저자: Eric · 외국인
요약 보기
QQQ는 368 지지 후 369 부근이며 9월 중 변동성 가능, 5~10% 조정 가능성 언급. 주요 종목(ENPH, ASML, STEM, BROS, PATH, INDI)에 대해 분할매수 목표가 제시. 중국의 아이폰 사용 금지 확대 보도로 기술주 변동성 확대, 미 10년물 금리 4.28%로 성장주 부담. 테슬라 호텔 충전소 설치 뉴스 언급.
다듬은 글
what's up guys Eric here just want to do a quick video let you know what's going on with the market give you an update on a few stocks that I have on my radar and my watch list some price targets and so on so we did charge day yesterday we talked about 368 support right now this is the QQQ it's hovering at 369.
so it bounced off 368 short term now yesterday we're talking about that bounce off 354 you know saying that the market eventually over the month of September it's going to have some volatility said it might be bumpy on the way but it's probably going to try to get back to that 404 that would be the highs of 2021 and it really needs to break past that 404 on the QQQ so really confirm a new bull market I don't expect that to happen you know overnight and I think that September could have some volatility and don't get me wrong the market could easily sell off we could see a five or ten percent saw from here you see this huge huge range R3 402 this goes down to the 200 simple moving average 323 dollars this recent pullback that we had in August we bounced off 354.71 so right now we're still in good shape that's support 368 we're at 370 but we're at a very volatile kind of a kind of a tough situation we're in a 50 50 fragile type situation because it won't take much to break down and to kind of go back the first level would probably be retest the 354 and then it could always go lower the first stock I want to look at here is end phase now 125 was that area I was really waiting for to buy and I just had an order and a limit order that got filled in both portfolios it was for 119.97 you can see it bounced slightly from there it's at 120.76 we're kind of in the middle to the bottom of that Circle if you go to this S3 right here you're closer to 116 and that's the previous S3 so this new S3 down here is 101 and I've been saying you know don't be surprised I just did it best stocks to buy for some September end phase was on there and I said don't be surprised if you see this stock maybe even below a hundred dollars and that's where I would pound the table so 125 or less DCA five-year investment but save room because at 120 I could easily see it go on another 20 lower especially if you have the market roll over if you have a bad earnings report you know interest rates it's very interest rate sensitive and we still have a lot of macro risk so this next one is asml and you can see it's retesting those previous lows that we just saw it bounced off of this level popped up and it's kind of pulling back down so we're sitting here trading right now at about 637 638 dollars now I posted if you're an elite I posted an Eric's watch list and Discord and I said that basically right now 634 support so we're still above that at 636 but again very fragile could break down 634 support if that breaks down you could see 605 and even 588 dollars now that S2 is 622 dollars you can see right here 621 94 and this S3 is 593 dollars my preference is going to be this 593 I do have a limit order in for 607 dollars in my main portfolio for asml okay so stem this is breaking down we had a downgrade yesterday but it's still an eight dollar price Target I could see stem breaking down to this S2 it looks like at 407 uh four dollars and seven cents this S3 is all the way down here at 2.94 cents now the previous low is 372.
