Fitzpatrick stockmarketmentor.com I'll see you next time
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