저자: JimCramer · 외국인
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2023년 2월 Jim Cramer 영상 요지: 2023년 시장은 기술주 외에도 기회가 있다고 주장. 첫 결론: 헬스케어·산업재·금융·항공 등 비기술 섹터 중심으로 투자 기회를 찾으라는 메시지. 헬스케어: 제약 가격 압박 정치 이슈가 2023년에는 낮다고 판단. 비만 치료제(자막상 'Eli Lilly'로 추정되는 신약 후보)는 15mg 기준 72주 3상에서 체중 약 22.5% 감소 언급, 승인 전이지만 매수 권유. 휴마나(Humana)는 메디케어 어드밴티지 실적 호조로 강력 추천, 존슨앤드존슨은 소비자 부문 분사 후 제약·의료기기 중심 성장 기대로 긍정적. 산업재·인프라: 정부 인프라 지출(교량·터널·건물)이 철강 수요를 늘린다고 보고 뉴코어(Nucor), 캐터필러(Caterpillar), 디어(Deere) 긍정적. 디어는 글로벌 식량 수요와 농업 강세를 근거로 추가 언급. 소비·리테일: 경기 둔화 시 재고 처분 기회가 생기는 TJX, 벌링턴, 오로라 등 할인 리테일을 긍정적으로 언급. 베드배스앤비욘드 등 부진 체인 재고 매입 기회 거론. 금융: 모건스탠리는 금리 하락기 실적 개선 기대로 선호, 골드만삭스는 IPO 부진 속 구조조정 효과로 긍정 평가. 항공: 항공기 공급 부족 상황에서 에어버스 우위를 언급, 페덱스(FedEx)는 실적 양호로 긍정적. 기술주: 연준의 금리 방향과 무관하게 기술주 비중이 커 고통이 집중될 수 있다고 경고, 기술주 회피 입장. 리스크: 연준의 과도한 긴축 시 주택 시장 타격, 경기 침체 및 기업 이익 감소 가능성. 출연자 전망: 인플레이션이 2023년 내 완화될 것이며 화이트칼라 고용 둔화 예상.
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there's a whole Market Beyond Tech don't want the pessimist Convention of the entire asset classes Barrett my mission is simple to make you money I'm here to level the playing field for all investors there's always a bull market summer and I promise to help you find it Mad Money Starts Now hands you lose tails you lose oh that's out times a very smart Money Max you'll see this Market if I take this too much we're gonna have a horrific recession and profits will evaporate as defendant doesn't tie that up inflation will keep rampaging and are ruining the bag of your portfolio they scoff at the idea that there might be some sort of Middle Ground Goldilocks solution a fairy tale if you will there are dubious about days on today where they now gain 92 points the mighty dial came 90 to push the SM Advance 0.1 percent NASDAQ in 7.01 percent a lot more focused on planting that planting down some sector C's because there are a lot of them that could work next year I'm gonna break them down for you cause I'm in a gardening mood versus Healthcare now this is the first time in recent memory where we're not seeing any pushing from Washington on drug pricing and we're far from enough yeah we're pretty far from the next presidential election that these companies won't be used as the typical political pinatas at least not in 2023 they wanted now the top down Perma bears it may be too interesting name for them weeds I don't know think I'm trying to find a needle in a haystack but you know what thinking Quality Healthcare stocks isn't like they're looking for a needle Haystack it's like shoe decision now maybe I'm only see God Eli Louise got this listener I'm not going to give you one example why listen to me I'm giving you one example listen one jaro get this this isn't a BC drug at just 15 milligrams this will give you a 22.5 reduction in weight over 72 period 72-week period according to one phase three study a reliable weight loss pill a second a licensed Supreme money in a couple weeks when everyone's making their New Year's resolutions how many millions of people will swear that they're going to lose 10 pounds they're going to go crazy for this drug so it hasn't been approved yet so I want some I want to let some top down strategists who's only looking at the bomb Market the twos and the tens scared me from wanting Eli Lord their biggest issue can they make enough to meet the man once it's approved I call that I call it problem which is why it's a big position for the child of trust of course which we can follow it pretty much I write about this thing every single day for the investing club and talk about and do everything in check marks other than saying I want that drug now next up you Mana Humana just had an amazing quarter yes an amazing one this managed care company had a second rate Medicare Advantage program last year if you're on Medicare you need one of these supplemental plans because lots of doctors don't take Medicare hi I'm Jim Cramer do you take Medicare no that's how usually it goes when I see a doctor these days last year I had a professional with some real dough screen this stuff for me and United Health was hands down the winner for a program that minute so I could go see a lot of doctors but when she came to that back to me this year she said you know what you win a Humana had Chaser dude they had the best Medical Advantage business holy cow who would ever thought that and who cares by Little Anthony Engineers are hard Landing for the economy Humane is not even on the thorn airplane health insurance is a possession proven trust now owns this one too and unheard of buy for me Humana you've met him then there's Johnson Johnson oh that's hard to find J J well how did I come up with