it's certainly possible it breaks three dollars I think that'd be a strong opportunity this is a Spec stock you have to be really careful you know you looked at asml I consider that a very high quality semiconductor equipment manufacturer you look at in Phase I consider it somewhere in the middle it's growth but it is a little bit riskier and then stem is going to be all the way on that spec side so you've got really three different stocks we're looking at here you know stem you have to be careful with this I think that it certainly could you know go a little bit lower I've got an order in at four dollars and seven cents uh I think for both portfolios the the main portfolio as well as the community portfolio so Dutch Brothers so Bros we had some news here last night some dilution you can see this got down below 25 you know my preference on this stock I've been saying 25 to 30 DCA but with dilution you could see it lower and this S3 down here is that's uh 22.54 cents or so you could see it I could see it even below 20 I don't think it's gonna happen I think it's a possibility you know under 25 looks like buyers came in that's a pretty strong pop and now we're back Above This S2 around 25.61 uipath on chart day yesterday we talked about short-term rebound possible 18 to 1968 possible earnings will decide earnings were last night and we said 13 or 20 depending earnings earnings were pretty good you can see it's popped up here uh right now it's about 17.27 so it's working back to that 18 to 1968 we said so good earnings going up closer to twenty dollars if it would add battery Rings could have broke this trend line gone down to this S3 which is you know below 13 a share now I'm in the process of listing that earnings report if you want me to do a deeper dive video on YouTube drop me a comment let me know I'll be happy to do that for you you know Indie stock I still like this in the sixes DCA it's still possible you see it in the fives I think it'll bounce with time you know it's going to be a straight line so when we say a bounce it's not like this tomorrow it's going to bounce up to this this red line and follow this Green Dot it just means that it's going to hold up this range more than likely chop around and eventually work its way up so you can see it bounced off about six dollars and 20 cents and I certainly think it's possible you know 566 was the low here back in December for me it's a pound of table even in the sixes but if it gets in the fives for you know even better so six dollars DCA long this is gonna be a Spec stock it was a spec and there's still risks not just because it was SPAC but because it is a speculative stock it's not profitable and there are there are some risks to this company so if you're buying it consider it a Spec stock so if you're wondering why there's some volatility especially in Tech names because if you look at the dial it's actually green nasdaq's down 1.25 so Apple was down 2.6 percent this morning China is planning to extend a ban on iPhone use to state owned corporations a day earlier Wall Street Journal reported that China was moving to prohibit iPhone usage and other foreign branded devices and government agencies I think the fear here is that could spread even more not just government they might even say hey that citizens can't use iPhones and that's always been a risk when you look at these multinational companies you know Nike Tesla Apple so on China is a big part of that global economy and all these different trade tensions really create some uncertainty with some of these stocks you know we're talking about taking away ships like h100 ships from you know Nvidia to to China for AI usage well China is going to want to you know push back in other areas and this is one way they're doing that and it is impacting the market it's making tech stocks have a little bit more volatility and this is why macro is always so important because One news headline can make a chart that looks bullish turn and go the other direction so you can see the Vic Spike six percent this Dow Jones you know slightly green s p is down about a half percent nasdaq's down about 1.25 Russell 2K is down about point six three percent you got to keep an eye on 10-year treasury yields now this has been hovering under 4.25 now back at 4.28 this is relatively high and it's going to put pressure on growth names High valuation names stocks that have you know for example no free cash flow they're burning cash those speculative type stocks and so on it's going to impact those companies more you know oil send at 87.53 we did some numbers in Discord I think last night if you look at the price of gasoline it's come down from the highs of 2022 but it's still relatively high on historic measures you know in crypto you're seeing Bitcoin around 26 000 ethereum at 1628.
one other quick headline here Tesla to install charging stations at 2 000 Hiltons in North America I think this is pretty big news it makes a lot of sense and now you go to a hotel you can charge it overnight this kind of stuff we need to see more of this and that's going to help with that expansion more people adopting electric vehicle technology if you live in a city it makes sense right now for EVS if you live out in the country a rural area it doesn't make sense for everyone and as that grows as more and more charging stations are built that's going to help a lot especially you think of inner Commerce you know travel if you're traveling A Thousand Miles throughout the middle of the United States it's not the simplest in the world for some people like I have to go to Montana to visit family if it's not on Interstate it might not have charging stations and you can get into a pickle you know what I mean so for me right now it's really hard to go buy a Tesla because of what I need it for if I were using it you know to drive shorter distances it would make a lot of sense and I'd still love to get a cyber truck and I'll keep you posted on that so that's all I got guys this is just a quick update if you want a deeper dive on uipath drop me a comment below take care
Comments 0