저자: StockMarketMentor채널진행자 · 외국인
요약 보기
결론: 테슬라 단기 하락 쪽 베팅은 유효하나 작게, 애플은 강세 전환 매수 관점, 라스베이거스샌즈는 200일선 돌파로 매수 가능. [테슬라(TSLA)] 시트론리서치가 공매도 보고서를 냈고 이미 숏 포지션을 보유 중이라는 점이 언급됨. 진행자는 주가가 더 내려갈 것으로 보며, 공급·수요 이슈로 향후 1년간 약 100달러 하락 가능성을 거론함(다만 그 근거가 주로 자동차 판매에 있다고 본인도 확신하지 않는다고 함). 주가가 매우 비싸고 회사가 적자라는 점도 언급. 그러나 진행자는 이를 '너무 뻔한 트레이드'로 보고 경계함. 200달러 지지선 이탈, 대량 거래 동반 반전, 50일 이동평균선 반등 후 200달러 재도달 등 기술적 설정이 명확해 오히려 함정일 수 있다는 입장. 숏은 소액으로 접근하고, 150달러 부근에서 커버를 고려하라고 제시. 주간 차트상 대형 천장 패턴으로 보고 있음. 시트론 리포트가 무료인 이유는 선공매(front-running) 때문이라며, 공매도 세력과 같은 방향으로 가면 수익은 나지만 직선 하락이 아니라 등락이 있을 것이라고 함. [애플(AAPL)] 암호화 관련 FBI 소송 뉴스가 주가 상승의 원인은 아니라고 봄. 뉴스와 주가 움직임은 무관하다는 입장이며, 지지선은 93달러, 중간 95달러 부근 추천. 오랜만에 매수할 만한 주식이라고 언급. [라스베이거스샌즈(LVS)] 마카오 매출 감소폭이 예상보다 적어 주가가 크게 상승, 200일 이동평균선 돌파. 2014년 이후 처음 있는 일이며 바닥을 확인했을 가능성이 있음. 지금도 추격 매수 가능하나 눌림목에서 48달러 안팎 진입이 더 나을 것으로 봄. 주간 차트상 추세는 여전히 하락. [리스크] 테슬라 숏은 변동성이 크고 공매도 세력과 같은 방향 베팅임을 인지해야 함. 진행자는 전반적으로 단기 매매 관점으로 발언함.
다듬은 글
's Tuesday March 1st look uh if you're a hardcore Trader like me um You probably watch CNBC every day and you see tickers coming at you all day long all kinds of stocks you see on TV uh before the Bell during the trading hours after the Bell whatever so I want to look at three stocks that I saw on TV that got a lot of coverage today um let's see if we can't make some money so let's start with Tesla okay um during the day um it was reported that um Citron research was short this stock they put out a um uh a paper on that just Google it it's all for free and they're already short the stock so they hope you short along with them um look I think this stock is going lower they're suggesting like a $100 haircut over the next year and that's on a supply and demand issue and that ain't the stock that they're talking about it's the cars um I don't know about that I don't know whether that's right or wrong I know that the stock is really really expensive anyway um so um this is not exactly a valuation um trade I mean basically the stock loses money um and so the company loses money but they make awesome cars so here's the thing um I think this stock goes lower I think you actually can short it but I don't think it's going to be quite as easy as you might think and I was pointing this out to uh to members in our uh strategy session that this is a really obvious trade okay support at 200 a break big volume big volume reversal a move up to the 50-day moving average to 200 bucks what could be easier short this Pig right now consider covering at 150 it's all good we should make tons of money sometime between now on next Tuesday okay when I look at a trade and it's that obvious to me I I'm not so self-confident that I think that I'm the only one that sees the obvious and the obvious trade tends to be the wrong one so here's what I would suggest go ahead and take a short position in this stock but take a small one because my suspicion is this is going to be pretty volatile but if you look at the weekly chart this is a low or high this does look like a big topping pattern and just overall this is a stock that looks like it needs to go lower but again don't get sucked in like you've got some great information that nobody else does again citron's research is free and there's a reason for that because they front run their reports so these guys are already making a ton of money you can Bank on that okay again nothing wrong with that it's just that you got to know you know who you're dancing with so you're dancing with somebody who's already short the stock and I'm saying technically you can join them on that short and you're probably going to make good money it's just not going to be straight down it'll be choppy okay um Apple uh they got a lot of news today because of uh you know it's still the encryption thing um hearing on whether they've got to uh de encrypt that phone from that Jihadi I was going to say something but I'm not going to anyway um I don't really think that this implicates the price of the stock I just don't I mean I see these guys I saw uh guy adami talking about it on Fast Money noting that he he really doesn't see a way like the way a company comes out a winner you know um long-term really or shortterm and I think he's right about that but just keep something in mind um this is this is a real bullish move and it sure as heck didn't move this way because people are are looking at the company saying oh boy you know they're fighting the FBI over this uh encryption thing and I don't think they're going to have to break into that phone which means that all my stuff is really really secure just in case the FBI or the NSA wants to get out it I don't really know anybody who feels that way and I doubt you do either what I'm saying is this has that news is really interesting but it doesn't have a damn thing to do with the price of the stock right now support's holding 93 bucks is the floor but I would really say like 95 kind of in the middle here I think for the first time in a long time Apple's actually a stock that you buy man I haven't said that in months okay um Las Vegas Sands this closed higher today like big move above the 200 day moving average maau which is um here um macau's revenues uh declined less than they thought so Las Vegas sand screams um Mel here maau moves up still in a downtrend um Las Vegas Sands looks now to me like this is a breakout I think you could buy this on any kind of a any kind of a pullback just keep in mind on the weekly chart this trend is still essentially lower but this is a meaningful move above the 40 we or 200 day moving average which is the first time that's really happened since 2014 actually when the stock was rolling over so we could have seen the bottom in Las Vegas Sands I think it's okay to buy now take a little bit now if you have to chase it but you probably wind up getting at 48 bucks or so on a weekday on a pullback I'll see you next time
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