that one who's ever heard of J and J all right this Stock's been pulled out it's been an arrived pulled down by all those non-pharmaceutical products that don't have much pricing power these are neutrogen or baby powder or Band-Aids great name 20 Davis lousy Growers so it they're kind of like like you know what the like radishes I mean they're really hard to grow actually so James is spinning off the consumer division is a separate company that can consolidate a mature industry while the remainder becomes a high growth drug and medical device company are we supposed to avoid that because the FED might get it wrong the Bears are confident they'll either overshoot or undershoot but either of those outcomes is fine if you own the stock of the brothers chat like healthcare have you considered that trillions of dollars the federal government's throwing at Bridges tunnels and buildings regardless if the FED processes severe slowdown yeah it's already banked do you know how much steel they're going to need and of course the best deal maker in the country they're going to be in that mix and the earnings estimates are way too low don't you think deer and caterpillar will have to go 24 7 just to meet the demand from the engineering construction firms that build this stuff their order books are insane they're postpartum is voluminous they're International competition quad and you bring up all the government spending it's going hit and it's going to hit next year these strategies will tell you why that's terrible for the economy because it's inflationary and we've already got enough of an inflation problem that's probably true but it's totally beside the point here even if it's inflationary it's still good from Nucor caterpillar and deer the real inflation is in White Collar America and that's going to come down in 2023 because we simply won't need as many Computer Sciences p uh bankers lawyers advertising people and by the way yes even contractors because housing is going to be hurt by higher rates If the Fed overshoots we just learned today that rents are at last falling pretty presumably something to watch and let's not forget you've got one more reason to buy deer there's a global food storage that's why I recommend a Cordova last night they make genetically modified seeds and pesticides agriculture is insanely strong right now but the Bears want you to ignore that whole industry and instead focus on the two-year treasury which is apparently sending all the wrong signals what's really Arnie the bargain retail stocks the Bears will tell you the Reed's already supposed to be coming down sure I don't care that's fabulous for places like TJX who are really ready to pounce on this tune to be caucus that is Bed Bath and Beyond these all price Changed by abscess inventory from struggling chains the worst retail that does as a whole the more opportunities they get same goes to Burlington how about Allie Ollie's Party Outlet speaking of Morgan Stanley that's one of my favorite financials for 2023.
it's got a sailing cheap stock a high and it's profits are roaring well more when Morgan Stanley earnings be eroded by inflation apparently the more the FED teams down inflation the more I want to stick with a company that makes its best numbers when we get four percent unemployment uploaded from here down uh and four percent inflation quite a bit from here that's likely where we're headed how about Goldman Sachs whether the fed overshoots or undershoots in 2043 it's hard to imagine a worse year for IPOs emerges in this one if Goldman still crushed it what did the Bears say about that especially now that the firm's cleared out a lot of dead wood or at least wood that wasn't burning hot enough we have a tremendous travel boom right now it's in causing an impossible shortage of planes but only one company fully certified to sell all sorts of commercial aircraft Airbus what happens when bowling gets clearance to sell their full Planet line even the FED tanks rates to seven percent and we have a serious slowdown that might not be enough to bring down Bowie not when there's an airplane shortage I wonder if FedEx which just had a great quarter needs more planes good number so I've seen plenty of opportunities for next year that said I'm not hopping on the tech bandwagon I've said over and over again that whether the fed undershoots or overshoots text likely to be hurt the worst the Bears are absolute right to scare you away from Tech that Garden's coming up empty it's fallow it's a gigantic oversized part of the market still though and that's where the pain is going to come from
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